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Morinaga Milk Industry Co (TSE:2264) Altman Z-Score : 2.37 (As of Mar. 27, 2025)


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What is Morinaga Milk Industry Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.43 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Morinaga Milk Industry Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.37, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Morinaga Milk Industry Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2264' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.05   Med: 2.46   Max: 2.83
Current: 2.43

During the past 13 years, Morinaga Milk Industry Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.83. The lowest was 2.05. And the median was 2.46.


Morinaga Milk Industry Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Morinaga Milk Industry Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Morinaga Milk Industry Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.48 2.67 2.63 2.33 2.72

Morinaga Milk Industry Co Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.67 2.72 2.37 2.51 -

Competitive Comparison of Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


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Morinaga Milk Industry Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Morinaga Milk Industry Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0301+1.4*0.4216+3.3*0.0374+0.6*1.0032+1.0*1.019
=2.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was 円544,216 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円201,095 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円184,693 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円229,462 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 7502 + 6320 + 8527 + -3437 = 円18,912 Mil.
Interest Expense was -315 + -412 + -350 + -383 = 円-1,460 Mil.
Revenue was 140122 + 149962 + 140637 + 123818 = 円554,539 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円265,857 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円265,021 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(201095 - 184693)/544216
=0.0301

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=229462/544216
=0.4216

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(18912 - -1460)/544216
=0.0374

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=265856.949/265021
=1.0032

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=554539/544216
=1.019

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Morinaga Milk Industry Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.37 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Morinaga Milk Industry Co  (TSE:2264) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Morinaga Milk Industry Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Morinaga Milk Industry Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
33-1, Shiba 5-chome, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 108-8384
Morinaga Milk Industry Co Ltd is a Japanese company engaged in the production and distribution of dairy products. It produces a variety of milk and milk-based products such as dairy-based beverages, yogurt, desserts, condensed milk, powdered milk, butter, cheese, ice cream, clinical liquid diets. It also manufactures and sells animal feed, and constructs plant equipment. The company through its subsidiaries markets its products internationally.

Morinaga Milk Industry Co Headlines

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