NewStar Financial Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of NewStar Financial for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.7502 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9907 | + | 0.892 * 0.779 | + | 0.115 * 0.9889 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.055 | + | 4.679 * -0.016391 | - | 0.327 * 1.0213 |
| = | -2.09 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Sep17) TTM: | Last Year (Sep16) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $22.1 Mil.
Revenue was 21.13 + 20.187 + 20.139 + 40.471 = $101.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 21.13 + 20.187 + 20.139 + 40.471 = $101.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $84.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,002.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $15.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $53.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $34.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,181.9 Mil.
Net Income was 4.585 + 4.152 + 1.382 + 10.33 = $20.4 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 15.947 + -84.675 + -135.646 + 290.43 = $86.1 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was $16.2 Mil.
Revenue was 36.224 + 25.265 + 41.671 + 27.679 = $130.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 36.224 + 25.265 + 41.671 + 27.679 = $130.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $52.5 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,403.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $11.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $64.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $31.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,433.5 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (22.102 / 101.927) | / | (16.21 / 130.839) |
| = | 0.216841 | / | 0.123893 |
| | = | 1.7502 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (130.839 / 130.839) | / | (101.927 / 101.927) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (84.64 + 0.212) / 4002.634) | / | (1 - (52.476 + 0.296) / 4403.36) |
| = | 0.978801 | / | 0.988016 |
| | = | 0.9907 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 101.927 | / | 130.839 |
| | = | 0.779 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (11.613 / (11.613 + 0.296)) | / | (15 / (15 + 0.212)) |
| = | 0.975145 | / | 0.986064 |
| | = | 0.9889 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (53.298 / 101.927) | / | (64.849 / 130.839) |
| = | 0.522904 | / | 0.49564 |
| | = | 1.055 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((3181.883 + 34.435) / 4002.634) | / | ((3433.48 + 31.021) / 4403.36) |
| = | 0.80355 | / | 0.786786 |
| | = | 1.0213 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (20.449 - 0 | - | 86.056) | / | 4002.634 |
| | = | -0.016391 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
NewStar Financial has a M-score of -2.09 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
Portfolio Contest
NEWS has been successfully added to your