Sapporo Breweries (STU:SBW) Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (As of Jul. 03, 2026)


STU:SBW Sapporo Breweries Ltd STU:SBW
70 GF Score
Price €9.95
GF Value €7.17
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Sapporo Breweries Beneish M-Score?

Sapporo Breweries STU:SBW +0.51% 70 Beneish M-Score is -2.91 as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:SBW with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of €7.17. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 201 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Sapporo Breweries ranks better than 75.12% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sapporo Breweries's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:SBW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.73
Current: -2.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sapporo Breweries was -1.73. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.59.


Sapporo Breweries Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Sapporo Breweries's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Sapporo Breweries Beneish M-Score Chart

Sapporo Breweries Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.39 -2.72 -2.71 -2.92

Sapporo Breweries Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.88 -2.77 -2.92 -2.91

STU:SBW vs BUD, STZ, TAP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Sapporo Breweries's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sapporo Breweries Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Sapporo Breweries's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sapporo Breweries's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:SBW
70GF Score
Sapporo Breweries Ltd STU:SBW
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Sapporo Breweries Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Sapporo Breweries for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8825+0.528 * 0.9278+0.404 * 0.5248+0.892 * 0.8865+0.115 * 0.9573
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0304+4.679 * -0.023802-0.327 * 0.9488
=-3.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €374 Mil.
Revenue was 594.059 + 680.68 + 794.552 + 756.194 = €2,825 Mil.
Gross Profit was 191.972 + 226.943 + 279.79 + 255.053 = €954 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,806 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,478 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €776 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €123 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €801 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,122 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €778 Mil.
Net Income was -4.786 + 47.138 + 52.464 + 36.058 = €131 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -10.232 + 75.401 + 117.241 + 31.24 = €214 Mil.
Total Receivables was €479 Mil.
Revenue was 736.475 + 787.566 + 869.329 + 793.87 = €3,187 Mil.
Gross Profit was 214.418 + 244.123 + 280.44 + 259.238 = €998 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,058 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,936 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €948 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €143 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €877 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,251 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,016 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(374.422 / 2825.485) / (478.58 / 3187.24)
=0.132516 / 0.150155
=0.8825

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(998.219 / 3187.24) / (953.758 / 2825.485)
=0.313192 / 0.337555
=0.9278

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1806.074 + 776.372) / 3477.646) / (1 - (1057.506 + 947.715) / 3935.918)
=0.257416 / 0.490533
=0.5248

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2825.485 / 3187.24
=0.8865

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(142.5 / (142.5 + 947.715)) / (122.771 / (122.771 + 776.372))
=0.130708 / 0.136542
=0.9573

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(801.025 / 2825.485) / (876.943 / 3187.24)
=0.2835 / 0.275142
=1.0304

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((778.459 + 1122.213) / 3477.646) / ((1015.903 + 1251.408) / 3935.918)
=0.54654 / 0.576056
=0.9488

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(130.874 - 0 - 213.65) / 3477.646
=-0.023802

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Sapporo Breweries has a M-score of -3.02 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.91 mean?
Sapporo Breweries (STU:SBW) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.91 as of Jul. 03, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Sapporo Breweries and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Sapporo Breweries ranks #50 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 24.9%.
Is Sapporo Breweries' Beneish M-Score too high?
Sapporo Breweries' current Beneish M-Score is -2.91. Based on the distribution chart, Sapporo Breweries ranks #50 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Sapporo Breweries has a GF Score™ of 70/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sapporo Breweries' Beneish M-Score compare to BUD and STZ?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Sapporo Breweries ranks #50 out of 201 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Sapporo Breweries in the top 25% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Sapporo Breweries and its competitors. Sapporo Breweries's current Beneish M-Score is -2.91. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sapporo Breweries stock overvalued right now?
Sapporo Breweries (STU:SBW) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.91. The stock's GF Value™ is €7.17, compared to a current price of €9.95 — trading 38.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.91. Sapporo Breweries' overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sapporo Breweries (STU:SBW), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.91 as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sapporo Breweries (STU:SBW) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sapporo Breweries stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €9.95 is trading 38.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €7.17.

Key valuation signals for STU:SBW:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.91
  • GF Value™: €7.17 vs. price of €9.95 (38.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:SBW stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Sapporo Breweries Business Description

Address 4-20-1 Ebisu, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 150-8522
Sapporo Holdings Ltd is a Japan-based company engaged in producing and supplying alcoholic drinks as well as food products and related services. The company operates through three main segments: Alcoholic Beverages, Food and Beverages, and Real Estate. The Alcoholic Beverages segment handles production and sales of alcoholic drinks along with restaurant operations. The Food and Beverages segment covers the manufacturing and distribution of food items and bottled water. The Real Estate segment is engaged in property leasing activities. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Alcoholic Beverages segment.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:SBW

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€9.95
Price
€7.17
GF Value