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Toho Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4409) Beneish M-Score : -2.46 (As of Jun. 23, 2024)


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What is Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4409' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.36   Max: -2.03
Current: -2.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toho Chemical Industry Co was -2.03. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.36.


Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Toho Chemical Industry Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -2.87 -2.45 -2.10 -2.46

Toho Chemical Industry Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.46 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toho Chemical Industry Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toho Chemical Industry Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9454+0.528 * 1.1001+0.404 * 0.9613+0.892 * 1.1097+0.115 * 0.8399
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.010625-0.327 * 0.9872
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円13,975 Mil.
Revenue was 円55,361 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円7,293 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円36,968 Mil.
Total Assets was 円67,951 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円24,220 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円3,006 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円25,582 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円18,258 Mil.
Net Income was 円977 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円1,699 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円13,321 Mil.
Revenue was 円49,887 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円7,230 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円34,902 Mil.
Total Assets was 円66,489 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円24,703 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,525 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円25,585 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円17,870 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(13975 / 55361) / (13321 / 49887)
=0.252434 / 0.267023
=0.9454

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7230 / 49887) / (7293 / 55361)
=0.144928 / 0.131735
=1.1001

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (36968 + 24220) / 67951) / (1 - (34902 + 24703) / 66489)
=0.099528 / 0.103536
=0.9613

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=55361 / 49887
=1.1097

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2525 / (2525 + 24703)) / (3006 / (3006 + 24220))
=0.092735 / 0.110409
=0.8399

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 55361) / (0 / 49887)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18258 + 25582) / 67951) / ((17870 + 25585) / 66489)
=0.645171 / 0.653567
=0.9872

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(977 - 0 - 1699) / 67951
=-0.010625

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toho Chemical Industry Co has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Toho Chemical Industry Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Toho Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4409) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6-4 Akashi-cho, Chuo-Ku, Nichirei Akashi-cho Building, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0044
Toho Chemical Industry Co Ltd is engaged in the chemical business. Its product lines are surfactants, specialty chemicals, resins, and industrial chemicals. Some of its products are chemicals for textiles, detergents, pharmaceutical formulations, and others. The company serves a range of industries from daily consumables to high-tech products industries.

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