Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444) Beneish M-Score: -2.19 (As of Jul. 25, 2026)

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TSE:9444 Toshin Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9444
38 GF Score
Price 円233.00
GF Value 円652.03
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Toshin Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Toshin Holdings Co TSE:9444 +0.87% 38 Beneish M-Score is -2.19 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:9444 with a GF Score™ of 38/100 and a GF Value™ of 円652.03 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,085 Retail - Cyclical companies, Toshin Holdings Co ranks worse than 72.63% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.19 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toshin Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9444' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.1   Med: -2.51   Max: -2.19
Current: -2.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toshin Holdings Co was -2.19. The lowest was -5.10. And the median was -2.51.


Toshin Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toshin Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toshin Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Toshin Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.37 -2.47 -2.78 -2.19

Toshin Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Oct24 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.19 0.00 0.00 0.00

TSE:9444 vs CASY, WSM, DKS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Toshin Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toshin Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toshin Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toshin Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:9444
38GF Score
Toshin Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9444
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toshin Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toshin Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1794+0.528 * 1.2473+0.404 * 0.8839+0.892 * 1.02+0.115 * 0.9047
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.4745+4.679 * -0.011882-0.327 * 1.0122
=-2.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr25) TTM:Last Year (Apr24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円2,888 Mil.
Revenue was 円17,477 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円3,287 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円6,296 Mil.
Total Assets was 円24,702 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円17,926 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円394 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円238 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円10,774 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円9,896 Mil.
Net Income was 円-16 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円277 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円2,400 Mil.
Revenue was 円17,134 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円4,019 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円5,001 Mil.
Total Assets was 円24,186 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円18,654 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円370 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円491 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円10,447 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円9,547 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2887.834 / 17477.47) / (2400.369 / 17134.138)
=0.165232 / 0.140093
=1.1794

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4019.287 / 17134.138) / (3286.888 / 17477.47)
=0.234578 / 0.188064
=1.2473

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6296.015 + 17926.209) / 24702.146) / (1 - (5000.532 + 18653.744) / 24185.866)
=0.019428 / 0.021979
=0.8839

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=17477.47 / 17134.138
=1.02

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(370.395 / (370.395 + 18653.744)) / (394.287 / (394.287 + 17926.209))
=0.01947 / 0.021522
=0.9047

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(237.538 / 17477.47) / (490.813 / 17134.138)
=0.013591 / 0.028645
=0.4745

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9895.653 + 10773.564) / 24702.146) / ((9546.919 + 10447.122) / 24185.866)
=0.836738 / 0.826683
=1.0122

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-16.242 - 0 - 277.26) / 24702.146
=-0.011882

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toshin Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.19 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.19 mean?
Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.19 as of Jul. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toshin Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Toshin Holdings Co ranks #788 out of 1085 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 72.6%.
Is Toshin Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Toshin Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. Based on the distribution chart, Toshin Holdings Co ranks #788 out of 1085 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Toshin Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 38/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toshin Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to CASY and WSM?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Toshin Holdings Co ranks #788 out of 1085 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Toshin Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toshin Holdings Co and its competitors. Toshin Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toshin Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is 円652.03, compared to a current price of 円233.00 — trading 64.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. Toshin Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 38/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.19 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toshin Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円233.00 is trading 64.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円652.03. GuruFocus considers Toshin Holdings Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9444:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.19
  • GF Value™: 円652.03 vs. price of 円233.00 (64.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 38/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9444 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toshin Holdings Co Business Description

Address Aichi Prefecture, Naka-ku Sakae, 3-4-21 Toshin Sakae Building, Nagoya, JPN, 460 0008
Toshin Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in the sale of mobile phone and other communication equipment. It also offers leasing and sale of real estate properties, provides asset management services, operates golf courses and restaurants, sales drinking water. Its other business includes OA equipment sales, air conditioner sales, drinking water sales, rental conference room operation, golfers salon management.
38GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9444

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円233.00
Price
円652.03
GF Value