Morinaga Milk Industry Co (TSE:2264) Beneish M-Score: -2.55 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:2264 Morinaga Milk Industry Co Ltd TSE:2264
66 GF Score
Price 円1,233.50
GF Value 円886.60
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Morinaga Milk Industry Co Beneish M-Score?

Morinaga Milk Industry Co TSE:2264 -1.95% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.55 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:2264 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円886.60 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,851 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Morinaga Milk Industry Co ranks better than 52.3% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.55 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2264' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.75   Med: -2.48   Max: -2.28
Current: -2.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Morinaga Milk Industry Co was -2.28. The lowest was -2.75. And the median was -2.48.


Morinaga Milk Industry Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Morinaga Milk Industry Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Morinaga Milk Industry Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.28 -2.36 -2.33 -2.49 -2.55

Morinaga Milk Industry Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.55

TSE:2264 vs KHC, GIS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morinaga Milk Industry Co Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:2264
66GF Score
Morinaga Milk Industry Co Ltd TSE:2264
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Morinaga Milk Industry Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Morinaga Milk Industry Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0418+0.528 * 0.96+0.404 * 1.0082+0.892 * 1.0183+0.115 * 1.0859
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.023975-0.327 * 1.0208
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円72,351 Mil.
Revenue was 円571,458 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円143,260 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円205,303 Mil.
Total Assets was 円547,116 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円290,553 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円23,917 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円148,588 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円104,226 Mil.
Net Income was 円22,599 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円35,716 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円68,197 Mil.
Revenue was 円561,173 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円135,053 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円198,069 Mil.
Total Assets was 円520,423 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円273,993 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円24,666 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円170,112 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円65,468 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(72351 / 571458) / (68197 / 561173)
=0.126608 / 0.121526
=1.0418

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(135053 / 561173) / (143260 / 571458)
=0.240662 / 0.250692
=0.96

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (205303 + 290553) / 547116) / (1 - (198069 + 273993) / 520423)
=0.093691 / 0.092926
=1.0082

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=571458 / 561173
=1.0183

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(24666 / (24666 + 273993)) / (23917 / (23917 + 290553))
=0.082589 / 0.076055
=1.0859

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 571458) / (0 / 561173)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((104226 + 148588) / 547116) / ((65468 + 170112) / 520423)
=0.462085 / 0.45267
=1.0208

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(22599 - 0 - 35716) / 547116
=-0.023975

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Morinaga Milk Industry Co has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.55 mean?
Morinaga Milk Industry Co (TSE:2264) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.55 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Morinaga Milk Industry Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Morinaga Milk Industry Co ranks #883 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 47.7%.
Is Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Morinaga Milk Industry Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. Based on the distribution chart, Morinaga Milk Industry Co ranks #883 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Morinaga Milk Industry Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Morinaga Milk Industry Co ranks #883 out of 1851 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Morinaga Milk Industry Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Morinaga Milk Industry Co and its competitors. Morinaga Milk Industry Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Morinaga Milk Industry Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morinaga Milk Industry Co (TSE:2264) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円886.60, compared to a current price of 円1,233.50 — trading 39.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. Morinaga Milk Industry Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Morinaga Milk Industry Co (TSE:2264), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.55 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Morinaga Milk Industry Co (TSE:2264) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morinaga Milk Industry Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,233.50 is trading 39.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円886.60. GuruFocus considers Morinaga Milk Industry Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2264:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.55
  • GF Value™: 円886.60 vs. price of 円1,233.50 (39.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2264 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Morinaga Milk Industry Co Business Description

Other Exchanges MO8:Germany
Address 33-1, Shiba 5-chome, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 108-8384
Morinaga Milk Industry Co Ltd is a Japanese company engaged in the production and distribution of dairy products. It produces a variety of milk and milk-based products such as dairy-based beverages, yogurt, desserts, condensed milk, powdered milk, butter, cheese, ice cream, clinical liquid diets. It also manufactures and sells animal feed, and constructs plant equipment. The company through its subsidiaries markets its products internationally.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2264

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,233.50
Price
円886.60
GF Value