Jiyuan Packaging Holdings (TPE:8488) Beneish M-Score: -2.58 (As of Jul. 04, 2026)


TPE:8488 Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd TPE:8488
72 GF Score
Price NT$10.20
GF Value NT$11.35
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings TPE:8488 -1.45% 72 Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPE:8488 with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$11.35 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 370 Packaging & Containers companies, Jiyuan Packaging Holdings ranks better than 51.62% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jiyuan Packaging Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:8488' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.56   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.08
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Jiyuan Packaging Holdings was -2.08. The lowest was -3.56. And the median was -2.58.


Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Jiyuan Packaging Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.52 -2.08 -3.56 -2.47 -2.58

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -2.49 -2.35 -2.83 -2.58

TPE:8488 vs SW, PKG, IP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Jiyuan Packaging Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Jiyuan Packaging Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jiyuan Packaging Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TPE:8488
72GF Score
Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd TPE:8488
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Jiyuan Packaging Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0419+0.528 * 1.3702+0.404 * 0.7621+0.892 * 0.9272+0.115 * 0.958
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0234+4.679 * -0.034719-0.327 * 1.0161
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$1,018 Mil.
Revenue was 923.153 + 819.013 + 688.615 + 651.008 = NT$3,082 Mil.
Gross Profit was 32.544 + 41.77 + 8.012 + 28.435 = NT$111 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$2,566 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$5,157 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$2,314 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$200 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$218 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$2,787 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$0 Mil.
Net Income was -21.846 + -7.054 + -100.563 + -21.271 = NT$-151 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 151.885 + 263.667 + -80.148 + -307.077 = NT$28 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$1,054 Mil.
Revenue was 975.485 + 834.054 + 662.838 + 851.274 = NT$3,324 Mil.
Gross Profit was 55.096 + 47.96 + 22.541 + 38.073 = NT$164 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$2,595 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$5,502 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$2,519 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$208 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$229 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$2,188 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$738 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1017.839 / 3081.789) / (1053.539 / 3323.651)
=0.330275 / 0.316982
=1.0419

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(163.67 / 3323.651) / (110.761 / 3081.789)
=0.049244 / 0.03594
=1.3702

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2566.434 + 2314.395) / 5157.461) / (1 - (2595.008 + 2519.48) / 5501.672)
=0.053637 / 0.070376
=0.7621

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3081.789 / 3323.651
=0.9272

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(207.808 / (207.808 + 2519.48)) / (199.985 / (199.985 + 2314.395))
=0.076196 / 0.079537
=0.958

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(217.533 / 3081.789) / (229.252 / 3323.651)
=0.070587 / 0.068976
=1.0234

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 2787.423) / 5157.461) / ((738.202 + 2188.034) / 5501.672)
=0.540464 / 0.531881
=1.0161

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-150.734 - 0 - 28.327) / 5157.461
=-0.034719

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 mean?
Jiyuan Packaging Holdings (TPE:8488) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 as of Jul. 04, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Jiyuan Packaging Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Jiyuan Packaging Holdings ranks #179 out of 370 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 48.4%.
Is Jiyuan Packaging Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Jiyuan Packaging Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Based on the distribution chart, Jiyuan Packaging Holdings ranks #179 out of 370 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Jiyuan Packaging Holdings has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Jiyuan Packaging Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Jiyuan Packaging Holdings ranks #179 out of 370 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Jiyuan Packaging Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Jiyuan Packaging Holdings and its competitors. Jiyuan Packaging Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Jiyuan Packaging Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jiyuan Packaging Holdings (TPE:8488) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$11.35, compared to a current price of NT$10.20 — trading 10.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Jiyuan Packaging Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Jiyuan Packaging Holdings (TPE:8488), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Jiyuan Packaging Holdings (TPE:8488) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jiyuan Packaging Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$10.20 is trading 10.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$11.35. GuruFocus considers Jiyuan Packaging Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:8488:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.58
  • GF Value™: NT$11.35 vs. price of NT$10.20 (10.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:8488 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Business Description

Address Hibiscus Way, 802 West Bay Road, P. O. Box 31119, Grand Pavilion, Grand Cayman, CYM, KY1 1205
Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd is mainly engaged in the production and sales of tin cans and aluminum cans. The company's main business activities include research and development, manufacturing, and sales of various metal packaging containers.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:8488

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$10.20
Price
NT$11.35
GF Value