Watahan (TSE:3199) Beneish M-Score: -2.29 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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TSE:3199 Watahan & Co Ltd TSE:3199
64 GF Score
Price 円1,342.00
GF Value 円1,659.47
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Watahan Beneish M-Score?

Watahan TSE:3199 -1.32% 64 Beneish M-Score is -2.29 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3199 with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,659.47 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,083 Retail - Cyclical companies, Watahan ranks worse than 68.14% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.29 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Watahan's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3199' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.4   Med: -2.28   Max: -1.94
Current: -2.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Watahan was -1.94. The lowest was -3.40. And the median was -2.28.


Watahan Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Watahan's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Watahan Beneish M-Score Chart

Watahan Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.17 -1.94 -3.40 -2.26 -2.29

Watahan Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.40 0.00 -2.26 0.00 -2.29

TSE:3199 vs HD, LOW, FND: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Home Improvement Retail subindustry, Watahan's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watahan Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Watahan's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watahan's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3199
64GF Score
Watahan & Co Ltd TSE:3199
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Watahan Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Watahan for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0884+0.528 * 1.0148+0.404 * 1.0183+0.892 * 1.0139+0.115 * 1.0632
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.014856-0.327 * 1
=-2.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円14,269 Mil.
Revenue was 円135,451 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円28,005 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円46,709 Mil.
Total Assets was 円82,994 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円27,867 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,984 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円36,847 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円15,816 Mil.
Net Income was 円2,130 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円897 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円12,930 Mil.
Revenue was 円133,594 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円28,030 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円43,312 Mil.
Total Assets was 円79,434 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円28,210 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,145 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円34,246 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円16,159 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(14269 / 135451) / (12930 / 133594)
=0.105344 / 0.096786
=1.0884

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(28030 / 133594) / (28005 / 135451)
=0.209815 / 0.206754
=1.0148

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (46709 + 27867) / 82994) / (1 - (43312 + 28210) / 79434)
=0.101429 / 0.099605
=1.0183

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=135451 / 133594
=1.0139

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2145 / (2145 + 28210)) / (1984 / (1984 + 27867))
=0.070664 / 0.066463
=1.0632

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 135451) / (0 / 133594)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((15816 + 36847) / 82994) / ((16159 + 34246) / 79434)
=0.63454 / 0.634552
=1

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2130 - 0 - 897) / 82994
=0.014856

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Watahan has a M-score of -2.29 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.29 mean?
Watahan (TSE:3199) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.29 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Watahan and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Watahan ranks #738 out of 1083 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 68.1%.
Is Watahan's Beneish M-Score too high?
Watahan's current Beneish M-Score is -2.29. Based on the distribution chart, Watahan ranks #738 out of 1083 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Watahan has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Watahan's Beneish M-Score compare to HD and LOW?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Watahan ranks #738 out of 1083 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Watahan in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Watahan and its competitors. Watahan's current Beneish M-Score is -2.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Watahan stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Watahan (TSE:3199) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,659.47, compared to a current price of 円1,342.00 — trading 19.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.29. Watahan's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Watahan (TSE:3199), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.29 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Watahan (TSE:3199) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Watahan stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円1,342.00 is trading 19.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,659.47. GuruFocus considers Watahan to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3199:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.29
  • GF Value™: 円1,659.47 vs. price of 円1,342.00 (19.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3199 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Watahan Business Description

Address 1023-1 Kitagata, Nagano Prefecture, Iida, JPN
Watahan & Co Ltd engages in the retail, construction, and trading businesses in Japan. The company operates home improvement supercenters. It is also involved in the construction design, operation, maintenance, and management activities; civil engineering operations; construction of landscaping and facades; sales and rental of construction materials, nursing care; operation of parking lots; and parked vehicle management activities. In addition, it provides consultancy services related to building construction, maintenance, management, and renovation activities; and manufactures and constructs steel buildings and bridge frames, as well as earthquake-resistant bridges.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3199

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,342.00
Price
円1,659.47
GF Value