STX (Seagate Technology Holdings) Beneish M-Score: -2.01 (As of Jul. 16, 2026)

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STX Seagate Technology Holdings PLC STX
66 GF Score
Price $791.03
GF Value $160.87
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Seagate Technology Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Seagate Technology Holdings STX -4.50% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.01 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates STX with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of $160.87 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,407 Hardware companies, Seagate Technology Holdings ranks worse than 78.06% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.01 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Seagate Technology Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.57   Med: -2.75   Max: -1.58
Current: -2.01

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Seagate Technology Holdings was -1.58. The lowest was -3.57. And the median was -2.75.


Seagate Technology Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Seagate Technology Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Seagate Technology Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Seagate Technology Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.23 -3.43 -3.44 -1.58

Seagate Technology Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.98 -1.58 -1.91 -1.79 -2.01

STX vs WDC, ANET, DELL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Seagate Technology Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Seagate Technology Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Seagate Technology Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Seagate Technology Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STX
66GF Score
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC STX
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Seagate Technology Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Seagate Technology Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3913+0.528 * 0.8134+0.404 * 0.8736+0.892 * 1.2892+0.115 * 1.076
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.842+4.679 * -0.022605-0.327 * 0.7902
=-2.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,356 Mil.
Revenue was 3112 + 2825 + 2629 + 2444 = $11,010 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1447 + 1176 + 1037 + 914 = $4,574 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,299 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,892 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,852 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $267 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $584 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,241 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,780 Mil.
Net Income was 748 + 593 + 549 + 488 = $2,378 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -184 + -74 + -20 + -20 = $-298 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1114 + 723 + 532 + 508 = $2,877 Mil.
Total Receivables was $756 Mil.
Revenue was 2160 + 2325 + 2168 + 1887 = $8,540 Mil.
Gross Profit was 760 + 812 + 714 + 600 = $2,886 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,282 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,564 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,613 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $253 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $538 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,412 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,146 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1356 / 11010) / (756 / 8540)
=0.123161 / 0.088525
=1.3913

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2886 / 8540) / (4574 / 11010)
=0.337939 / 0.415441
=0.8134

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4299 + 1852) / 8892) / (1 - (3282 + 1613) / 7564)
=0.308255 / 0.352856
=0.8736

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11010 / 8540
=1.2892

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(253 / (253 + 1613)) / (267 / (267 + 1852))
=0.135584 / 0.126003
=1.076

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(584 / 11010) / (538 / 8540)
=0.053043 / 0.062998
=0.842

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3780 + 3241) / 8892) / ((5146 + 2412) / 7564)
=0.789586 / 0.999207
=0.7902

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2378 - -298 - 2877) / 8892
=-0.022605

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Seagate Technology Holdings has a M-score of -2.01 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.01 mean?
Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.01 as of Jul. 16, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Seagate Technology Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Seagate Technology Holdings ranks #1879 out of 2407 companies in the Hardware industry, placing it in the top 78.1%.
Is Seagate Technology Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Seagate Technology Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.01. Based on the distribution chart, Seagate Technology Holdings ranks #1879 out of 2407 companies in the Hardware industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Seagate Technology Holdings has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Seagate Technology Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to WDC and ANET?
According to the Hardware industry distribution chart, Seagate Technology Holdings ranks #1879 out of 2407 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Seagate Technology Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Hardware company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Seagate Technology Holdings and its competitors. Seagate Technology Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.01. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Seagate Technology Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $160.87, compared to a current price of $791.03 — trading 391.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.01. Seagate Technology Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Seagate Technology Holdings (STX), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.01 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Seagate Technology Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $791.03 is trading 391.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $160.87. GuruFocus considers Seagate Technology Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STX:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.01
  • GF Value™: $160.87 vs. price of $791.03 (391.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Seagate Technology Holdings Business Description

Address 121 Woodlands Avenue 5, Singapore, SGP, 739009
Seagate Technology is a leading supplier of hard disk drives for data storage to the enterprise and consumer markets. It forms a practical duopoly in the market with its chief rival, Western Digital; they are both vertically integrated.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STX

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$791.03
Price
$160.87
GF Value