Kozo Holdings Co (TSE:9973) Beneish M-Score: -2.45 (As of Jul. 16, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:9973 Kozo Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9973
62 GF Score
Price 円20.00
GF Value 円22.14
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Kozo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Kozo Holdings Co TSE:9973 62 Beneish M-Score is -2.45 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:9973 with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of 円22.14 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 355 Restaurants companies, Kozo Holdings Co ranks worse than 74.93% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.45 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kozo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9973' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.25   Med: -2.7   Max: 2.31
Current: -2.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kozo Holdings Co was 2.31. The lowest was -7.25. And the median was -2.70.


Kozo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kozo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kozo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Kozo Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.54 -3.46 -1.16 -2.94 -2.45

Kozo Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.45 0.00

TSE:9973 vs MCD, SBUX, YUM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Kozo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kozo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kozo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kozo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:9973
62GF Score
Kozo Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9973
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kozo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kozo Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0029+0.528 * 0.9858+0.404 * 0.6913+0.892 * 1.0735+0.115 * 0.9631
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.017169-0.327 * 0.9352
=-2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円1,669 Mil.
Revenue was 円19,441 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円7,416 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円3,479 Mil.
Total Assets was 円5,653 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,658 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円145 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円3,679 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円630 Mil.
Net Income was 円-684 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円-782 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円1,550 Mil.
Revenue was 円18,110 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円6,810 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円3,492 Mil.
Total Assets was 円6,000 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,716 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円144 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円3,989 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円902 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1669.146 / 19441.295) / (1550.392 / 18109.777)
=0.085856 / 0.085611
=1.0029

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6809.794 / 18109.777) / (7416.162 / 19441.295)
=0.376029 / 0.381464
=0.9858

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3479.372 + 1658.098) / 5653.215) / (1 - (3492.437 + 1715.97) / 6000.304)
=0.09123 / 0.131976
=0.6913

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19441.295 / 18109.777
=1.0735

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(143.761 / (143.761 + 1715.97)) / (144.699 / (144.699 + 1658.098))
=0.077302 / 0.080264
=0.9631

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 19441.295) / (0 / 18109.777)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((629.745 + 3679.276) / 5653.215) / ((902.071 + 3988.553) / 6000.304)
=0.762225 / 0.815063
=0.9352

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-684.482 - 0 - -781.54) / 5653.215
=0.017169

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kozo Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.45 mean?
Kozo Holdings Co (TSE:9973) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.45 as of Jul. 16, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kozo Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kozo Holdings Co ranks #266 out of 355 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 74.9%.
Is Kozo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Kozo Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. Based on the distribution chart, Kozo Holdings Co ranks #266 out of 355 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Kozo Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kozo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Kozo Holdings Co ranks #266 out of 355 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Kozo Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kozo Holdings Co and its competitors. Kozo Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kozo Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kozo Holdings Co (TSE:9973) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円22.14, compared to a current price of 円20.00 — trading 9.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. Kozo Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kozo Holdings Co (TSE:9973), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.45 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kozo Holdings Co (TSE:9973) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kozo Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円20.00 is trading 9.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円22.14. GuruFocus considers Kozo Holdings Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9973:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.45
  • GF Value™: 円22.14 vs. price of 円20.00 (9.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9973 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kozo Holdings Co Business Description

Address 1-5-6 Morita Building 6th Floor, Kakigaracho, Nihonbashi, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-0014
Kozo Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in manufacture and sale of sushi and bento boxes, as well as supplying raw materials and providing guidance to franchisees as a franchisor of Kozo Sushi.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9973

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円20.00
Price
円22.14
GF Value