Orix Jreit (TSE:8954) Beneish M-Score: -2.67 (As of Jul. 25, 2026)

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TSE:8954 Orix Jreit Inc TSE:8954
71 GF Score
Price 円101,700.00
GF Value 円101,646.15
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score?

Orix Jreit TSE:8954 +1.19% 71 Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:8954 with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of 円101,646.15 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 754 REITs companies, Orix Jreit ranks better than 70.42% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8954' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.72   Med: -2.55   Max: -1.7
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orix Jreit was -1.70. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was -2.55.


Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score Chart

Orix Jreit Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.40 -2.45 -2.64 -2.67

Orix Jreit Semi-Annual Data
Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24 Feb25 Aug25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.64 0.00 -2.67 0.00

TSE:8954 vs BXP, ARE, VNO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the REIT - Office subindustry, Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:8954
71GF Score
Orix Jreit Inc TSE:8954
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orix Jreit for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.895+0.528 * 0.9486+0.404 * 1.1116+0.892 * 0.9828+0.115 * 1.03
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0391+4.679 * -0.015329-0.327 * 1.0503
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug25) TTM:Last Year (Aug24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円1,366 Mil.
Revenue was 円54,063 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円30,152 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円23,819 Mil.
Total Assets was 円718,423 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円685,627 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円8,066 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円3,326 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円47,386 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円288,750 Mil.
Net Income was 円23,511 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円34,524 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円1,553 Mil.
Revenue was 円55,010 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円29,102 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円31,388 Mil.
Total Assets was 円684,999 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円645,911 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円7,830 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円3,257 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円59,306 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円245,847 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1366 / 54063) / (1553 / 55010)
=0.025267 / 0.028231
=0.895

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(29102 / 55010) / (30152 / 54063)
=0.529031 / 0.55772
=0.9486

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (23819 + 685627) / 718423) / (1 - (31388 + 645911) / 684999)
=0.012495 / 0.011241
=1.1116

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=54063 / 55010
=0.9828

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7830 / (7830 + 645911)) / (8066 / (8066 + 685627))
=0.011977 / 0.011628
=1.03

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3326 / 54063) / (3257 / 55010)
=0.061521 / 0.059207
=1.0391

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((288750 + 47386) / 718423) / ((245847 + 59306) / 684999)
=0.46788 / 0.445479
=1.0503

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(23511 - 0 - 34524) / 718423
=-0.015329

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orix Jreit has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 mean?
Orix Jreit (TSE:8954) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 as of Jul. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orix Jreit and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Orix Jreit ranks #223 out of 754 companies in the REITs industry, placing it in the top 29.6%.
Is Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score too high?
Orix Jreit's current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. Based on the distribution chart, Orix Jreit ranks #223 out of 754 companies in the REITs industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Orix Jreit has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score compare to BXP and ARE?
According to the REITs industry distribution chart, Orix Jreit ranks #223 out of 754 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Orix Jreit in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a REITs company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the REITs industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orix Jreit and its competitors. Orix Jreit's current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Orix Jreit stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orix Jreit (TSE:8954) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円101,646.15, compared to a current price of 円101,700.00 — trading 0.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. Orix Jreit's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Orix Jreit (TSE:8954), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Orix Jreit (TSE:8954) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orix Jreit stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円101,700.00 is trading 0.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円101,646.15. GuruFocus considers Orix Jreit to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8954:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.67
  • GF Value™: 円101,646.15 vs. price of 円101,700.00 (0.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8954 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Orix Jreit Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address 2-3-1 Hamamatsucho, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-6135
Orix Jreit Inc is a real estate investment trust engaged in the acquisition, ownership, and leasing of properties throughout Japan. In terms of asset acquisition price, the majority of the company's real estate portfolio comprises office buildings. Retail facilities and residential properties together also make up a considerable percentage of this portfolio. Orix JREIT's real estate assets are mostly located in the Greater Tokyo area, with those in the Central Wards of Tokyo representing the geographic segment in terms of property acquisition price. The company derives nearly all of its income in the form of rental revenue from tenants.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8954

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円101,700.00
Price
円101,646.15
GF Value