Okayama Paper Industries Co (TSE:3892) Beneish M-Score: -1.55 (As of Jul. 13, 2026)


TSE:3892 Okayama Paper Industries Co Ltd TSE:3892
71 GF Score
Price 円1,662.00
GF Value 円1,307.77
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Okayama Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score?

Okayama Paper Industries Co TSE:3892 -0.42% 71 Beneish M-Score is -1.55 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3892 with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,307.77 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 272 Forest Products companies, Okayama Paper Industries Co ranks worse than 92.65% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.55 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Okayama Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3892' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.78   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.55
Current: -1.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Okayama Paper Industries Co was -1.55. The lowest was -2.78. And the median was -2.59.


Okayama Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Okayama Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Okayama Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Okayama Paper Industries Co Annual Data
Trend May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 -2.50 -2.53 -2.78 -1.55

Okayama Paper Industries Co Quarterly Data
Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Nov24 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -1.55 0.00 0.00 0.00

Okayama Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Okayama Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Okayama Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Okayama Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Okayama Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3892
71GF Score
Okayama Paper Industries Co Ltd TSE:3892
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Okayama Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Okayama Paper Industries Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0391+0.528 * 1.1609+0.404 * 1.1007+0.892 * 1.0009+0.115 * 1.2495
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1708+4.679 * 0.142706-0.327 * 0.6982
=-1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (May25) TTM:Last Year (May24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円2,767 Mil.
Revenue was 円11,523 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円2,860 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円10,140 Mil.
Total Assets was 円16,594 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,780 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円279 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円1,025 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円2,907 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円18 Mil.
Net Income was 円799 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円-1,569 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円2,661 Mil.
Revenue was 円11,512 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円3,317 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円11,809 Mil.
Total Assets was 円17,823 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,429 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円313 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円875 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,473 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円26 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2767.351 / 11522.767) / (2660.664 / 11511.853)
=0.240164 / 0.231124
=1.0391

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3317.319 / 11511.853) / (2860.295 / 11522.767)
=0.288166 / 0.24823
=1.1609

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10140.417 + 2779.692) / 16593.53) / (1 - (11808.99 + 2429.294) / 17822.85)
=0.221377 / 0.201122
=1.1007

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11522.767 / 11511.853
=1.0009

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(312.99 / (312.99 + 2429.294)) / (279.428 / (279.428 + 2779.692))
=0.114135 / 0.091343
=1.2495

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1024.815 / 11522.767) / (874.502 / 11511.853)
=0.088938 / 0.075965
=1.1708

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17.645 + 2906.595) / 16593.53) / ((25.765 + 4472.568) / 17822.85)
=0.176228 / 0.252391
=0.6982

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(798.698 - 0 - -1569.292) / 16593.53
=0.142706

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Okayama Paper Industries Co has a M-score of -1.55 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.55 mean?
Okayama Paper Industries Co (TSE:3892) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.55 as of Jul. 13, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Okayama Paper Industries Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Okayama Paper Industries Co ranks #252 out of 272 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 92.6%.
Is Okayama Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Okayama Paper Industries Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.55. Based on the distribution chart, Okayama Paper Industries Co ranks #252 out of 272 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Okayama Paper Industries Co has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Okayama Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Okayama Paper Industries Co ranks #252 out of 272 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Okayama Paper Industries Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Okayama Paper Industries Co and its competitors. Okayama Paper Industries Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Okayama Paper Industries Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Okayama Paper Industries Co (TSE:3892) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,307.77, compared to a current price of 円1,662.00 — trading 27.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.55. Okayama Paper Industries Co's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Okayama Paper Industries Co (TSE:3892), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.55 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Okayama Paper Industries Co (TSE:3892) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Okayama Paper Industries Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,662.00 is trading 27.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,307.77. GuruFocus considers Okayama Paper Industries Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3892:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.55
  • GF Value™: 円1,307.77 vs. price of 円1,662.00 (27.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3892 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Okayama Paper Industries Co Business Description

Address No. 4 No. 34, Minami-ku, Hamano 1-chome, Okayama, JPN, 700-0845
Okayama Paper Industries Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing and sales of SMIC raw paper, paper tube base paper, flat sheet. It is in a packaging material field as a manufacturer of cardboard and decorative corrugated cardboard made of core paper and paper tube base paper. It offers products such as base papers, containerboard, stencil paper tubes, paper tube base papers, and cardboard plates.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3892

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,662.00
Price
円1,307.77
GF Value