ERG SpA (MIL:ERG) Beneish M-Score: -2.74 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


MIL:ERG ERG SpA MIL:ERG
76 GF Score
Price €23.22
GF Value €24.37
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is ERG SpA Beneish M-Score?

ERG SpA MIL:ERG +1.40% 76 Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates MIL:ERG with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of €24.37 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 390 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, ERG SpA ranks better than 64.36% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ERG SpA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:ERG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.36   Med: -2.8   Max: -1.4
Current: -2.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ERG SpA was -1.40. The lowest was -3.36. And the median was -2.80.


ERG SpA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for ERG SpA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ERG SpA Beneish M-Score Chart

ERG SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.40 -2.90 -3.33 -2.81 -2.74

ERG SpA Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.74 0.00

ERG SpA Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, ERG SpA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ERG SpA Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, ERG SpA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ERG SpA's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MIL:ERG
76GF Score
ERG SpA MIL:ERG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

ERG SpA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ERG SpA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9926+0.528 * 1.002+0.404 * 1.029+0.892 * 1.0151+0.115 * 0.7782
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8855+4.679 * -0.060374-0.327 * 0.9583
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €135.3 Mil.
Revenue was €743.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was €663.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €889.4 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,618.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,106.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €354.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €34.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €636.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,365.4 Mil.
Net Income was €65.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €404.1 Mil.
Total Receivables was €134.3 Mil.
Revenue was €732.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was €655.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,331.9 Mil.
Total Assets was €6,317.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,212.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €277.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €38.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,162.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,359.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(135.345 / 743.615) / (134.318 / 732.527)
=0.18201 / 0.183363
=0.9926

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(655.065 / 732.527) / (663.639 / 743.615)
=0.894254 / 0.89245
=1.002

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (889.354 + 3106) / 5618.15) / (1 - (1331.884 + 3212.435) / 6317.771)
=0.288849 / 0.280708
=1.029

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=743.615 / 732.527
=1.0151

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(277.868 / (277.868 + 3212.435)) / (353.977 / (353.977 + 3106))
=0.079611 / 0.102306
=0.7782

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(34.193 / 743.615) / (38.038 / 732.527)
=0.045982 / 0.051927
=0.8855

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2365.445 + 636.486) / 5618.15) / ((2359.895 + 1162.752) / 6317.771)
=0.534327 / 0.557578
=0.9583

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(64.957 - 0 - 404.145) / 5618.15
=-0.060374

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ERG SpA has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 mean?
ERG SpA (MIL:ERG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on ERG SpA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, ERG SpA ranks #139 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 35.6%.
Is ERG SpA's Beneish M-Score too high?
ERG SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. Based on the distribution chart, ERG SpA ranks #139 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, ERG SpA has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ERG SpA's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, ERG SpA ranks #139 out of 390 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts ERG SpA in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on ERG SpA and its competitors. ERG SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ERG SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ERG SpA (MIL:ERG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €24.37, compared to a current price of €23.22 — trading 4.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. ERG SpA's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ERG SpA (MIL:ERG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is ERG SpA (MIL:ERG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ERG SpA stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €23.22 is trading 4.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of €24.37. GuruFocus considers ERG SpA to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:ERG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.74
  • GF Value™: €24.37 vs. price of €23.22 (4.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:ERG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


ERG SpA Business Description

Other Exchanges ERGm:UK0MHC:UKER9:Germany
Address Via De Marini, 1, Torre WTC, Genoa, ITA, 16149
ERG SpA produces electricity from clean, renewable, and sustainable sources. Its energy comes from the combination of natural resources such as wind and sun. The company produces wind power, and electricity as a hydroelectric operator to markets across Europe. Electricity is also generated from natural gas operations located in Italy. ERG's wind power production is handled by subsidiary ENG Renew which focuses on developing, building, and operating wind assets. Hydropower and natural gas operations are split off into ERG Power Generation. The company's hydro assets include plants, dams, reservoirs, and a pumping station. Electricity from the plant is either fed into Italy's national grid or used to power other industrial plants.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:ERG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€23.22
Price
€24.37
GF Value