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Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co (SHSE:603198) Beneish M-Score : -2.08 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603198' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.2   Med: -2.53   Max: -1.95
Current: -2.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co was -1.95. The lowest was -3.20. And the median was -2.53.


Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.92 -2.02 -2.68 -2.35 -2.70

Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.70 -2.32 -2.12 -2.08

Competitive Comparison of Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2154+0.528 * 0.9512+0.404 * 0.9692+0.892 * 1.1443+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9691+4.679 * 0.016123-0.327 * 0.8971
=-2.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥85 Mil.
Revenue was 1728.049 + 1460.732 + 2324.673 + 1875.851 = ¥7,389 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1310.551 + 1039.292 + 1745.66 + 1347.83 = ¥5,443 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥8,920 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥12,057 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,543 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥431 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,618 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥14 Mil.
Net Income was 627.538 + 465.691 + 912.951 + 618.637 = ¥2,625 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 691.36 + -36.298 + 619.537 + 1155.819 = ¥2,430 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥61 Mil.
Revenue was 1701.184 + 1227.044 + 1916.008 + 1613.033 = ¥6,457 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1218.755 + 865.854 + 1363.821 + 1076.278 = ¥4,525 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥7,853 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥10,407 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,025 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥389 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,510 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥21 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(84.718 / 7389.305) / (60.911 / 6457.269)
=0.011465 / 0.009433
=1.2154

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4524.708 / 6457.269) / (5443.333 / 7389.305)
=0.700715 / 0.73665
=0.9512

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8920.161 + 2543.015) / 12057.13) / (1 - (7853.372 + 2024.645) / 10406.953)
=0.049262 / 0.050825
=0.9692

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7389.305 / 6457.269
=1.1443

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 2024.645)) / (0 / (0 + 2543.015))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(430.848 / 7389.305) / (388.526 / 6457.269)
=0.058307 / 0.060169
=0.9691

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13.633 + 2617.84) / 12057.13) / ((21.247 + 2510.483) / 10406.953)
=0.21825 / 0.243273
=0.8971

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2624.817 - 0 - 2430.418) / 12057.13
=0.016123

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co has a M-score of -2.08 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Huoshan County Buddha Zhen, Liuan, CHN, 237271
Anhui Yingjia, or Yingjia, is the second-largest baijiu distiller in Anhui province by sales revenue in 2023. The company produces rich-flavored baijiu, and it is one of the well-known brands in the mainstream market in Anhui and its surrounding provinces. Its flagship product, the Dongcang Yearly series, contributed about 45% of company sales in 2023. Yingjia is 72% held by Anhui Yingjia Group, following a management buyout in 1997, so ownership comprises mainly Yingjia's management and core employees.
Executives
Guang Jia Quan Director

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