Svenska Aerogel Holding AB (OSTO:AERO) Beneish M-Score: -3.27 (As of Jul. 21, 2026)

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OSTO:AERO Svenska Aerogel Holding AB OSTO:AERO
54 GF Score
Price kr0.80
GF Value kr1.17
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Svenska Aerogel Holding AB Beneish M-Score?

Svenska Aerogel Holding AB OSTO:AERO -5.66% 54 Beneish M-Score is -3.27 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates OSTO:AERO with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of kr1.17 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,526 Chemicals companies, Svenska Aerogel Holding AB ranks better than 91.15% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.27 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSTO:AERO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -19.65   Med: -1.95   Max: 13.95
Current: -3.27

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Svenska Aerogel Holding AB was 13.95. The lowest was -19.65. And the median was -1.95.


Svenska Aerogel Holding AB Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Svenska Aerogel Holding AB Beneish M-Score Chart

Svenska Aerogel Holding AB Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.09 -0.92 -3.57 -3.34 -2.02

Svenska Aerogel Holding AB Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.54 -1.95 -2.02 -2.60 -3.27

OSTO:AERO vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Svenska Aerogel Holding AB Beneish M-Score vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's Beneish M-Score falls into.


OSTO:AERO
54GF Score
Svenska Aerogel Holding AB OSTO:AERO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Svenska Aerogel Holding AB Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Svenska Aerogel Holding AB for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0302+0.528 * 0.8941+0.404 * 0.384+0.892 * 0.8767+0.115 * 0.9511
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.12+4.679 * -0.106034-0.327 * 0.6292
=-3.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr3.69 Mil.
Revenue was 0.465 + 1.116 + 1.2 + 0.901 = kr3.68 Mil.
Gross Profit was -3.352 + -2.898 + -2.383 + -2.911 = kr-11.54 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr18.02 Mil.
Total Assets was kr45.43 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr26.03 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr6.95 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr16.78 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr6.17 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr0.00 Mil.
Net Income was -9.028 + -7.649 + -7.694 + -7.133 = kr-31.50 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -7.179 + -5.553 + -6.952 + -7.003 = kr-26.69 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr4.09 Mil.
Revenue was 1.256 + 1.358 + 1.021 + 0.565 = kr4.20 Mil.
Gross Profit was -3.129 + -2.378 + -2.04 + -4.226 = kr-11.77 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr15.23 Mil.
Total Assets was kr49.28 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr30.15 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr7.56 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr17.09 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr10.21 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr0.42 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3.691 / 3.682) / (4.087 / 4.2)
=1.002444 / 0.973095
=1.0302

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-11.773 / 4.2) / (-11.544 / 3.682)
=-2.803095 / -3.135253
=0.8941

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18.023 + 26.025) / 45.429) / (1 - (15.227 + 30.153) / 49.281)
=0.030399 / 0.079158
=0.384

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3.682 / 4.2
=0.8767

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7.564 / (7.564 + 30.153)) / (6.954 / (6.954 + 26.025))
=0.200546 / 0.210861
=0.9511

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(16.776 / 3.682) / (17.086 / 4.2)
=4.556219 / 4.068095
=1.12

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 6.17) / 45.429) / ((0.423 + 10.214) / 49.281)
=0.135816 / 0.215844
=0.6292

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-31.504 - 0 - -26.687) / 45.429
=-0.106034

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Svenska Aerogel Holding AB has a M-score of -3.27 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.27 mean?
Svenska Aerogel Holding AB (OSTO:AERO) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.27 as of Jul. 21, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Svenska Aerogel Holding AB and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Svenska Aerogel Holding AB ranks #135 out of 1526 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 8.8%.
Is Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's Beneish M-Score too high?
Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's current Beneish M-Score is -3.27. Based on the distribution chart, Svenska Aerogel Holding AB ranks #135 out of 1526 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Svenska Aerogel Holding AB has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's Beneish M-Score compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Svenska Aerogel Holding AB ranks #135 out of 1526 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Svenska Aerogel Holding AB in the top 9% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Chemicals company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Svenska Aerogel Holding AB and its competitors. Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's current Beneish M-Score is -3.27. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Svenska Aerogel Holding AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Svenska Aerogel Holding AB (OSTO:AERO) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is kr1.17, compared to a current price of kr0.80 — trading 31.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.27. Svenska Aerogel Holding AB's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Svenska Aerogel Holding AB (OSTO:AERO), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.27 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Svenska Aerogel Holding AB (OSTO:AERO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Svenska Aerogel Holding AB stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of kr0.80 is trading 31.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr1.17. GuruFocus considers Svenska Aerogel Holding AB to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for OSTO:AERO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.27
  • GF Value™: kr1.17 vs. price of kr0.80 (31.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the OSTO:AERO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Svenska Aerogel Holding AB Business Description

Address Strommavagen 2, Gavle, SWE, 803 09
Svenska Aerogel Holding AB develops and manufactures recyclable aerogel materials for industrial applications. It is focused on the development of Insulation, Color & Surface and Filtering of liquids and gases. The company has the following operating segments: Construction and Property: In the building and construction industry, there is a demand for greater energy efficiency; Process Industry: In the process industry, there is a need for process stability, safety, corrosion protection, and avoiding damage over time; and Advanced: The Advanced segment is dedicated to customers with technically advanced products spanning different industries where innovation and performance at the forefront is being utilized.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OSTO:AERO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr0.80
Price
kr1.17
GF Value