SOOBF (Sapporo Holdings) Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


SOOBF Sapporo Holdings Ltd SOOBF
61 GF Score
Price $10.66
GF Value $7.76
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Sapporo Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Sapporo Holdings SOOBF +9.60% 61 Beneish M-Score is -2.91 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates SOOBF with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of $7.76 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 202 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Sapporo Holdings ranks better than 75.74% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sapporo Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SOOBF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.73
Current: -2.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sapporo Holdings was -1.73. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.59.


Sapporo Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Sapporo Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Sapporo Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Sapporo Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.39 -2.72 -2.71 -2.92

Sapporo Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.88 -2.77 -2.92 -2.91

SOOBF vs STZ, TAP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Sapporo Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sapporo Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Sapporo Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sapporo Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SOOBF
61GF Score
Sapporo Holdings Ltd SOOBF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Sapporo Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Sapporo Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8752+0.528 * 0.9279+0.404 * 0.5248+0.892 * 0.9559+0.115 * 0.9504
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0312+4.679 * -0.024194-0.327 * 0.9488
=-2.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $433 Mil.
Revenue was 686.773 + 797.05 + 932.573 + 872.196 = $3,289 Mil.
Gross Profit was 221.933 + 265.741 + 328.392 + 294.179 = $1,110 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,088 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,020 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $898 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $143 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $932 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,297 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $900 Mil.
Net Income was -5.533 + 55.197 + 61.577 + 41.59 = $153 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -11.829 + 88.292 + 137.607 + 36.032 = $250 Mil.
Total Receivables was $517 Mil.
Revenue was 796.189 + 824.676 + 964.849 + 854.542 = $3,440 Mil.
Gross Profit was 231.803 + 255.626 + 311.254 + 279.051 = $1,078 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,143 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,255 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,025 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $154 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $946 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,353 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,098 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(432.858 / 3288.592) / (517.384 / 3440.256)
=0.131624 / 0.150391
=0.8752

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1077.734 / 3440.256) / (1110.245 / 3288.592)
=0.313271 / 0.337605
=0.9279

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2087.947 + 897.54) / 4020.4) / (1 - (1143.249 + 1024.557) / 4255.046)
=0.257415 / 0.490533
=0.5248

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3288.592 / 3440.256
=0.9559

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(153.803 / (153.803 + 1024.557)) / (142.887 / (142.887 + 897.54))
=0.130523 / 0.137335
=0.9504

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(932.065 / 3288.592) / (945.542 / 3440.256)
=0.283424 / 0.274846
=1.0312

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((899.953 + 1297.356) / 4020.4) / ((1098.273 + 1352.873) / 4255.046)
=0.54654 / 0.576056
=0.9488

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(152.831 - 0 - 250.102) / 4020.4
=-0.024194

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Sapporo Holdings has a M-score of -2.97 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.91 mean?
Sapporo Holdings (SOOBF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.91 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Sapporo Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Sapporo Holdings ranks #49 out of 202 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 24.3%.
Is Sapporo Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Sapporo Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.91. Based on the distribution chart, Sapporo Holdings ranks #49 out of 202 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Sapporo Holdings has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sapporo Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to STZ and TAP?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Sapporo Holdings ranks #49 out of 202 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Sapporo Holdings in the top 24% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Sapporo Holdings and its competitors. Sapporo Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.91. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sapporo Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sapporo Holdings (SOOBF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $7.76, compared to a current price of $10.66 — trading 37.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.91. Sapporo Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sapporo Holdings (SOOBF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.91 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sapporo Holdings (SOOBF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sapporo Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $10.66 is trading 37.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $7.76. GuruFocus considers Sapporo Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SOOBF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.91
  • GF Value™: $7.76 vs. price of $10.66 (37.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SOOBF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Sapporo Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 2501:JapanSBW:Germany
Address 4-20-1 Ebisu, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 150-8522
Sapporo Holdings Ltd is a Japan-based company engaged in producing and supplying alcoholic drinks as well as food products and related services. The company operates through three main segments: Alcoholic Beverages, Food and Beverages, and Real Estate. The Alcoholic Beverages segment handles production and sales of alcoholic drinks along with restaurant operations. The Food and Beverages segment covers the manufacturing and distribution of food items and bottled water. The Real Estate segment is engaged in property leasing activities. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Alcoholic Beverages segment.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SOOBF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$10.66
Price
$7.76
GF Value