Avio SpA (MIL:AVIO) Beneish M-Score: -2.70 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


MIL:AVIO Avio SpA MIL:AVIO
72 GF Score
Price €31.67
GF Value €14.43
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Avio SpA Beneish M-Score?

Avio SpA MIL:AVIO -3.47% 72 Beneish M-Score is -2.70 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates MIL:AVIO with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of €14.43 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 326 Aerospace & Defense companies, Avio SpA ranks better than 71.78% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.7 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avio SpA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:AVIO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.38   Med: -2.63   Max: 754.22
Current: -2.7

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Avio SpA was 754.22. The lowest was -3.38. And the median was -2.63.


Avio SpA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Avio SpA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Avio SpA Beneish M-Score Chart

Avio SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.29 -2.72 -3.17 -2.56 -2.70

Avio SpA Quarterly Data
Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.70

MIL:AVIO vs GE, RTX, BA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Avio SpA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avio SpA Beneish M-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Avio SpA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avio SpA's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MIL:AVIO
72GF Score
Avio SpA MIL:AVIO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Avio SpA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Avio SpA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0546+0.528 * 1.0121+0.404 * 0.6662+0.892 * 1.215+0.115 * 0.9601
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.721+4.679 * -0.094711-0.327 * 0.806
=-2.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €208.0 Mil.
Revenue was €583.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was €404.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,143.2 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,664.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €205.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €20.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €14.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €895.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €6.8 Mil.
Net Income was €10.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €168.1 Mil.
Total Receivables was €162.3 Mil.
Revenue was €480.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was €337.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €597.0 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,092.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €185.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €17.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €16.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €728.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €6.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(208.001 / 583.69) / (162.33 / 480.421)
=0.356355 / 0.337891
=1.0546

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(337.097 / 480.421) / (404.657 / 583.69)
=0.70167 / 0.693274
=1.0121

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1143.177 + 205.911) / 1664.062) / (1 - (597.01 + 184.984) / 1092.38)
=0.18928 / 0.284137
=0.6662

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=583.69 / 480.421
=1.215

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(17.436 / (17.436 + 184.984)) / (20.295 / (20.295 + 205.911))
=0.086138 / 0.089719
=0.9601

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14.437 / 583.69) / (16.481 / 480.421)
=0.024734 / 0.034305
=0.721

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6.827 + 895.188) / 1664.062) / ((6.547 + 728.078) / 1092.38)
=0.542056 / 0.672499
=0.806

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(10.476 - 0 - 168.081) / 1664.062
=-0.094711

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Avio SpA has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.70 mean?
Avio SpA (MIL:AVIO) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.70 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Avio SpA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Avio SpA ranks #92 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 28.2%.
Is Avio SpA's Beneish M-Score too high?
Avio SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.70. Based on the distribution chart, Avio SpA ranks #92 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Avio SpA has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Avio SpA's Beneish M-Score compare to GE and RTX?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Avio SpA ranks #92 out of 326 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Avio SpA in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Avio SpA and its competitors. Avio SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.70. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Avio SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avio SpA (MIL:AVIO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €14.43, compared to a current price of €31.67 — trading 119.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.70. Avio SpA's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Avio SpA (MIL:AVIO), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.70 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Avio SpA (MIL:AVIO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avio SpA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €31.67 is trading 119.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €14.43. GuruFocus considers Avio SpA to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:AVIO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.70
  • GF Value™: €14.43 vs. price of €31.67 (119.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:AVIO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Avio SpA Business Description

Address Via Latina, snc (SP 600 Ariana km 5,2, Colleferro, Rome, ITA, 00034
Avio SpA is an international group engaged in the construction and development of space launchers. The company's core operations are design, development and production of solid and liquid propellant propulsion systems for space launchers; design, development and production of solid propellant propulsion systems for tactical missiles; development, integration and supply of complete light space launchers (VEGA); research and development of new low environmental impact propulsion systems and of satellite tracking control engines. The Group mainly operates in EU countries (Italy, France), the USA, and French Guiana.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:AVIO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€31.67
Price
€14.43
GF Value