Astroscale Holdings (TSE:186A) Beneish M-Score: -257.72 (As of Jul. 18, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:186A Astroscale Holdings Inc TSE:186A
5 GF Score
Price 円981.00
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Astroscale Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Astroscale Holdings TSE:186A -4.01% 5 Beneish M-Score is -257.72 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:186A with a GF Score™ of 5/100. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 326 Aerospace & Defense companies, Astroscale Holdings ranks better than 99.69% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -257.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Astroscale Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:186A' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -257.72   Med: -130.84   Max: -3.95
Current: -257.72

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Astroscale Holdings was -3.95. The lowest was -257.72. And the median was -130.84.


Astroscale Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Astroscale Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Astroscale Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Astroscale Holdings Annual Data
Trend Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25 Apr26
Beneish M-Score
0.00 0.00 0.00 -3.95 -257.72

Astroscale Holdings Quarterly Data
Apr22 Jan23 Apr23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.95 12.21 -14.54 -43.54 -257.72

TSE:186A vs SPCX, GE, RTX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Astroscale Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Astroscale Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Astroscale Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Astroscale Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:186A
5GF Score
Astroscale Holdings Inc TSE:186A
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Astroscale Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Astroscale Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8141+0.528 * -487.479+0.404 * 2.304+0.892 * 2.4179+0.115 * 1.592
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.3506+4.679 * 0.180212-0.327 * 0.8958
=-257.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr26) TTM:Last Year (Apr25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円4,124 Mil.
Revenue was 1524.638 + 1796.493 + 1369.151 + 1250.333 = 円5,941 Mil.
Gross Profit was -41.522 + 37.727 + -7.581 + 30.623 = 円19 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円18,032 Mil.
Total Assets was 円32,122 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円11,063 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,026 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円16,197 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円17,107 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円4,828 Mil.
Net Income was -1679.352 + -2356.212 + -1450.424 + -1211.251 = 円-6,697 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -2540.69 + -3847.243 + -1778.2 + -4319.858 = 円-12,486 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円2,095 Mil.
Revenue was 957.658 + 773.513 + 486.398 + 239.387 = 円2,457 Mil.
Gross Profit was 101.631 + 359.076 + -839.958 + -3501.343 = 円-3,881 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円26,225 Mil.
Total Assets was 円33,625 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円6,025 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円941 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円19,105 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円20,507 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円5,124 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4123.866 / 5940.615) / (2095.06 / 2456.956)
=0.694182 / 0.852706
=0.8141

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-3880.594 / 2456.956) / (19.247 / 5940.615)
=-1.579432 / 0.00324
=-487.479

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18031.516 + 11063.327) / 32121.83) / (1 - (26224.713 + 6025.312) / 33625.291)
=0.094235 / 0.0409
=2.304

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5940.615 / 2456.956
=2.4179

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(940.874 / (940.874 + 6025.312)) / (1025.568 / (1025.568 + 11063.327))
=0.135063 / 0.084836
=1.592

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(16196.538 / 5940.615) / (19104.897 / 2456.956)
=2.726408 / 7.77584
=0.3506

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4827.846 + 17107.461) / 32121.83) / ((5124.476 + 20507.468) / 33625.291)
=0.682878 / 0.762282
=0.8958

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-6697.239 - 0 - -12485.991) / 32121.83
=0.180212

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Astroscale Holdings has a M-score of -257.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -257.72 mean?
Astroscale Holdings (TSE:186A) has a Beneish M-Score of -257.72 as of Jul. 18, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Astroscale Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Astroscale Holdings ranks #1 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 0.3%.
Is Astroscale Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Astroscale Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -257.72. Based on the distribution chart, Astroscale Holdings ranks #1 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Astroscale Holdings has a GF Score™ of 5/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Astroscale Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to SPCX and GE?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Astroscale Holdings ranks #1 out of 326 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Astroscale Holdings in the top 0% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Astroscale Holdings and its competitors. Astroscale Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -257.72. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Astroscale Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Astroscale Holdings (TSE:186A) has a current Beneish M-Score of -257.72. The current Beneish M-Score is -257.72. Astroscale Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 5/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Astroscale Holdings (TSE:186A), the current Beneish M-Score is -257.72 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Astroscale Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges J9H:Germany
Address 4-17-1 Kinshicho, Sumida-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 130-0013
Astroscale Holdings Inc is developing new and scalable solutions across the spectrum of on-orbit servicing, including life extension, in-space situational awareness, end of life, and active debris removal, to create sustainable space systems and mitigate the growing and hazardous buildup of debris in space.
5GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:186A

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円981.00
Price