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Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin (SHSE:603969) Beneish M-Score : -2.47 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.47 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603969' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.5   Med: -2.33   Max: -1.57
Current: -2.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin was -1.57. The lowest was -3.50. And the median was -2.33.


Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score Chart

Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.37 -2.10 -2.40 -2.02

Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -2.02 -2.08 -2.09 -2.47

Competitive Comparison of Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1008+0.528 * 0.7633+0.404 * 0.9634+0.892 * 1.1238+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.2181+4.679 * 0.042602-0.327 * 1.1224
=-2.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥2,271 Mil.
Revenue was 848.989 + 880.726 + 472.747 + 730.827 = ¥2,933 Mil.
Gross Profit was 263.892 + 114.698 + 103.523 + 106.986 = ¥589 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥3,137 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥3,848 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥301 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥185 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥1,254 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥197 Mil.
Net Income was 68.246 + 61.072 + 39.346 + 53.459 = ¥222 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -69.833 + -77.504 + 133.936 + 71.582 = ¥58 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,836 Mil.
Revenue was 737.435 + 799.134 + 481.245 + 592.332 = ¥2,610 Mil.
Gross Profit was 108.902 + 96.678 + 101.634 + 92.888 = ¥400 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥2,672 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥3,347 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥304 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥74 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥1,124 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥1 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2271.081 / 2933.289) / (1835.835 / 2610.146)
=0.774244 / 0.703346
=1.1008

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(400.102 / 2610.146) / (589.099 / 2933.289)
=0.153287 / 0.200832
=0.7633

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3136.882 + 301.188) / 3848.243) / (1 - (2672.306 + 304.28) / 3346.867)
=0.106587 / 0.110635
=0.9634

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2933.289 / 2610.146
=1.1238

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 304.28)) / (0 / (0 + 301.188))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(185.474 / 2933.289) / (74.408 / 2610.146)
=0.063231 / 0.028507
=2.2181

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((197.435 + 1254.059) / 3848.243) / ((0.731 + 1124.034) / 3346.867)
=0.377184 / 0.336065
=1.1224

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(222.123 - 0 - 58.181) / 3848.243
=0.042602

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin has a M-score of -2.47 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Tianjin Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No.62 Shuangyuan Industry Park, Shuangjiang Road, Beichen District, Tianjin, CHN, 300400
Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co Ltd Tianjin is engaged in the manufacturing of prestressed concrete steels. Its products include the whole system of PC wire, PC bar, and PC strand, also developed the special PC steel and the large diameter pre-stressed steel rods, hollow pre-stressed anchor bars, and for customers to develop all kinds of new products. It also researches of Railway sleeper, Railway track plate, bridges, PCCP water division pipe, hollow core board, PC pile and other Prestressed concrete structure.
Executives
Zhong Zhi Chao Director
Xie Zhi Chao senior management
Ai Zhi Gang senior management
Zhang Qi Ming senior management
Yu Jing Qi Director
Xie Zhi Feng Director
Xie Tie Gen Director
Xie Zhao Ting Supervisors
Xie Hui Zong senior management
Xie Zhi Qin senior management
Li Jing Quan senior management
Zhang Xin Director
Sun Wei Na Director
Xie Tie Qiao Director
Lian Jiang Supervisors

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