Zhongce Rubber Group Co (SHSE:603049) Beneish M-Score: -1.65 (As of Jul. 15, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SHSE:603049 Zhongce Rubber Group Co Ltd SHSE:603049
11 GF Score
Price ¥47.92
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Zhongce Rubber Group Co Beneish M-Score?

Zhongce Rubber Group Co SHSE:603049 +1.03% 11 Beneish M-Score is -1.65 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHSE:603049 with a GF Score™ of 11/100. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,274 Vehicles & Parts companies, Zhongce Rubber Group Co ranks worse than 90.58% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.65 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Zhongce Rubber Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603049' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.05   Med: -1.47   Max: 17.94
Current: -1.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Zhongce Rubber Group Co was 17.94. The lowest was -3.05. And the median was -1.47.


Zhongce Rubber Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Zhongce Rubber Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Zhongce Rubber Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Zhongce Rubber Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 -1.47

Zhongce Rubber Group Co Quarterly Data
Sep07 Dec07 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.05 0.00 -1.47 -1.65

SHSE:603049 vs ORLY, AZO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Zhongce Rubber Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zhongce Rubber Group Co Beneish M-Score vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Zhongce Rubber Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zhongce Rubber Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SHSE:603049
11GF Score
Zhongce Rubber Group Co Ltd SHSE:603049
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Zhongce Rubber Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Zhongce Rubber Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.063+0.528 * 2.0219+0.404 * 0.9038+0.892 * 1.1152+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0782+4.679 * 0.031682-0.327 * 0.8825
=-1.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥10,439 Mil.
Revenue was 11190.703 + 11273.603 + 11827.565 + 11214.245 = ¥45,506 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2577.564 + 1899.057 + 2450.296 + 2207.059 = ¥9,134 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥26,704 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥53,805 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥24,175 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥1,377 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥24,955 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥2,648 Mil.
Net Income was 1219.621 + 634.259 + 1190.975 + 1170.678 = ¥4,216 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 621.896 + 1073.752 + 817.702 + -2.469 = ¥2,511 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥8,806 Mil.
Revenue was 10640.817 + 9961.501 + 10775.11 + 9428.263 = ¥40,806 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2281.037 + 1385.189 + 10775.11 + 2119.373 = ¥16,561 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥22,828 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥46,615 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥20,983 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥1,145 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥23,190 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥3,908 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10439.315 / 45506.116) / (8806.387 / 40805.691)
=0.229405 / 0.215813
=1.063

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(16560.709 / 40805.691) / (9133.976 / 45506.116)
=0.405843 / 0.20072
=2.0219

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (26704.148 + 24175.388) / 53805) / (1 - (22827.965 + 20982.676) / 46614.888)
=0.054372 / 0.060158
=0.9038

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=45506.116 / 40805.691
=1.1152

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 20982.676)) / (0 / (0 + 24175.388))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1377.031 / 45506.116) / (1145.202 / 40805.691)
=0.03026 / 0.028065
=1.0782

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2647.913 + 24954.889) / 53805) / ((3907.769 + 23190.088) / 46614.888)
=0.513016 / 0.581313
=0.8825

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4215.533 - 0 - 2510.881) / 53805
=0.031682

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Zhongce Rubber Group Co has a M-score of -1.65 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.65 mean?
Zhongce Rubber Group Co (SHSE:603049) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.65 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Zhongce Rubber Group Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Zhongce Rubber Group Co ranks #1154 out of 1274 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 90.6%.
Is Zhongce Rubber Group Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Zhongce Rubber Group Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.65. Based on the distribution chart, Zhongce Rubber Group Co ranks #1154 out of 1274 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Zhongce Rubber Group Co has a GF Score™ of 11/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Zhongce Rubber Group Co's Beneish M-Score compare to ORLY and AZO?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Zhongce Rubber Group Co ranks #1154 out of 1274 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Zhongce Rubber Group Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Zhongce Rubber Group Co and its competitors. Zhongce Rubber Group Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.65. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Zhongce Rubber Group Co stock overvalued right now?
Zhongce Rubber Group Co (SHSE:603049) has a current Beneish M-Score of -1.65. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.65. Zhongce Rubber Group Co's overall GF Score™ is 11/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Zhongce Rubber Group Co (SHSE:603049), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.65 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Zhongce Rubber Group Co Business Description

Address No. 1, No. 1 Street, Qiantang District, Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, CHN, 310008
Zhongce Rubber Group Co Ltd is engaged in Research and development, production and sales of tire products such as all-steel tires, semi-steel tires, bias tires and car tires.
11GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:603049

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥47.92
Price