Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649) Beneish M-Score: -2.62 (As of Jul. 16, 2026)

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SHSE:600649 Shanghai SMI Holding Co Ltd SHSE:600649
56 GF Score
Price ¥3.69
GF Value ¥7.28
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Shanghai SMI Holding Co Beneish M-Score?

Shanghai SMI Holding Co SHSE:600649 +1.10% 56 Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHSE:600649 with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥7.28 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,682 Real Estate companies, Shanghai SMI Holding Co ranks better than 67.18% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600649' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -12.55   Med: -1.05   Max: 4.89
Current: -2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shanghai SMI Holding Co was 4.89. The lowest was -12.55. And the median was -1.05.


Shanghai SMI Holding Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shanghai SMI Holding Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Shanghai SMI Holding Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.17 -0.84 -2.35 0.09 -2.05

Shanghai SMI Holding Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.04 3.17 4.89 -2.05 -2.62

Shanghai SMI Holding Co Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shanghai SMI Holding Co Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SHSE:600649
56GF Score
Shanghai SMI Holding Co Ltd SHSE:600649
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shanghai SMI Holding Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shanghai SMI Holding Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9098+0.528 * 0.7894+0.404 * 1.1269+0.892 * 1.1426+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9206+4.679 * -0.031473-0.327 * 0.9766
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥2,348 Mil.
Revenue was 852.83 + 4942.111 + 3587.788 + 3587.047 = ¥12,970 Mil.
Gross Profit was 321.049 + 888.512 + 547.661 + 598.963 = ¥2,356 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥58,770 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥80,529 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,272 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥290 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥24,643 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥33,076 Mil.
Net Income was 7.266 + 2.689 + 133.338 + 129.683 = ¥273 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1077.409 + 817.903 + 771.466 + 2295.512 = ¥2,807 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥2,258 Mil.
Revenue was 2339.746 + 8516.378 + 262.984 + 231.843 = ¥11,351 Mil.
Gross Profit was 484.03 + 1003.217 + 51.002 + 89.674 = ¥1,628 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥65,014 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥85,407 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,113 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥276 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥31,832 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥30,850 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2347.611 / 12969.776) / (2258.368 / 11350.951)
=0.181006 / 0.198958
=0.9098

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1627.923 / 11350.951) / (2356.185 / 12969.776)
=0.143417 / 0.181667
=0.7894

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (58770.22 + 1272.489) / 80529.078) / (1 - (65013.587 + 1112.852) / 85406.566)
=0.254397 / 0.225745
=1.1269

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12969.776 / 11350.951
=1.1426

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 1112.852)) / (0 / (0 + 1272.489))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(290.291 / 12969.776) / (275.977 / 11350.951)
=0.022382 / 0.024313
=0.9206

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((33075.693 + 24643.371) / 80529.078) / ((30850.072 + 31832.081) / 85406.566)
=0.716748 / 0.733927
=0.9766

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(272.976 - 0 - 2807.472) / 80529.078
=-0.031473

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shanghai SMI Holding Co has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 mean?
Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 as of Jul. 16, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Shanghai SMI Holding Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Shanghai SMI Holding Co ranks #552 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 32.8%.
Is Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Shanghai SMI Holding Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Based on the distribution chart, Shanghai SMI Holding Co ranks #552 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Shanghai SMI Holding Co has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Shanghai SMI Holding Co ranks #552 out of 1682 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Shanghai SMI Holding Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Shanghai SMI Holding Co and its competitors. Shanghai SMI Holding Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shanghai SMI Holding Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥7.28, compared to a current price of ¥3.69 — trading 49.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Shanghai SMI Holding Co's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shanghai SMI Holding Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ¥3.69 is trading 49.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥7.28. GuruFocus considers Shanghai SMI Holding Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:600649:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.62
  • GF Value™: ¥7.28 vs. price of ¥3.69 (49.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:600649 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shanghai SMI Holding Co Business Description

Address No.130, Wusong Road, Hongkou District, Shanghai, CHN, 200125
Shanghai SMI Holding Co Ltd is a real estate company. The company is a provider of comprehensive real estate, environmental and venture capital services with impressive core competence in China. Its real estate business includes the development of land, the construction of housing and commercial housing such as office parks, office building, and others. The company's investment business mainly includes direct equity investment such as invests in the listed companies and private equity investment fund management includes PE and urban development funds.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:600649

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥3.69
Price
¥7.28
GF Value