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Natco Pharma (NSE:NATCOPHARM) Beneish M-Score : -2.05 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Natco Pharma Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.05 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Natco Pharma's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:NATCOPHARM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.62   Med: -2.05   Max: -1.5
Current: -2.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Natco Pharma was -1.50. The lowest was -2.62. And the median was -2.05.


Natco Pharma Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Natco Pharma's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Natco Pharma Beneish M-Score Chart

Natco Pharma Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.14 -2.26 -2.04 -2.33 -2.05

Natco Pharma Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -2.05 - -

Competitive Comparison of Natco Pharma's Beneish M-Score

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Natco Pharma's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natco Pharma's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Natco Pharma's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natco Pharma's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Natco Pharma Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Natco Pharma for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9539+0.528 * 0.9238+0.404 * 1.0371+0.892 * 1.4753+0.115 * 0.9318
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8958+4.679 * 0.025585-0.327 * 1.171
=-2.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹12,685 Mil.
Revenue was ₹39,788 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹31,163 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹40,235 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹69,063 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹24,350 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹1,868 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹2,683 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹9,728 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹53 Mil.
Net Income was ₹13,883 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹12,116 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹9,014 Mil.
Revenue was ₹26,969 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹19,514 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹30,003 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹56,574 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹23,034 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹1,638 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹2,030 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹6,831 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹11 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(12685 / 39788) / (9014 / 26969)
=0.318815 / 0.334236
=0.9539

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(19514 / 26969) / (31163 / 39788)
=0.723572 / 0.783226
=0.9238

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (40235 + 24350) / 69063) / (1 - (30003 + 23034) / 56574)
=0.064839 / 0.06252
=1.0371

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=39788 / 26969
=1.4753

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1638 / (1638 + 23034)) / (1868 / (1868 + 24350))
=0.066391 / 0.071249
=0.9318

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2683 / 39788) / (2030 / 26969)
=0.067432 / 0.075272
=0.8958

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((53 + 9728) / 69063) / ((11 + 6831) / 56574)
=0.141624 / 0.120939
=1.171

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(13883 - 0 - 12116) / 69063
=0.025585

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Natco Pharma has a M-score of -2.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Natco Pharma Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Natco Pharma Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Road No. 2, NATCO House, Banjara Hills, Hyderabad, TG, IND, 500034
Natco Pharma Ltd is a drug manufacturing company. Natco aims to make specialty medicines accessible to all by manufacturing niche pharmaceutical products backed by its research and development capabilities. While the vast majority of the company's revenue is generated in India, the company looks internationally for growth opportunities. The company maintains a presence in Oncology and Hepatology treatment areas. Natco's active pharmaceutical ingredient segment APIs forms a core part of the company's business. The company operates in two different business segments: pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals. It derives maximum revenue from Pharmaceuticals Segment.

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