Federal (TPE:2102) Beneish M-Score: -1.02 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


TPE:2102 Federal Corp TPE:2102
63 GF Score
Price NT$18.10
GF Value NT$16.71
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Federal Beneish M-Score?

Federal TPE:2102 -0.82% 63 Beneish M-Score is -1.02 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPE:2102 with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$16.71 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,273 Vehicles & Parts companies, Federal ranks worse than 95.44% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.02 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Federal's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:2102' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.25   Med: -2.35   Max: 9.08
Current: -1.02

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Federal was 9.08. The lowest was -7.25. And the median was -2.35.


Federal Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Federal's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Federal Beneish M-Score Chart

Federal Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.35 9.08 4.70 -7.25 -1.02

Federal Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.25 -7.12 -6.62 -3.81 -1.02

TPE:2102 vs ORLY, AZO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Federal's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Federal Beneish M-Score vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Federal's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Federal's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TPE:2102
63GF Score
Federal Corp TPE:2102
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Federal Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Federal for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4485+0.528 * 0.3198+0.404 * 1.1361+0.892 * 0.9943+0.115 * 0.0694
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2068+4.679 * 0.255706-0.327 * 0.0753
=-1.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$106.3 Mil.
Revenue was 65.723 + 62.333 + 61.941 + 75.855 = NT$265.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 13.213 + 19.393 + 5.988 + 15.651 = NT$54.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$3,443.5 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$12,285.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$27.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$88.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$267.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$319.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$0.3 Mil.
Net Income was 3903.27 + 71.5 + -1006.151 + -83.987 = NT$2,884.6 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -145.893 + -51.26 + -29.512 + -30.109 = NT$-256.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$73.8 Mil.
Revenue was 71.138 + 79.226 + 59.663 + 57.353 = NT$267.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was -3.422 + 10.209 + 8.199 + 2.463 = NT$17.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$993.1 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$13,419.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$3,951.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$221.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$222.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$932.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$3,712.1 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(106.315 / 265.852) / (73.816 / 267.38)
=0.399903 / 0.276072
=1.4485

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17.449 / 267.38) / (54.245 / 265.852)
=0.065259 / 0.204042
=0.3198

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3443.464 + 27.327) / 12285.208) / (1 - (993.078 + 3951.412) / 13419.51)
=0.717482 / 0.631545
=1.1361

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=265.852 / 267.38
=0.9943

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(221.171 / (221.171 + 3951.412)) / (88.217 / (88.217 + 27.327))
=0.053006 / 0.763493
=0.0694

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(267.458 / 265.852) / (222.908 / 267.38)
=1.006041 / 0.833675
=1.2068

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.348 + 319.673) / 12285.208) / ((3712.079 + 932.474) / 13419.51)
=0.026049 / 0.346105
=0.0753

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2884.632 - 0 - -256.774) / 12285.208
=0.255706

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Federal has a M-score of -1.02 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.02 mean?
Federal (TPE:2102) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.02 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Federal and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Federal ranks #1215 out of 1273 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 95.4%.
Is Federal's Beneish M-Score too high?
Federal's current Beneish M-Score is -1.02. Based on the distribution chart, Federal ranks #1215 out of 1273 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Federal has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Federal's Beneish M-Score compare to ORLY and AZO?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Federal ranks #1215 out of 1273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Federal in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Federal and its competitors. Federal's current Beneish M-Score is -1.02. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Federal stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Federal (TPE:2102) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$16.71, compared to a current price of NT$18.10 — trading 8.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.02. Federal's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Federal (TPE:2102), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.02 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Federal (TPE:2102) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Federal stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of NT$18.10 is trading 8.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of NT$16.71. GuruFocus considers Federal to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:2102:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.02
  • GF Value™: NT$16.71 vs. price of NT$18.10 (8.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:2102 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Federal Business Description

Address No. 398, Huanbei Road, 2nd Floor-2, Zhongli District, Taoyuan, TWN
Federal Corp is a Taiwan-based company that engages in the manufacturing and sale of automobile tires and rubber, as well as real estate development and leasing. Its products include tires for ultra-high performance (UHP) vehicles and high-performance vehicles, tires for passenger cars, and tires for sports utility vehicles (SUVs), among others. It also provides light truck tires, drift tires, and all-season tires. The company derives its key revenue from the domestic market and the rest from Asia and America.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:2102

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$18.10
Price
NT$16.71
GF Value