Otsuka Holdings Co (STU:OS1) Beneish M-Score: -2.40 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


STU:OS1 Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd STU:OS1
86 GF Score
Price €60.00
GF Value €45.23
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Otsuka Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Otsuka Holdings Co STU:OS1 +2.56% 86 Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:OS1 with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of €45.23 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 911 Drug Manufacturers companies, Otsuka Holdings Co ranks worse than 57.19% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Otsuka Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:OS1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.29   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.11
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Otsuka Holdings Co was -2.11. The lowest was -3.29. And the median was -2.54.


Otsuka Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Otsuka Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Otsuka Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Otsuka Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.50 -2.63 -2.37 -2.46

Otsuka Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.51 -2.25 -2.46 -2.40

STU:OS1 vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Otsuka Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Otsuka Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Otsuka Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Otsuka Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:OS1
86GF Score
Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd STU:OS1
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Otsuka Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Otsuka Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0037+0.528 * 1.0095+0.404 * 0.9509+0.892 * 0.9685+0.115 * 0.9957
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0033+4.679 * -0.007482-0.327 * 0.9016
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €2,903 Mil.
Revenue was 3436.076 + 3561.089 + 3676.084 + 3587.966 = €14,261 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2487.083 + 2505.397 + 2633.415 + 2575.182 = €10,201 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,723 Mil.
Total Assets was €22,945 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,826 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €676 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €5,841 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,740 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €899 Mil.
Net Income was 536.108 + 358.722 + 715.243 + 531.253 = €2,141 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 593.53 + 463.893 + 611.71 + 643.862 = €2,313 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,986 Mil.
Revenue was 3616.904 + 3723.936 + 3914.914 + 3468.667 = €14,724 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2644.807 + 2620.691 + 2865.32 + 2501.12 = €10,632 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,182 Mil.
Total Assets was €22,918 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,816 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €671 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €6,011 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,355 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €785 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2903.185 / 14261.215) / (2986.304 / 14724.421)
=0.203572 / 0.202813
=1.0037

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10631.938 / 14724.421) / (10201.077 / 14261.215)
=0.722062 / 0.715302
=1.0095

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8723.121 + 3826.431) / 22944.868) / (1 - (8182.472 + 3815.87) / 22917.799)
=0.453056 / 0.476462
=0.9509

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14261.215 / 14724.421
=0.9685

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(670.675 / (670.675 + 3815.87)) / (675.986 / (675.986 + 3826.431))
=0.149486 / 0.150138
=0.9957

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5840.815 / 14261.215) / (6010.771 / 14724.421)
=0.409559 / 0.408218
=1.0033

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((899.207 + 3740.102) / 22944.868) / ((784.643 + 4354.663) / 22917.799)
=0.202194 / 0.22425
=0.9016

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2141.326 - 0 - 2312.995) / 22944.868
=-0.007482

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Otsuka Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 mean?
Otsuka Holdings Co (STU:OS1) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Otsuka Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Otsuka Holdings Co ranks #521 out of 911 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 57.2%.
Is Otsuka Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Otsuka Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. Based on the distribution chart, Otsuka Holdings Co ranks #521 out of 911 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Otsuka Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Otsuka Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to LLY and JNJ?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Otsuka Holdings Co ranks #521 out of 911 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Otsuka Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Drug Manufacturers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Drug Manufacturers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Otsuka Holdings Co and its competitors. Otsuka Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Otsuka Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Otsuka Holdings Co (STU:OS1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €45.23, compared to a current price of €60.00 — trading 32.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. Otsuka Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Otsuka Holdings Co (STU:OS1), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Otsuka Holdings Co (STU:OS1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Otsuka Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €60.00 is trading 32.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €45.23. GuruFocus considers Otsuka Holdings Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:OS1:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.40
  • GF Value™: €45.23 vs. price of €60.00 (32.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:OS1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Otsuka Holdings Co Business Description

Address 2-16-4 Konan, Shinagawa Grand Central Tower, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 108-8241
Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd is a Japan-based company that operates in pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals, and consumer products. It operates through four reportable segments: Medical-related Business, Nutraceutical-related Business, Consumer-related Business, and Other Business. The Medical Business manufactures and sells therapeutic drugs and infusions, the Nutraceutical Business produces functional foods, beverages, and nutritional supplements, the Consumer Business offers mineral water, beverages, and foods, while the Other Business provides storage services and manufactures chemicals and analytical equipment. It generates the majority of its revenue from the medical-related business segment.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:OS1

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€60.00
Price
€45.23
GF Value