Centerra Gold (TSX:CG) Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


TSX:CG Centerra Gold Inc TSX:CG
91 GF Score
Price C$22.82
GF Value C$14.23
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score?

Centerra Gold TSX:CG -2.98% 91 Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:CG with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of C$14.23 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Centerra Gold ranks better than 68.61% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:CG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.26   Med: -2.45   Max: 12.39
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Centerra Gold was 12.39. The lowest was -5.26. And the median was -2.45.


Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score Chart

Centerra Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.39 -1.77 -3.34 -1.68 -2.35

Centerra Gold Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.34 -0.83 -0.83 -2.35 -2.66

TSX:CG vs NEM, AU: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSX:CG
91GF Score
Centerra Gold Inc TSX:CG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Centerra Gold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.852+0.528 * 0.7882+0.404 * 1.3107+0.892 * 1.2806+0.115 * 1.3305
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3396+4.679 * -0.050291-0.327 * 1.1597
=-2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$247 Mil.
Revenue was 665 + 553.948 + 546.668 + 394.107 = C$2,160 Mil.
Gross Profit was 271.122 + 225.391 + 188.74 + 119.51 = C$805 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,554 Mil.
Total Assets was C$4,219 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$2,286 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$172 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$118 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$646 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$49 Mil.
Net Income was 108.979 + 265.929 + 404.213 + 93.726 = C$873 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -19.4 + 188.179 + 356.266 + -5.172 = C$520 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 164.769 + 142.175 + 223.631 + 34.587 = C$565 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$226 Mil.
Revenue was 429.961 + 430.811 + 438.792 + 386.906 = C$1,686 Mil.
Gross Profit was 109.877 + 113.503 + 145.441 + 126.514 = C$495 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,446 Mil.
Total Assets was C$3,315 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,642 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$168 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$69 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$452 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$19 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(247.003 / 2159.723) / (226.377 / 1686.47)
=0.114368 / 0.134231
=0.852

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(495.335 / 1686.47) / (804.763 / 2159.723)
=0.293711 / 0.372623
=0.7882

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1553.804 + 2286.195) / 4219.196) / (1 - (1446.222 + 1641.891) / 3315.462)
=0.089874 / 0.068572
=1.3107

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2159.723 / 1686.47
=1.2806

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(168.34 / (168.34 + 1641.891)) / (171.803 / (171.803 + 2286.195))
=0.092994 / 0.069896
=1.3305

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(117.977 / 2159.723) / (68.773 / 1686.47)
=0.054626 / 0.040779
=1.3396

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((48.751 + 645.925) / 4219.196) / ((18.946 + 451.743) / 3315.462)
=0.164647 / 0.141968
=1.1597

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(872.847 - 519.873 - 565.162) / 4219.196
=-0.050291

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Centerra Gold has a M-score of -2.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 mean?
Centerra Gold (TSX:CG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Centerra Gold and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Centerra Gold ranks #215 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 31.4%.
Is Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score too high?
Centerra Gold's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Based on the distribution chart, Centerra Gold ranks #215 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Centerra Gold has a GF Score™ of 91/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Centerra Gold ranks #215 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Centerra Gold in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Centerra Gold and its competitors. Centerra Gold's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Centerra Gold stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Centerra Gold (TSX:CG) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$14.23, compared to a current price of C$22.82 — trading 60.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Centerra Gold's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Centerra Gold (TSX:CG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Centerra Gold (TSX:CG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Centerra Gold stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$22.82 is trading 60.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$14.23. GuruFocus considers Centerra Gold to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:CG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.66
  • GF Value™: C$14.23 vs. price of C$22.82 (60.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:CG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Centerra Gold Business Description

Other Exchanges CGAU:USA0UP5:UKGOU:Germany
Address 1 University Avenue, Suite 1800, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 2P1
Centerra Gold Inc is principally focused on operating, developing, exploring and acquiring gold and copper properties in North America, Turkey, and other markets world-wide. The company reportable operating segments are Oksut; Mount Milligan; and Molybdenum. It derives maximum revenue from Mount Milligan segment. Geographically, it operates in Turkey, United States, and Canada.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:CG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$22.82
Price
C$14.23
GF Value