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New Hope (STU:OD8) Beneish M-Score : -2.82 (As of Sep. 26, 2024)


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What is New Hope Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for New Hope's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:OD8' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.59   Med: -2.84   Max: 0.04
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of New Hope was 0.04. The lowest was -3.59. And the median was -2.84.


New Hope Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for New Hope's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

New Hope Beneish M-Score Chart

New Hope Annual Data
Trend Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.59 -1.96 0.04 -3.23 -2.82

New Hope Semi-Annual Data
Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.04 - -3.23 - -2.82

Competitive Comparison of New Hope's Beneish M-Score

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, New Hope's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


New Hope's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, New Hope's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New Hope's Beneish M-Score falls into.



New Hope Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of New Hope for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2219+0.528 * 1.3305+0.404 * 1.0361+0.892 * 0.6596+0.115 * 0.8691
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.7911+4.679 * -0.027765-0.327 * 1.4461
=-2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul24) TTM:Last Year (Jul23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €89 Mil.
Revenue was €1,086 Mil.
Gross Profit was €528 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €777 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,133 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,121 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €103 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €109 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €378 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €57 Mil.
Net Income was €293 Mil.
Gross Profit was €6 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €346 Mil.
Total Receivables was €111 Mil.
Revenue was €1,646 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,066 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €676 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,977 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,090 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €86 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €93 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €233 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €46 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(89.292 / 1085.816) / (110.795 / 1646.255)
=0.082235 / 0.067301
=1.2219

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1065.674 / 1646.255) / (528.269 / 1085.816)
=0.647332 / 0.486518
=1.3305

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (776.803 + 1121.109) / 2133.437) / (1 - (676.497 + 1089.889) / 1977.039)
=0.110397 / 0.10655
=1.0361

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1085.816 / 1646.255
=0.6596

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(86.3 / (86.3 + 1089.889)) / (103.378 / (103.378 + 1121.109))
=0.073373 / 0.084426
=0.8691

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(109.358 / 1085.816) / (92.57 / 1646.255)
=0.100715 / 0.056231
=1.7911

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((57.382 + 378.078) / 2133.437) / ((45.801 + 233.258) / 1977.039)
=0.204112 / 0.14115
=1.4461

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(292.687 - 6.27 - 345.651) / 2133.437
=-0.027765

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

New Hope has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


New Hope Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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New Hope Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
175 Eagle Street, Level 18, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
New Hope Corporation is an Australian thermal coal miner. It has two operating mines: the 100%-owned New Acland coal mine in Queensland and its 80%-owned Bengalla coal mine in New South Wales. The company should sell around 13 million metric tons of thermal coal annually from fiscal 2028, up from around 8.7 million in fiscal 2024, driven by the construction and ramp up of New Acland Stage 3. The vast majority of New Hope's production is sold into seaborne thermal coal export markets. Reserves at New Acland and Bengalla are sufficient to support multidecade mine lives. New Hope also has significant undeveloped coal resources in Queensland, as well as a 20% holding in the Malabar-Maxwell metallurgical coal mine, which began production in 2023.

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