Aradel Holdings (NSA:ARADEL) Beneish M-Score: 5.92 (As of Jul. 05, 2026) — 65% Below Median


NSA:ARADEL Aradel Holdings PLC NSA:ARADEL
16 GF Score
Price ₦1,275.80
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Aradel Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Aradel Holdings NSA:ARADEL 16 Beneish M-Score is 5.92 as of Jul. 05, 2026, which is 65% below its 10-year median of 16.89. GuruFocus rates NSA:ARADEL with a GF Score™ of 16/100. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Oil & Gas companies, Aradel Holdings ranks worse than 97.69% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 5.92 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aradel Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSA:ARADEL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.92   Med: 16.89   Max: 27.86
Current: 5.92

During the past 3 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aradel Holdings was 27.86. The lowest was 5.92. And the median was 16.89.


Aradel Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aradel Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aradel Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Aradel Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
0.00 0.00 27.86

Aradel Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.86 5.92

NSA:ARADEL vs XOM, CVX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Aradel Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aradel Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Aradel Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aradel Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NSA:ARADEL
16GF Score
Aradel Holdings PLC NSA:ARADEL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Aradel Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aradel Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 10.5393+0.528 * 1.4961+0.404 * 0.3676+0.892 * 1.913+0.115 * 2.3743
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4912+4.679 * -0.076065-0.327 * 3.7972
=5.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₦1,286,751 Mil.
Revenue was 721281.738 + 150262.233 + 154075.168 + 145362.825 = ₦1,170,982 Mil.
Gross Profit was 253730.73 + 44146.741 + 64504.771 + 66600.994 = ₦428,983 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦3,077,632 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦9,112,526 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦4,906,410 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦246,938 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦66,120 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦3,919,854 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦1,612,493 Mil.
Net Income was 65550.142 + 143415.94 + 88361.986 + 97363.417 = ₦394,691 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₦0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 930660.214 + 10434.535 + 53198.864 + 93546.372 = ₦1,087,840 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₦63,821 Mil.
Revenue was 180027.237 + 162144.944 + 93432.655 + 176504.76 = ₦612,110 Mil.
Gross Profit was 71057.867 + 111365.642 + 47289.706 + 105785.303 = ₦335,499 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦475,077 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦1,634,187 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦608,571 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦78,129 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦23,178 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦228,476 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦32,802 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1286751.045 / 1170981.964) / (63821.1 / 612109.596)
=1.098865 / 0.104264
=10.5393

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(335498.518 / 612109.596) / (428983.236 / 1170981.964)
=0.548102 / 0.366345
=1.4961

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3077631.514 + 4906409.786) / 9112526.1) / (1 - (475076.862 + 608570.677) / 1634187.076)
=0.123839 / 0.336889
=0.3676

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1170981.964 / 612109.596
=1.913

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(78128.853 / (78128.853 + 608570.677)) / (246937.869 / (246937.869 + 4906409.786))
=0.113774 / 0.047918
=2.3743

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(66120.096 / 1170981.964) / (23177.656 / 612109.596)
=0.056466 / 0.037865
=1.4912

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1612493.218 + 3919854.388) / 9112526.1) / ((32802.473 + 228476.032) / 1634187.076)
=0.607115 / 0.159883
=3.7972

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(394691.485 - 0 - 1087839.985) / 9112526.1
=-0.076065

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aradel Holdings has a M-score of 5.92 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 5.92 mean?
Aradel Holdings (NSA:ARADEL) has a Beneish M-Score of 5.92 as of Jul. 05, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aradel Holdings and its competitors. This is 65% below median its historical median of 16.89. Over the past decade, Aradel Holdings' Beneish M-Score has ranged from 5.92 to 27.86. According to the industry distribution chart, Aradel Holdings ranks #805 out of 824 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 97.7%.
Is Aradel Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Aradel Holdings' current Beneish M-Score of 5.92 is 65% below median its 10-year median of 16.89. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 5.92 to a high of 27.86. Based on the distribution chart, Aradel Holdings ranks #805 out of 824 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Aradel Holdings has a GF Score™ of 16/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aradel Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to XOM and CVX?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Aradel Holdings ranks #805 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Aradel Holdings in the lower half of its industry. Historically, Aradel Holdings' own Beneish M-Score has ranged from 5.92 to 27.86 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aradel Holdings and its competitors. Aradel Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is 5.92, which is 65% below median its own 10-year median of 16.89. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aradel Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Aradel Holdings (NSA:ARADEL) has a current Beneish M-Score of 5.92. The current Beneish M-Score is 5.92, which is 65% below median its 10-year median of 16.89. Aradel Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 16/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aradel Holdings (NSA:ARADEL), the current Beneish M-Score is 5.92 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Aradel Holdings Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 15 Babatunde Jose Road, Victoria Island, Lagos, NGA
Aradel Holdings PLC is an indigenous energy company in Nigeria. It engaged in the upstream, midstream, and downstream value chain of the oil and gas industry. Its operations include Energy Transition and Renewable Energy. The group's assets are OML 54, OML 53, OML 34, and OPL 227. The group's operations cover four segments: Crude Oil, Gas, Refinery & Investment Properties. The maximum revenue is from Crude Oil.
16GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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