Valor Holdings Co (NGO:9956) Beneish M-Score: -2.62 (As of Jul. 21, 2026)

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NGO:9956 Valor Holdings Co Ltd NGO:9956
78 GF Score
Price 円3,425.00
GF Value 円2,976.18
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Valor Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Valor Holdings Co NGO:9956 78 Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates NGO:9956 with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,976.18 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,084 Retail - Cyclical companies, Valor Holdings Co ranks better than 54.7% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Valor Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NGO:9956' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.74   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.27
Current: -2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Valor Holdings Co was -2.27. The lowest was -2.74. And the median was -2.60.


Valor Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Valor Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Valor Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Valor Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.71 -2.27 -2.57 -2.62

Valor Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.62

NGO:9956 vs DDS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Department Stores subindustry, Valor Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Valor Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Valor Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Valor Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NGO:9956
78GF Score
Valor Holdings Co Ltd NGO:9956
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Valor Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Valor Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1067+0.528 * 0.9828+0.404 * 1.0249+0.892 * 1.0815+0.115 * 0.9651
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9624+4.679 * -0.065469-0.327 * 1.024
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円36,632 Mil.
Revenue was 円924,113 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円273,779 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円154,219 Mil.
Total Assets was 円514,858 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円265,004 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円27,141 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円23,421 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円195,460 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円75,735 Mil.
Net Income was 円16,476 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円50,183 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円30,605 Mil.
Revenue was 円854,435 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円248,772 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円134,948 Mil.
Total Assets was 円460,843 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円242,374 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円23,872 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円22,501 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円167,728 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円69,330 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(36632 / 924113) / (30605 / 854435)
=0.03964 / 0.035819
=1.1067

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(248772 / 854435) / (273779 / 924113)
=0.291154 / 0.296261
=0.9828

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (154219 + 265004) / 514858) / (1 - (134948 + 242374) / 460843)
=0.18575 / 0.181235
=1.0249

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=924113 / 854435
=1.0815

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(23872 / (23872 + 242374)) / (27141 / (27141 + 265004))
=0.089661 / 0.092902
=0.9651

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(23421 / 924113) / (22501 / 854435)
=0.025344 / 0.026334
=0.9624

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((75735 + 195460) / 514858) / ((69330 + 167728) / 460843)
=0.526737 / 0.514401
=1.024

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(16476 - 0 - 50183) / 514858
=-0.065469

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Valor Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 mean?
Valor Holdings Co (NGO:9956) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 as of Jul. 21, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Valor Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Valor Holdings Co ranks #491 out of 1084 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 45.3%.
Is Valor Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Valor Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Based on the distribution chart, Valor Holdings Co ranks #491 out of 1084 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Valor Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Valor Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to DDS?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Valor Holdings Co ranks #491 out of 1084 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Valor Holdings Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Valor Holdings Co and its competitors. Valor Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Valor Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valor Holdings Co (NGO:9956) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,976.18, compared to a current price of 円3,425.00 — trading 15.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Valor Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Valor Holdings Co (NGO:9956), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Valor Holdings Co (NGO:9956) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valor Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円3,425.00 is trading 15.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,976.18. GuruFocus considers Valor Holdings Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NGO:9956:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.62
  • GF Value™: 円2,976.18 vs. price of 円3,425.00 (15.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:9956 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Valor Holdings Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 9956:Japan
Address 661-1, Ohari Cho, Tajimi-shi, Gifu, JPN, 507-0062
Valor Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in the processing and retail of food and other lifestyle-related goods. It owns Supermarket, Drug store, Home center, Sports club and Pet Shop among others.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGO:9956

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,425.00
Price
円2,976.18
GF Value