Express Kenya (NAI:XPRS) Beneish M-Score: 10194.84 (As of Jun. 30, 2026)


NAI:XPRS Express Kenya PLC NAI:XPRS
42 GF Score
Price KES7.18
GF Value KES2.58
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Express Kenya Beneish M-Score?

Express Kenya NAI:XPRS -0.55% 42 Beneish M-Score is 10194.84 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates NAI:XPRS with a GF Score™ of 42/100 and a GF Value™ of KES2.58 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,020 Business Services companies, Express Kenya ranks worse than 100% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 10194.84 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Express Kenya's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NAI:XPRS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -19.48   Med: -3.64   Max: 10194.84
Current: 10194.84

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Express Kenya was 10194.84. The lowest was -19.48. And the median was -3.64.


Express Kenya Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Express Kenya's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Express Kenya Beneish M-Score Chart

Express Kenya Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10,194.84

Express Kenya Semi-Annual Data
Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10,194.84

NAI:XPRS vs CTAS, CPRT, ULS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Express Kenya's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Express Kenya Beneish M-Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Express Kenya's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Express Kenya's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NAI:XPRS
42GF Score
Express Kenya PLC NAI:XPRS
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Express Kenya Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Express Kenya for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3943+0.528 * 0.7301+0.404 * 25243+0.892 * 0.8062+0.115 * 1.1064
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.6781+4.679 * -0.080956-0.327 * 1.0251
=10,194.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was KES14.95 Mil.
Revenue was KES21.27 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES-78.91 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES77.68 Mil.
Total Assets was KES1,468.97 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES1,354.21 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES105.30 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES14.87 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES91.02 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES475.90 Mil.
Net Income was KES-125.02 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was KES-6.10 Mil.
Total Receivables was KES13.30 Mil.
Revenue was KES26.38 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES-71.47 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES74.04 Mil.
Total Assets was KES1,267.30 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES1,193.26 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES103.52 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES10.99 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES43.77 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES433.33 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(14.945 / 21.265) / (13.296 / 26.378)
=0.702798 / 0.504056
=1.3943

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-71.465 / 26.378) / (-78.914 / 21.265)
=-2.709265 / -3.71098
=0.7301

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (77.681 + 1354.21) / 1468.972) / (1 - (74.035 + 1193.26) / 1267.296)
=0.025243 / 1.0E-6
=25243

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=21.265 / 26.378
=0.8062

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(103.52 / (103.52 + 1193.26)) / (105.303 / (105.303 + 1354.21))
=0.079828 / 0.072149
=1.1064

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14.872 / 21.265) / (10.993 / 26.378)
=0.699365 / 0.416749
=1.6781

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((475.895 + 91.023) / 1468.972) / ((433.328 + 43.773) / 1267.296)
=0.385928 / 0.376472
=1.0251

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-125.019 - 0 - -6.097) / 1468.972
=-0.080956

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Express Kenya has a M-score of 10,194.84 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 10194.84 mean?
Express Kenya (NAI:XPRS) has a Beneish M-Score of 10194.84 as of Jun. 30, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Express Kenya and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Express Kenya ranks #1020 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry.
Is Express Kenya's Beneish M-Score too high?
Express Kenya's current Beneish M-Score is 10194.84. Based on the distribution chart, Express Kenya ranks #1020 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Express Kenya has a GF Score™ of 42/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Express Kenya's Beneish M-Score compare to CTAS and CPRT?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Express Kenya ranks #1020 out of 1020 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Express Kenya in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Business Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Express Kenya and its competitors. Express Kenya's current Beneish M-Score is 10194.84. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Express Kenya stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Express Kenya (NAI:XPRS) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is KES2.58, compared to a current price of KES7.18 — trading 178.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 10194.84. Express Kenya's overall GF Score™ is 42/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Express Kenya (NAI:XPRS), the current Beneish M-Score is 10194.84 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Express Kenya (NAI:XPRS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Express Kenya stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of KES7.18 is trading 178.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of KES2.58. GuruFocus considers Express Kenya to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NAI:XPRS:

  • Beneish M-Score: 10194.84
  • GF Value™: KES2.58 vs. price of KES7.18 (178.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 42/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NAI:XPRS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Express Kenya Business Description

Address Road A, Off Enterprise Road, Industrial Area, P.O. Box 40433, Express House, Nairobi, KEN, 00100
Express Kenya PLC engages in the provision of clearing and forwarding services for both air and sea, as well as warehousing and logistics services. It operates through the following segments: Warehousing, and Real Estate. The Warehousing segment which accounts for the majority of revenue comprises the storage of customers' goods in the warehousing facility. The Real Estate segment consists of the development of properties. Geographically, the company operates only in Kenya.
42GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NAI:XPRS

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

KES7.18
Price
KES2.58
GF Value