Lafarge Africa (NSA:WAPCO) Beneish M-Score: -2.58 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


NSA:WAPCO Lafarge Africa PLC NSA:WAPCO
87 GF Score
Price ₦317.40
GF Value ₦126.47
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Lafarge Africa Beneish M-Score?

Lafarge Africa NSA:WAPCO 87 Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates NSA:WAPCO with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of ₦126.47 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 388 Building Materials companies, Lafarge Africa ranks better than 51.55% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lafarge Africa's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSA:WAPCO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.1   Med: -2.16   Max: 19.11
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lafarge Africa was 19.11. The lowest was -7.10. And the median was -2.16.


Lafarge Africa Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lafarge Africa's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lafarge Africa Beneish M-Score Chart

Lafarge Africa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.73 -3.39 -2.99 -2.50 -2.07

Lafarge Africa Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.13 -2.29 -1.82 -2.07 -2.58

NSA:WAPCO vs CRH, VMC, MLM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Building Materials subindustry, Lafarge Africa's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lafarge Africa Beneish M-Score vs Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Lafarge Africa's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lafarge Africa's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NSA:WAPCO
87GF Score
Lafarge Africa PLC NSA:WAPCO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lafarge Africa Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lafarge Africa for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.6441+0.528 * 0.8244+0.404 * 0.5597+0.892 * 1.428+0.115 * 1.0337
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9383+4.679 * -0.166494-0.327 * 1.1193
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₦21,588 Mil.
Revenue was 334882.138 + 285818.921 + 263508.76 + 268626.517 = ₦1,152,836 Mil.
Gross Profit was 205490.276 + 161243.108 + 160356.525 + 172792.318 = ₦699,882 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦678,930 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦1,372,620 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦528,294 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦37,263 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦199,615 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦481,646 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦1,104 Mil.
Net Income was 97954.375 + 65340.174 + 75102.745 + 84033.799 = ₦322,431 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₦0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 139978.946 + 201149.083 + 8901.212 + 200934.305 = ₦550,964 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₦9,195 Mil.
Revenue was 248350.575 + 217262.049 + 183920.434 + 157803.002 = ₦807,336 Mil.
Gross Profit was 122976.096 + 108944.705 + 90129.257 + 81992.372 = ₦404,042 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦303,454 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦914,791 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦414,396 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦30,285 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦148,987 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦285,844 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦1,591 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(21587.616 / 1152836.336) / (9195.272 / 807336.06)
=0.018726 / 0.01139
=1.6441

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(404042.43 / 807336.06) / (699882.227 / 1152836.336)
=0.500464 / 0.607096
=0.8244

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (678930.141 + 528293.759) / 1372619.514) / (1 - (303453.837 + 414395.74) / 914791.298)
=0.120496 / 0.215286
=0.5597

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1152836.336 / 807336.06
=1.428

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(30285.327 / (30285.327 + 414395.74)) / (37263.422 / (37263.422 + 528293.759))
=0.068106 / 0.065888
=1.0337

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(199615.198 / 1152836.336) / (148986.544 / 807336.06)
=0.173151 / 0.184541
=0.9383

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1103.715 + 481646.261) / 1372619.514) / ((1591.117 + 285844.37) / 914791.298)
=0.3517 / 0.314209
=1.1193

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(322431.093 - 0 - 550963.546) / 1372619.514
=-0.166494

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lafarge Africa has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 mean?
Lafarge Africa (NSA:WAPCO) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lafarge Africa and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Lafarge Africa ranks #188 out of 388 companies in the Building Materials industry, placing it in the top 48.5%.
Is Lafarge Africa's Beneish M-Score too high?
Lafarge Africa's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Based on the distribution chart, Lafarge Africa ranks #188 out of 388 companies in the Building Materials industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Lafarge Africa has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lafarge Africa's Beneish M-Score compare to CRH and VMC?
According to the Building Materials industry distribution chart, Lafarge Africa ranks #188 out of 388 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Lafarge Africa in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Building Materials company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Building Materials industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lafarge Africa and its competitors. Lafarge Africa's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lafarge Africa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lafarge Africa (NSA:WAPCO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₦126.47, compared to a current price of ₦317.40 — trading 151% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Lafarge Africa's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lafarge Africa (NSA:WAPCO), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lafarge Africa (NSA:WAPCO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lafarge Africa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₦317.40 is trading 151% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₦126.47. GuruFocus considers Lafarge Africa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NSA:WAPCO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.58
  • GF Value™: ₦126.47 vs. price of ₦317.40 (151% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSA:WAPCO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lafarge Africa Business Description

Address No. 27B, Gerrard Road, Ikoyi, Lagos, NGA
Lafarge Africa PLC through its subsidiaries is engaged in manufacturing and marketing of cement, concrete, and aggregates products, including the provision of building solutions. The brands in products portfolio of the company includes ECOPlanet Unicem, Elephant cement, ThermoSet, Watershield, Powermax, and Supaset cement among others. It has two segments Cement & Readymix products. The majority of the revenue is generated from the cement segment.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSA:WAPCO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₦317.40
Price
₦126.47
GF Value