Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co (SHSE:600199) Beneish M-Score: -2.22 (As of Jul. 16, 2026)

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SHSE:600199 Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Ltd SHSE:600199
51 GF Score
Price ¥7.29
GF Value ¥7.50
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Beneish M-Score?

Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co SHSE:600199 +5.04% 51 Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHSE:600199 with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥7.50 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 199 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co ranks worse than 78.89% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.22 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600199' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.44   Med: -2.05   Max: -1.24
Current: -2.22

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co was -1.24. The lowest was -3.44. And the median was -2.05.


Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.98 -1.91 -2.94 -3.17 -3.22

Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.44 -2.46 -2.93 -3.22 -2.22

SHSE:600199 vs BF.B: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SHSE:600199
51GF Score
Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Ltd SHSE:600199
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5491+0.528 * 0.7832+0.404 * 0.9835+0.892 * 0.7685+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6616+4.679 * 0.017001-0.327 * 1.1669
=-2.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥97.4 Mil.
Revenue was 190.254 + 94.059 + 144.396 + 187.522 = ¥616.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 97.204 + 9.699 + 64.296 + 83.921 = ¥255.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥1,896.9 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥3,008.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥810.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥90.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥834.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥104.3 Mil.
Net Income was -15.241 + -98.082 + -28.299 + -33.269 = ¥-174.9 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -78.858 + -101.004 + 1.119 + -47.291 = ¥-226.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥81.8 Mil.
Revenue was 296.052 + 119.29 + 139.209 + 247.268 = ¥801.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 123.442 + 11.629 + 21.824 + 103.107 = ¥260.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥1,900.0 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥3,101.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥886.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥177.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥829.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥0.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(97.395 / 616.231) / (81.805 / 801.819)
=0.158049 / 0.102024
=1.5491

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(260.002 / 801.819) / (255.12 / 616.231)
=0.324265 / 0.414001
=0.7832

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1896.857 + 810.677) / 3008.286) / (1 - (1899.954 + 886.049) / 3101.268)
=0.099975 / 0.101657
=0.9835

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=616.231 / 801.819
=0.7685

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 886.049)) / (0 / (0 + 810.677))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(90.173 / 616.231) / (177.347 / 801.819)
=0.14633 / 0.221181
=0.6616

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((104.312 + 834.273) / 3008.286) / ((0 + 829.187) / 3101.268)
=0.312 / 0.26737
=1.1669

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-174.891 - 0 - -226.034) / 3008.286
=0.017001

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co has a M-score of -2.22 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 mean?
Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co (SHSE:600199) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 as of Jul. 16, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co ranks #157 out of 199 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 78.9%.
Is Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. Based on the distribution chart, Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co ranks #157 out of 199 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's Beneish M-Score compare to BF.B?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co ranks #157 out of 199 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co and its competitors. Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co (SHSE:600199) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥7.50, compared to a current price of ¥7.29 — trading 2.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co's overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co (SHSE:600199), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co (SHSE:600199) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ¥7.29 is trading 2.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥7.50. GuruFocus considers Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:600199:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.22
  • GF Value™: ¥7.50 vs. price of ¥7.29 (2.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:600199 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Business Description

Address No. 302, Hebin Road, Anhui Province, Fuyang, CHN, 236023
Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co Ltd is engaged in the production of liquor, biochemical pharmaceutical products, and packaging materials.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:600199

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥7.29
Price
¥7.50
GF Value