Tokushu Tokai Paper Co (TSE:3708) Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (As of Jul. 13, 2026)


TSE:3708 Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Ltd TSE:3708
64 GF Score
Price 円1,953.00
GF Value 円1,378.98
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score?

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co TSE:3708 -0.61% 64 Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3708 with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,378.98 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 272 Forest Products companies, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co ranks better than 61.4% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3708' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.79   Med: -2.63   Max: -2.24
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tokushu Tokai Paper Co was -2.24. The lowest was -2.79. And the median was -2.63.


Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.24 -2.74 -2.67 -2.66

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.66

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3708
64GF Score
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Ltd TSE:3708
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tokushu Tokai Paper Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9382+0.528 * 0.9353+0.404 * 1.1499+0.892 * 1.0065+0.115 * 0.9717
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.039106-0.327 * 0.9103
=-2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円25,223 Mil.
Revenue was 円95,413 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円13,669 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円50,983 Mil.
Total Assets was 円141,310 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円66,327 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円7,082 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円33,400 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円12,108 Mil.
Net Income was 円4,368 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円9,894 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円26,712 Mil.
Revenue was 円94,800 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円12,702 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円54,397 Mil.
Total Assets was 円139,436 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円64,445 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円6,666 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円34,783 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円14,546 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(25223 / 95413) / (26712 / 94800)
=0.264356 / 0.281772
=0.9382

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(12702 / 94800) / (13669 / 95413)
=0.133987 / 0.143261
=0.9353

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (50983 + 66327) / 141310) / (1 - (54397 + 64445) / 139436)
=0.169839 / 0.147695
=1.1499

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=95413 / 94800
=1.0065

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6666 / (6666 + 64445)) / (7082 / (7082 + 66327))
=0.093741 / 0.096473
=0.9717

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 95413) / (0 / 94800)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12108 + 33400) / 141310) / ((14546 + 34783) / 139436)
=0.322044 / 0.353775
=0.9103

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4368 - 0 - 9894) / 141310
=-0.039106

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co has a M-score of -2.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 mean?
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co (TSE:3708) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 as of Jul. 13, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Tokushu Tokai Paper Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co ranks #105 out of 272 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 38.6%.
Is Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Based on the distribution chart, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co ranks #105 out of 272 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co ranks #105 out of 272 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Tokushu Tokai Paper Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Tokushu Tokai Paper Co and its competitors. Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tokushu Tokai Paper Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co (TSE:3708) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,378.98, compared to a current price of 円1,953.00 — trading 41.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tokushu Tokai Paper Co (TSE:3708), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tokushu Tokai Paper Co (TSE:3708) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,953.00 is trading 41.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,378.98. GuruFocus considers Tokushu Tokai Paper Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3708:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.66
  • GF Value™: 円1,378.98 vs. price of 円1,953.00 (41.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3708 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Business Description

Address Zyouwa Yaesu Build 6F, Tokyo, JPN
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Ltd manufactures and sells a variety of paper products. The company organizes itself into three primary divisions based on product type. The special-use paper division sells specialized paper that is used for food packaging, art printing, and securities protection. The industrial paper division sells paper that is used for fresh vegetable and cosmetic packaging, as well as water repellent paper. The household products division sells coffee and tea filter paper as well as other paper products used for cooking.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3708

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,953.00
Price
円1,378.98
GF Value