Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444) Altman Z-Score: 0.57 (As of Jul. 25, 2026) — 51% Below Median

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TSE:9444 Toshin Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9444
38 GF Score
Price 円233.00
GF Value 円652.03
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score?

Toshin Holdings Co TSE:9444 +0.87% 38 Altman Z-Score is 0.57 as of Jul. 25, 2026, which is 51% below its 10-year median of 1.16. GuruFocus rates TSE:9444 with a GF Score™ of 38/100 and a GF Value™ of 円652.03 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,114 Retail - Cyclical companies, Toshin Holdings Co ranks worse than 90.84% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.24 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Toshin Holdings Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.57, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9444' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.21   Med: 1.16   Max: 1.96
Current: 0.24

During the past 13 years, Toshin Holdings Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.96. The lowest was 0.21. And the median was 1.16.


Toshin Holdings Co  (TSE:9444) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Toshin Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.93 0.89 0.91 0.67 0.27

Toshin Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Oct24 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.54 0.27 0.21 0.30 0.00

TSE:9444 vs CASY, WSM, DKS: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:9444
38GF Score
Toshin Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9444
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.166+1.4*0.0496+3.3*0.0347+0.6*0.0707+1.0*0.5395
=0.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Oct. 2025:
Total Assets was 円24,174 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円7,113 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円11,125 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円1,200 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 541.889 + 124.119 + 59.305 + 0 = 円725 Mil.
Interest Expense was -18.23 + -47.605 + -48.905 + 0 = 円-115 Mil.
Revenue was 4579.729 + 4578.772 + 3884.568 + 0 = 円13,043 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円1,506 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円21,297 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(7112.663 - 11124.945)/24174.498
=-0.166

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1200.195/24174.498
=0.0496

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(725.313 - -114.74)/24174.498
=0.0347

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1506.280/21296.644
=0.0707

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=13043.069/24174.498
=0.5395

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Toshin Holdings Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.57 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 0.57 mean?
Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.57 as of Jul. 25, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Toshin Holdings Co and its competitors. This is 51% below median its historical median of 1.16. Over the past decade, Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.21 to 1.96. According to the industry distribution chart, Toshin Holdings Co ranks #1012 out of 1114 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 90.8%.
Is Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Toshin Holdings Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.57 is 51% below median its 10-year median of 1.16. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.21 to a high of 1.96. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.75. Toshin Holdings Co's value of 0.57 is 79.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Toshin Holdings Co ranks #1012 out of 1114 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Toshin Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 38/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score compare to CASY and WSM?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Toshin Holdings Co ranks #1012 out of 1114 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Toshin Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.75. Toshin Holdings Co's value of 0.57 is 79.3% below this benchmark. Historically, Toshin Holdings Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.21 to 1.96 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.16 vs. the industry median of 2.75, Toshin Holdings Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Retail - Cyclical companies is 2.75, based on 1,114 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Toshin Holdings Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.57 is 79.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Toshin Holdings Co and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.75 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Toshin Holdings Co's current Altman Z-Score is 0.57, which is 51% below median its own 10-year median of 1.16. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toshin Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is 円652.03, compared to a current price of 円233.00 — trading 64.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.57, which is 51% below median its 10-year median of 1.16 and 79.3% below the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 2.75. Toshin Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 38/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.57 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toshin Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円233.00 is trading 64.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円652.03. GuruFocus considers Toshin Holdings Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9444:

  • Altman Z-Score: 0.57 (51% below median its 10-year median of 1.16)
  • GF Value™: 円652.03 vs. price of 円233.00 (64.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 38/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 79.3% below the Retail - Cyclical median (#1012 of 1114)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9444 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toshin Holdings Co Business Description

Address Aichi Prefecture, Naka-ku Sakae, 3-4-21 Toshin Sakae Building, Nagoya, JPN, 460 0008
Toshin Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in the sale of mobile phone and other communication equipment. It also offers leasing and sale of real estate properties, provides asset management services, operates golf courses and restaurants, sales drinking water. Its other business includes OA equipment sales, air conditioner sales, drinking water sales, rental conference room operation, golfers salon management.
38GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9444

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円233.00
Price
円652.03
GF Value