Toho Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4409) Beneish M-Score: -2.61 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:4409 Toho Chemical Industry Co Ltd TSE:4409
58 GF Score
Price 円724.00
GF Value 円627.27
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score?

Toho Chemical Industry Co TSE:4409 -0.41% 58 Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:4409 with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of 円627.27 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,530 Chemicals companies, Toho Chemical Industry Co ranks better than 58.37% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4409' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.61   Max: -2.1
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toho Chemical Industry Co was -2.10. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.61.


Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Toho Chemical Industry Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.10 -2.46 -2.61 -2.72 -2.61

Toho Chemical Industry Co Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 0.00 -2.72 0.00 -2.61

TSE:4409 vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:4409
58GF Score
Toho Chemical Industry Co Ltd TSE:4409
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toho Chemical Industry Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9568+0.528 * 0.9523+0.404 * 1.2421+0.892 * 1.0002+0.115 * 1.0887
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.040565-0.327 * 0.9538
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円13,164 Mil.
Revenue was 円53,625 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円8,585 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円35,891 Mil.
Total Assets was 円70,824 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円26,556 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,805 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円23,390 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円17,383 Mil.
Net Income was 円1,527 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円4,400 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円13,755 Mil.
Revenue was 円53,613 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円8,174 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円36,943 Mil.
Total Assets was 円67,862 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円24,457 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,839 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円23,777 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円17,183 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(13164 / 53625) / (13755 / 53613)
=0.245483 / 0.256561
=0.9568

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8174 / 53613) / (8585 / 53625)
=0.152463 / 0.160093
=0.9523

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (35891 + 26556) / 70824) / (1 - (36943 + 24457) / 67862)
=0.118279 / 0.095223
=1.2421

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=53625 / 53613
=1.0002

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2839 / (2839 + 24457)) / (2805 / (2805 + 26556))
=0.104008 / 0.095535
=1.0887

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 53625) / (0 / 53613)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17383 + 23390) / 70824) / ((17183 + 23777) / 67862)
=0.575695 / 0.603578
=0.9538

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1527 - 0 - 4400) / 70824
=-0.040565

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toho Chemical Industry Co has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 mean?
Toho Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4409) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toho Chemical Industry Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Toho Chemical Industry Co ranks #637 out of 1530 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 41.6%.
Is Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Toho Chemical Industry Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Based on the distribution chart, Toho Chemical Industry Co ranks #637 out of 1530 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Toho Chemical Industry Co has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Toho Chemical Industry Co ranks #637 out of 1530 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Toho Chemical Industry Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Chemicals company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toho Chemical Industry Co and its competitors. Toho Chemical Industry Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toho Chemical Industry Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toho Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4409) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円627.27, compared to a current price of 円724.00 — trading 15.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Toho Chemical Industry Co's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toho Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4409), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toho Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4409) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toho Chemical Industry Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円724.00 is trading 15.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円627.27. GuruFocus considers Toho Chemical Industry Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4409:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.61
  • GF Value™: 円627.27 vs. price of 円724.00 (15.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4409 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toho Chemical Industry Co Business Description

Address 6-4 Akashi-cho, Chuo-Ku, Nichirei Akashi-cho Building, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0044
Toho Chemical Industry Co Ltd is engaged in the chemical business. Its product lines are surfactants, specialty chemicals, resins, and industrial chemicals. Some of its products are chemicals for textiles, detergents, pharmaceutical formulations, and others. The company serves a range of industries from daily consumables to high-tech products industries.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4409

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円724.00
Price
円627.27
GF Value