ORVMF (Orvana Minerals) Beneish M-Score: -3.24 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


ORVMF Orvana Minerals Corp ORVMF
31 GF Score
Price $1.04
GF Value $0.32
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Orvana Minerals Beneish M-Score?

Orvana Minerals ORVMF -7.05% 31 Beneish M-Score is -3.24 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates ORVMF with a GF Score™ of 31/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.32 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Orvana Minerals ranks better than 87.45% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.24 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orvana Minerals's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ORVMF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.28   Med: -3.51   Max: 44.42
Current: -3.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orvana Minerals was 44.42. The lowest was -10.28. And the median was -3.51.


Orvana Minerals Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Orvana Minerals's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Orvana Minerals Beneish M-Score Chart

Orvana Minerals Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.54 -4.49 -4.58 -3.55 -3.12

Orvana Minerals Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.47 -3.64 -3.12 -2.24 -3.24

ORVMF vs HL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Orvana Minerals's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orvana Minerals Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Orvana Minerals's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orvana Minerals's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ORVMF
31GF Score
Orvana Minerals Corp ORVMF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Orvana Minerals Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orvana Minerals for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7613+0.528 * 0.6177+0.404 * 0.8583+0.892 * 1.3327+0.115 * 1.9481
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.4145+4.679 * -0.063964-0.327 * 1.3062
=-3.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $6.4 Mil.
Revenue was 54.41 + 32.034 + 23.462 + 26.982 = $136.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 24.755 + 14.494 + 3.861 + 9.571 = $52.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $79.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $231.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $114.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $10.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $15.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $121.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $16.1 Mil.
Net Income was 19.582 + -7.18 + -12.043 + -2.181 = $-1.8 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1.68 + -4.847 + -13.428 + -6.152 = $-22.7 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 29.947 + -0.813 + 1.833 + 4.765 = $35.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was $6.3 Mil.
Revenue was 26.746 + 21.713 + 28.834 + 25.425 = $102.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7.135 + 4.469 + 7.969 + 4.844 = $24.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $49.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $138.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $62.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $12.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $36.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $25.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6.358 / 136.888) / (6.267 / 102.718)
=0.046447 / 0.061012
=0.7613

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(24.417 / 102.718) / (52.681 / 136.888)
=0.237709 / 0.384847
=0.6177

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (79.813 + 114.628) / 231.488) / (1 - (49.616 + 62.698) / 138.055)
=0.160039 / 0.186455
=0.8583

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=136.888 / 102.718
=1.3327

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(12.117 / (12.117 + 62.698)) / (10.394 / (10.394 + 114.628))
=0.16196 / 0.083137
=1.9481

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(15.355 / 136.888) / (4.772 / 102.718)
=0.112172 / 0.046457
=2.4145

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16.061 + 121.19) / 231.488) / ((25.881 + 36.784) / 138.055)
=0.592908 / 0.453913
=1.3062

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-1.822 - -22.747 - 35.732) / 231.488
=-0.063964

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orvana Minerals has a M-score of -3.20 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.24 mean?
Orvana Minerals (ORVMF) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.24 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orvana Minerals and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Orvana Minerals ranks #86 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 12.6%.
Is Orvana Minerals' Beneish M-Score too high?
Orvana Minerals' current Beneish M-Score is -3.24. Based on the distribution chart, Orvana Minerals ranks #86 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Orvana Minerals has a GF Score™ of 31/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Orvana Minerals' Beneish M-Score compare to HL?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Orvana Minerals ranks #86 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Orvana Minerals in the top 13% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orvana Minerals and its competitors. Orvana Minerals's current Beneish M-Score is -3.24. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Orvana Minerals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orvana Minerals (ORVMF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.32, compared to a current price of $1.04 — trading 225.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.24. Orvana Minerals' overall GF Score™ is 31/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Orvana Minerals (ORVMF), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.24 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Orvana Minerals (ORVMF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orvana Minerals stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $1.04 is trading 225.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.32. GuruFocus considers Orvana Minerals to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ORVMF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.24
  • GF Value™: $0.32 vs. price of $1.04 (225.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 31/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ORVMF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Orvana Minerals Business Description

Other Exchanges O6M:GermanyORV:Canada
Address 70 York Street, Suite 1710, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 1S9
Orvana Minerals Corp is a Canadian mining and exploration company that is involved in the evaluation, development, and mining of precious and base metal deposits. The company predominantly operates in the gold and copper mining industry and its majority of the products are gold dore and gold/copper concentrates. Its properties include El Valle and Carles mines and the El Valle processing plant (collectively, El Valle), producer of copper concentrate and dore, Don Mario Operation and Taguas Property. The company's segments include Orovalle, which operates El Valle Mine in Spain, EMIPA which operates Don Mario Mine in Bolivia, Orvana Argentina and Corporate. Majority of the revenue for the company is generated from its Orovalle segment.
31GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ORVMF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.04
Price
$0.32
GF Value