Orange Belgium (STU:MOS) Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (As of Sep. 05, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

STU:MOS Orange Belgium SA STU:MOS
65 GF Score
Price €22.00
GF Value €16.26
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score?

Orange Belgium STU:MOS 65 Beneish M-Score is -2.95 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:MOS with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of €16.26 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 355 Telecommunication Services companies, Orange Belgium ranks better than 66.48% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.95 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:MOS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.56   Med: -3.01   Max: 1.71
Current: -2.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orange Belgium was 1.71. The lowest was -3.56. And the median was -3.01.


Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score Chart

Orange Belgium Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.47 -2.86 -2.78 -3.01 -2.95

Orange Belgium Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.01 0.00 -2.95 0.00

STU:MOS vs VZ, TMUS, T: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score vs Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:MOS
65GF Score
Orange Belgium SA STU:MOS
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Orange Belgium Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orange Belgium for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1126+0.528 * 0.9843+0.404 * 0.9662+0.892 * 0.9938+0.115 * 1.0008
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9466+4.679 * -0.11804-0.327 * 0.9948
=-2.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €365 Mil.
Revenue was €1,951 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,315 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €521 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,103 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,995 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €477 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €139 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €957 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,857 Mil.
Net Income was €41 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €526 Mil.
Total Receivables was €330 Mil.
Revenue was €1,963 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,302 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €468 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,076 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,976 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €473 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €148 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €773 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,037 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(365.396 / 1950.633) / (330.474 / 1962.864)
=0.187322 / 0.168363
=1.1126

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1302.493 / 1962.864) / (1315.061 / 1950.633)
=0.663568 / 0.674171
=0.9843

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (521.417 + 1995.022) / 4103.485) / (1 - (468.329 + 1976.26) / 4076.29)
=0.386756 / 0.400291
=0.9662

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1950.633 / 1962.864
=0.9938

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(472.737 / (472.737 + 1976.26)) / (476.749 / (476.749 + 1995.022))
=0.193033 / 0.192877
=1.0008

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(139.141 / 1950.633) / (147.913 / 1962.864)
=0.071331 / 0.075356
=0.9466

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1856.596 + 957.402) / 4103.485) / ((2037.352 + 772.678) / 4076.29)
=0.685758 / 0.68936
=0.9948

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(41.308 - 0 - 525.684) / 4103.485
=-0.11804

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orange Belgium has a M-score of -2.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.95 mean?
Orange Belgium (STU:MOS) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.95 as of Sep. 05, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orange Belgium and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Orange Belgium ranks #119 out of 355 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, placing it in the top 33.5%.
Is Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score too high?
Orange Belgium's current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. Based on the distribution chart, Orange Belgium ranks #119 out of 355 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Orange Belgium has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Orange Belgium's Beneish M-Score compare to VZ and TMUS?
According to the Telecommunication Services industry distribution chart, Orange Belgium ranks #119 out of 355 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Orange Belgium in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Telecommunication Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Telecommunication Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orange Belgium and its competitors. Orange Belgium's current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Orange Belgium stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orange Belgium (STU:MOS) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €16.26, compared to a current price of €22.00 — trading 35.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. Orange Belgium's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Orange Belgium (STU:MOS), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.95 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Orange Belgium (STU:MOS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orange Belgium stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €22.00 is trading 35.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €16.26. GuruFocus considers Orange Belgium to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:MOS:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.95
  • GF Value™: €16.26 vs. price of €22.00 (35.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:MOS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Orange Belgium Business Description

Other Exchanges OBEL:Belgium
Address Avenue du Bourget 3, Brussels, BEL, 1140
Orange Belgium SA provide mobile telecommunication services, internet and TV to private clients, as well as mobile and fixed line services to businesses. Its products and services are offered under service contracts. The Company proposes a range of fixed and mobile telephone services, Internet access services, and content offers (TV) to mass-market and corporate customers. Its offers include Mobile + Internet + TV, Mobile, Internet, TV, Smartphones and mobile phones, Ultra Gaming, Smart Home, hey! telecom. Its services include Orange network, Orange applications, Orange Thank You, Return of your mobile phone, and Social rate. Its segment are Belgium generate maximum revenue and Luxembourg.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:MOS

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€22.00
Price
€16.26
GF Value