Hsin Kao Gas Co (TPE:9931) Beneish M-Score: -2.78 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


TPE:9931 Hsin Kao Gas Co Ltd TPE:9931
82 GF Score
Price NT$34.80
GF Value NT$37.60
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Hsin Kao Gas Co Beneish M-Score?

Hsin Kao Gas Co TPE:9931 +0.14% 82 Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPE:9931 with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$37.60 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 486 Utilities - Regulated companies, Hsin Kao Gas Co ranks better than 72.84% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hsin Kao Gas Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:9931' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: -2.69   Max: -2.15
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hsin Kao Gas Co was -2.15. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was -2.69.


Hsin Kao Gas Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hsin Kao Gas Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hsin Kao Gas Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Hsin Kao Gas Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.77 -2.34 -2.81 -2.49 -2.78

Hsin Kao Gas Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.73 -2.35 -2.60 -2.78

TPE:9931 vs ATO, NI, UGI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Hsin Kao Gas Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hsin Kao Gas Co Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Hsin Kao Gas Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hsin Kao Gas Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TPE:9931
82GF Score
Hsin Kao Gas Co Ltd TPE:9931
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hsin Kao Gas Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hsin Kao Gas Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9978+0.528 * 1.1863+0.404 * 1.0683+0.892 * 0.8049+0.115 * 0.997
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8875+4.679 * -0.057902-0.327 * 1.0043
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$186 Mil.
Revenue was 400.491 + 369.44 + 377.575 + 420.617 = NT$1,568 Mil.
Gross Profit was 62.985 + 53.986 + 83.348 + 84.728 = NT$285 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$2,291 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$6,707 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$3,522 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$242 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$88 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$2,226 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$44 Mil.
Net Income was 70.786 + 96.605 + 35.925 + 91.236 = NT$295 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 157.497 + 130.691 + 95.271 + 299.435 = NT$683 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$231 Mil.
Revenue was 332.733 + 336.922 + 619.407 + 659.223 = NT$1,948 Mil.
Gross Profit was 44.776 + 65.882 + 196.905 + 112.562 = NT$420 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$2,051 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$6,290 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$3,455 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$237 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$124 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$2,073 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$47 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(185.883 / 1568.123) / (231.458 / 1948.285)
=0.118539 / 0.118801
=0.9978

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(420.125 / 1948.285) / (285.047 / 1568.123)
=0.215638 / 0.181776
=1.1863

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2291.372 + 3522.38) / 6706.935) / (1 - (2050.731 + 3454.882) / 6289.671)
=0.133173 / 0.124658
=1.0683

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1568.123 / 1948.285
=0.8049

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(236.58 / (236.58 + 3454.882)) / (241.984 / (241.984 + 3522.38))
=0.064088 / 0.064283
=0.997

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(88.447 / 1568.123) / (123.822 / 1948.285)
=0.056403 / 0.063554
=0.8875

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((44.405 + 2226.043) / 6706.935) / ((47.224 + 2072.766) / 6289.671)
=0.338522 / 0.337059
=1.0043

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(294.552 - 0 - 682.894) / 6706.935
=-0.057902

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hsin Kao Gas Co has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 mean?
Hsin Kao Gas Co (TPE:9931) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hsin Kao Gas Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Hsin Kao Gas Co ranks #132 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 27.2%.
Is Hsin Kao Gas Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Hsin Kao Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Based on the distribution chart, Hsin Kao Gas Co ranks #132 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Hsin Kao Gas Co has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hsin Kao Gas Co's Beneish M-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Hsin Kao Gas Co ranks #132 out of 486 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Hsin Kao Gas Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hsin Kao Gas Co and its competitors. Hsin Kao Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hsin Kao Gas Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hsin Kao Gas Co (TPE:9931) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$37.60, compared to a current price of NT$34.80 — trading 7.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Hsin Kao Gas Co's overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hsin Kao Gas Co (TPE:9931), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hsin Kao Gas Co (TPE:9931) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hsin Kao Gas Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$34.80 is trading 7.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$37.60. GuruFocus considers Hsin Kao Gas Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:9931:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.78
  • GF Value™: NT$37.60 vs. price of NT$34.80 (7.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:9931 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hsin Kao Gas Co Business Description

Address No.12, Minquan 1st Road, Lingya District, Kaohsiung, TWN, 802037
Hsin Kao Gas Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based company mainly engaged in the sale of natural gas and the installation of gas pipelines. The Company sells natural gas and transports the natural gas imported by CPC Corp Taiwan to residential and commercial users in the operating area through gas pipelines for use as fuel. The business scope mainly targets industrial, commercial and general household users in the nine administrative districts of Kaohsiung City, including Sanmin, Qianjin, Xinxing, Lingya, Qianzhen, Gushan, Zuoying, Nanzi and Yancheng.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:9931

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$34.80
Price
NT$37.60
GF Value