Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin (SHSE:603969) Beneish M-Score: -2.35 (As of Jul. 07, 2026)


SHSE:603969 Silvery Dragon Group Co Ltd Tianjin SHSE:603969
86 GF Score
Price ¥7.81
GF Value ¥7.47
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score?

Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin SHSE:603969 -3.58% 86 Beneish M-Score is -2.35 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHSE:603969 with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥7.47 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 588 Steel companies, Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin ranks worse than 61.05% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.35 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603969' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.44   Med: -2.25   Max: -1.12
Current: -2.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin was -1.12. The lowest was -4.44. And the median was -2.25.


Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score Chart

Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.13 -2.40 -2.12 -1.99 -2.24

Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.60 -2.03 -1.85 -2.24 -2.35

SHSE:603969 vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SHSE:603969
86GF Score
Silvery Dragon Group Co Ltd Tianjin SHSE:603969
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0636+0.528 * 0.747+0.404 * 1.19+0.892 * 1.0052+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3172+4.679 * 0.038652-0.327 * 1.0194
=-2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥2,503 Mil.
Revenue was 560.727 + 763.086 + 969.984 + 888.464 = ¥3,182 Mil.
Gross Profit was 144.436 + 208.747 + 235.34 + 218.153 = ¥807 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥3,634 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥4,569 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥357 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥87 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥1,369 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥308 Mil.
Net Income was 65.615 + 92.606 + 101.349 + 102.064 = ¥362 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -47.167 + 56.736 + 69.526 + 105.954 = ¥185 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥2,342 Mil.
Revenue was 584.783 + 851.198 + 848.989 + 880.726 = ¥3,166 Mil.
Gross Profit was 139.305 + 81.576 + 263.892 + 114.698 = ¥599 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥3,220 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥3,998 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥354 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥65 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥1,136 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥304 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2503.464 / 3182.261) / (2341.537 / 3165.696)
=0.786693 / 0.739659
=1.0636

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(599.471 / 3165.696) / (806.676 / 3182.261)
=0.189365 / 0.253491
=0.747

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3633.927 + 357.385) / 4568.533) / (1 - (3219.893 + 353.609) / 3997.975)
=0.126347 / 0.106172
=1.19

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3182.261 / 3165.696
=1.0052

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 353.609)) / (0 / (0 + 357.385))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(86.62 / 3182.261) / (65.42 / 3165.696)
=0.02722 / 0.020665
=1.3172

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((308.093 + 1369.222) / 4568.533) / ((303.637 + 1136.239) / 3997.975)
=0.367145 / 0.360151
=1.0194

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(361.634 - 0 - 185.049) / 4568.533
=0.038652

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin has a M-score of -2.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.35 mean?
Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin (SHSE:603969) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.35 as of Jul. 07, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin ranks #359 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 61.1%.
Is Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score too high?
Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's current Beneish M-Score is -2.35. Based on the distribution chart, Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin ranks #359 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin ranks #359 out of 588 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin and its competitors. Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's current Beneish M-Score is -2.35. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin (SHSE:603969) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥7.47, compared to a current price of ¥7.81 — trading 4.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.35. Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin (SHSE:603969), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.35 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin (SHSE:603969) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ¥7.81 is trading 4.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ¥7.47. GuruFocus considers Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:603969:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.35
  • GF Value™: ¥7.47 vs. price of ¥7.81 (4.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:603969 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Silvery Dragon Group Co Tianjin Business Description

Address No.62 Shuangjiang Road, Shuangyuan Industry Park, Beichen District, Tianjin, CHN, 300400
Silvery Dragon Group Co Ltd Tianjin is engaged in the research, development, production, and sale of steel for prestressed concrete. Its licensed business activities include the production of steel bar products for construction, the undertaking of construction projects and the design of construction projects.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:603969

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥7.81
Price
¥7.47
GF Value