Natco Pharma (NSE:NATCOPHARM) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NSE:NATCOPHARM Natco Pharma Ltd NSE:NATCOPHARM
88 GF Score
Price ₹838.30
GF Value ₹819.80
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Natco Pharma Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Natco Pharma is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.


Natco Pharma  (NSE:NATCOPHARM) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.


Natco Pharma Risk Assessment Related Terms


NSE:NATCOPHARM vs ZTS: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Natco Pharma's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natco Pharma Risk Assessment vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Natco Pharma's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natco Pharma's Risk Assessment falls into.


NSE:NATCOPHARM
88GF Score
Natco Pharma Ltd NSE:NATCOPHARM
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Natco Pharma (NSE:NATCOPHARM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natco Pharma stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₹838.30 is trading 2.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₹819.80. GuruFocus considers Natco Pharma to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for NSE:NATCOPHARM:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: ₹819.80 vs. price of ₹838.30 (2.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 88/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:NATCOPHARM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Natco Pharma Business Description

Other Exchanges 524816:India
Address Road No. 2, NATCO House, Banjara Hills, Hyderabad, TG, IND, 500034
Natco Pharma Ltd is a drug manufacturing company. Natco aims to make specialty medicines accessible to all by manufacturing niche pharmaceutical products backed by its research and development capabilities. While the vast majority of the company's revenue is generated in India, the company looks internationally for growth opportunities. The company maintains a presence in Oncology and Hepatology treatment areas. Natco's active pharmaceutical ingredient segment APIs forms a core part of the company's business. The company operates in two different business segments: pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals. It derives maximum revenue from Pharmaceuticals Segment.
88GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSE:NATCOPHARM

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹838.30
Price
₹819.80
GF Value