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Toshin Holdings Co (TSE:9444) Altman Z-Score : 0.81 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.81 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Toshin Holdings Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.81, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9444' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.81   Med: 1.35   Max: 1.96
Current: 0.81

During the past 13 years, Toshin Holdings Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.96. The lowest was 0.81. And the median was 1.35.


Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Toshin Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.19 0.93 0.89 0.91 0.82

Toshin Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.91 0.89 0.90 0.94 0.82

Competitive Comparison of Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Toshin Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1808+1.4*0.0842+3.3*0.0297+0.6*0.1962+1.0*0.696
=0.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2024:
Total Assets was 円25,015 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円5,678 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円10,201 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円2,107 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -168.03 + 250.538 + 228.71 + 326.634 = 円638 Mil.
Interest Expense was -32.247 + -25.036 + -25.073 + -23.73 = 円-106 Mil.
Revenue was 4595.977 + 4501.802 + 4404.735 + 3908.628 = 円17,411 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円4,177 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円21,285 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(5677.986 - 10200.713)/25014.659
=-0.1808

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2107.32/25014.659
=0.0842

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(637.852 - -106.086)/25014.659
=0.0297

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=4176.506/21285.225
=0.1962

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=17411.142/25014.659
=0.696

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Toshin Holdings Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.81 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Toshin Holdings Co  (TSE:9444) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Toshin Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Toshin Holdings Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Aichi Prefecture, Naka-ku Sakae, 3-4-21 Toshin Sakae Building, Nagoya, JPN, 460 0008
Toshin Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in the sale of mobile phone and other communication equipment. It also offers leasing and sale of real estate properties, provides asset management services, operates golf courses and restaurants, sales drinking water. Its other business includes OA equipment sales, air conditioner sales, drinking water sales, rental conference room operation, golfers salon management.

Toshin Holdings Co Headlines

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