Punch Industry Co (TSE:6165) Beneish M-Score: -2.60 (As of Jul. 17, 2026)

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TSE:6165 Punch Industry Co Ltd TSE:6165
67 GF Score
Price 円475.00
GF Value 円393.50
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Punch Industry Co Beneish M-Score?

Punch Industry Co TSE:6165 -2.06% 67 Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:6165 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of 円393.50 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,909 Industrial Products companies, Punch Industry Co ranks better than 63.42% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Punch Industry Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:6165' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.87   Med: -2.63   Max: -2.09
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Punch Industry Co was -2.09. The lowest was -3.87. And the median was -2.63.


Punch Industry Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Punch Industry Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Punch Industry Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Punch Industry Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -2.13 -2.85 -2.09 -2.60

Punch Industry Co Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.85 0.00 -2.09 0.00 -2.60

TSE:6165 vs SNA, RBC, LECO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Punch Industry Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Punch Industry Co Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Punch Industry Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Punch Industry Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:6165
67GF Score
Punch Industry Co Ltd TSE:6165
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Punch Industry Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Punch Industry Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0474+0.528 * 0.9853+0.404 * 0.8525+0.892 * 1.0313+0.115 * 1.051
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.029563-0.327 * 0.9631
=-2.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円12,831 Mil.
Revenue was 円42,100 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円11,315 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円24,745 Mil.
Total Assets was 円34,300 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円7,610 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,213 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円9,533 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円432 Mil.
Net Income was 円851 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円1,865 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円11,878 Mil.
Revenue was 円40,822 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円10,810 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円23,518 Mil.
Total Assets was 円32,970 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円7,259 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,226 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円8,668 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,278 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(12831 / 42100) / (11878 / 40822)
=0.304774 / 0.290971
=1.0474

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10810 / 40822) / (11315 / 42100)
=0.264808 / 0.268765
=0.9853

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (24745 + 7610) / 34300) / (1 - (23518 + 7259) / 32970)
=0.056706 / 0.066515
=0.8525

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=42100 / 40822
=1.0313

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1226 / (1226 + 7259)) / (1213 / (1213 + 7610))
=0.14449 / 0.137482
=1.051

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 42100) / (0 / 40822)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((432 + 9533) / 34300) / ((1278 + 8668) / 32970)
=0.290525 / 0.301668
=0.9631

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(851 - 0 - 1865) / 34300
=-0.029563

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Punch Industry Co has a M-score of -2.60 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 mean?
Punch Industry Co (TSE:6165) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 as of Jul. 17, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Punch Industry Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Punch Industry Co ranks #1064 out of 2909 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 36.6%.
Is Punch Industry Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Punch Industry Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Based on the distribution chart, Punch Industry Co ranks #1064 out of 2909 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Punch Industry Co has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Punch Industry Co's Beneish M-Score compare to SNA and RBC?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Punch Industry Co ranks #1064 out of 2909 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Punch Industry Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Punch Industry Co and its competitors. Punch Industry Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Punch Industry Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Punch Industry Co (TSE:6165) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円393.50, compared to a current price of 円475.00 — trading 20.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Punch Industry Co's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Punch Industry Co (TSE:6165), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Punch Industry Co (TSE:6165) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Punch Industry Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円475.00 is trading 20.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円393.50. GuruFocus considers Punch Industry Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:6165:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.60
  • GF Value™: 円393.50 vs. price of 円475.00 (20.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:6165 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Punch Industry Co Business Description

Address Meisan Takahama Building 8F, 2-12-23 Konan, Minato Ward, Tokyo, JPN, 108-0075
Punch Industry Co Ltd is engaged in the manufacture and sale of mould and die components. The product portfolio includes ejector pins, centre pins, core pins, dies, retainers, precision punches and dies, carbide punches, carbide dies, stripper bolts, coil springs, urethane springs, among others.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:6165

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円475.00
Price
円393.50
GF Value