Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Shanghai SMI Holding CoSHSE:600649 +1.10%56 Altman Z2-Score is 3.87 as of Jul. 16, 2026, which is 21% below its 10-year median of 4.90. GuruFocus rates SHSE:600649 with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥7.28 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,770 Real Estate companies, Shanghai SMI Holding Co ranks better than 60.96% on this metric.
Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.
Good Sign:
Shanghai SMI Holding Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.87, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:
SHSE:600649'
s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.51 Med: 4.9 Max: 6.02
Current: 3.87
During the past 13 years, Shanghai SMI Holding Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 6.02. The lowest was 3.51. And the median was 4.90.
Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649) Altman Z2-Score Explanation
The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Shanghai SMI Holding Co Altman Z2-Score Competitor Comparison
For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Shanghai SMI Holding Co Altman Z2-Score vs Real Estate Industry
For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.
Shanghai SMI Holding Co Altman Z2-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.
Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649) has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.87 as of Jul. 16, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Shanghai SMI Holding Co and its competitors. This is 21% below median its historical median of 4.90. Over the past decade, Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.51 to 6.02. According to the industry distribution chart, Shanghai SMI Holding Co ranks #691 out of 1770 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 39%.
Is Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Shanghai SMI Holding Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.87 is 21% below median its 10-year median of 4.90. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.51 to a high of 6.02. The Real Estate industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.01. Shanghai SMI Holding Co's value of 3.87 is 28.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Shanghai SMI Holding Co ranks #691 out of 1770 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Shanghai SMI Holding Co has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shanghai SMI Holding Co's Altman Z2-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Shanghai SMI Holding Co ranks #691 out of 1770 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Shanghai SMI Holding Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.01. Shanghai SMI Holding Co's value of 3.87 is 28.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Shanghai SMI Holding Co's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.51 to 6.02 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.90 vs. the industry median of 3.01, Shanghai SMI Holding Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Real Estate company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Real Estate companies is 3.01, based on 1,770 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Shanghai SMI Holding Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.87 is 28.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Shanghai SMI Holding Co and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 3.01 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Shanghai SMI Holding Co's current Altman Z2-Score is 3.87, which is 21% below median its own 10-year median of 4.90. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shanghai SMI Holding Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥7.28, compared to a current price of ¥3.69 — trading 49.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 3.87, which is 21% below median its 10-year median of 4.90 and 28.8% above the Real Estate industry median of 3.01. Shanghai SMI Holding Co's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649), the current Altman Z2-Score is 3.87 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Shanghai SMI Holding Co (SHSE:600649) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shanghai SMI Holding Co stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of ¥3.69 is trading 49.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥7.28.
GuruFocus considers Shanghai SMI Holding Co to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for SHSE:600649:
Altman Z2-Score: 3.87 (21% below median its 10-year median of 4.90)
GF Value™: ¥7.28 vs. price of ¥3.69 (49.3% below fair value)
Industry Position: 28.8% above the Real Estate median (#691 of 1770)
No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:600649 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Shanghai SMI Holding Co Ltd is a real estate company. The company is a provider of comprehensive real estate, environmental and venture capital services with impressive core competence in China. Its real estate business includes the development of land, the construction of housing and commercial housing such as office parks, office building, and others. The company's investment business mainly includes direct equity investment such as invests in the listed companies and private equity investment fund management includes PE and urban development funds.
56GF Score
Get the complete analysis for SHSE:600649
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
SHSE:600649 has been successfully added to your 
