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Tokuyama (TSE:4043) Beneish M-Score : -2.88 (As of Jun. 23, 2024)


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What is Tokuyama Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.88 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokuyama's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4043' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.2   Med: -2.76   Max: -1.82
Current: -2.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tokuyama was -1.82. The lowest was -4.20. And the median was -2.76.


Tokuyama Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tokuyama's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tokuyama Beneish M-Score Chart

Tokuyama Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.00 -2.66 -2.41 -2.02 -2.88

Tokuyama Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.02 - - - -2.88

Competitive Comparison of Tokuyama's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Tokuyama's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokuyama's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Tokuyama's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokuyama's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tokuyama Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tokuyama for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9736+0.528 * 0.8868+0.404 * 1.0687+0.892 * 0.9721+0.115 * 1.2432
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9942+4.679 * -0.083254-0.327 * 0.867
=-2.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円87,129 Mil.
Revenue was 円341,990 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円99,519 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円217,776 Mil.
Total Assets was 円457,360 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円168,755 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円17,690 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円73,881 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円103,935 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円83,076 Mil.
Net Income was 円17,751 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円55,828 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円92,060 Mil.
Revenue was 円351,790 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円90,781 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円253,689 Mil.
Total Assets was 円478,342 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円155,336 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円20,773 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円76,444 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円88,244 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円137,352 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(87129 / 341990) / (92060 / 351790)
=0.254771 / 0.26169
=0.9736

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(90781 / 351790) / (99519 / 341990)
=0.258055 / 0.291
=0.8868

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (217776 + 168755) / 457360) / (1 - (253689 + 155336) / 478342)
=0.154865 / 0.144911
=1.0687

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=341990 / 351790
=0.9721

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(20773 / (20773 + 155336)) / (17690 / (17690 + 168755))
=0.117955 / 0.094881
=1.2432

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(73881 / 341990) / (76444 / 351790)
=0.216033 / 0.2173
=0.9942

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((83076 + 103935) / 457360) / ((137352 + 88244) / 478342)
=0.408892 / 0.471621
=0.867

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(17751 - 0 - 55828) / 457360
=-0.083254

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tokuyama has a M-score of -2.88 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tokuyama Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Tokuyama (TSE:4043) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7-5, Sotokanda 1-chome, Front Place Akihabara, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 101-8618
Tokuyama Corp mainly manufactures and sells chemicals, specialty products, cement and functional materials. It operates with various segments namely; Chemicals segment offers soda ash, caustic soda, calcium chloride, silicate soda, propylene oxide and methylene chloride; Specialty Products segment offers multicrystalline silicon, wet silica, metal cleaning chemicals, environmental-related equipment and others; Cement segment offers portland cement, ready-mixed concrete and cementitious solidified materials and the Life Amenity segment offers polypropylene film, resin sashes and others. Geographically, operations of the group are functioned through Japan.

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