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Centerra Gold (TSX:CG) Beneish M-Score : -3.16 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.16 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:CG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.26   Med: -2.69   Max: 12.39
Current: -3.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Centerra Gold was 12.39. The lowest was -5.26. And the median was -2.69.


Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score Chart

Centerra Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -3.74 -3.39 -1.77 -3.34

Centerra Gold Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.21 -3.34 -3.63 -3.25 -3.16

Competitive Comparison of Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score

For the Gold subindustry, Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Centerra Gold's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Centerra Gold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5263+0.528 * 0.4738+0.404 * 1.4247+0.892 * 1.3011+0.115 * 0.8094
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7036+4.679 * -0.08612-0.327 * 1.0846
=-3.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$99 Mil.
Revenue was 438.792 + 386.906 + 414.038 + 456.086 = C$1,696 Mil.
Gross Profit was 145.441 + 126.514 + 133.6 + 185.228 = C$591 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,284 Mil.
Total Assets was C$3,162 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,739 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$190 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$72 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$357 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$21 Mil.
Net Income was 39.002 + 51.627 + 89.92 + -38.595 = C$142 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -4.65 + -5.049 + 5.236 + -54.874 = C$-59 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 140.389 + 3.507 + 134.587 + 195.12 = C$474 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$145 Mil.
Revenue was 465.322 + 245.151 + 309.96 + 282.981 = C$1,303 Mil.
Gross Profit was 155.004 + 10.173 + 5.101 + 44.883 = C$215 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,200 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,970 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,679 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$146 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$79 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$327 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(99.233 / 1695.822) / (144.931 / 1303.414)
=0.058516 / 0.111193
=0.5263

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(215.161 / 1303.414) / (590.783 / 1695.822)
=0.165075 / 0.348376
=0.4738

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1283.832 + 1738.93) / 3162.006) / (1 - (1199.561 + 1679.055) / 2970.432)
=0.044037 / 0.03091
=1.4247

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1695.822 / 1303.414
=1.3011

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(145.56 / (145.56 + 1679.055)) / (190.136 / (190.136 + 1738.93))
=0.079776 / 0.098564
=0.8094

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(71.913 / 1695.822) / (78.551 / 1303.414)
=0.042406 / 0.060266
=0.7036

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((20.952 + 356.501) / 3162.006) / ((0 + 326.92) / 2970.432)
=0.119371 / 0.110058
=1.0846

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(141.954 - -59.337 - 473.603) / 3162.006
=-0.08612

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Centerra Gold has a M-score of -3.16 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Centerra Gold Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Centerra Gold Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 University Avenue, Suite 1500, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 2P1
Centerra Gold Inc a gold mining and exploration company engaged in the operation, exploration, development, and acquisition of gold properties in Asia, North America, and other markets worldwide. The company manages its reportable operating segments by a combination of geographic location and products. The Kyrgyz Republic segment includes the operations of the Kumtor Gold Project. The Turkish segment represents the development of the OksUt Project. The North America Gold- Copper segment represents the operations of the Mount Milligan Mine. The North America Molybdenum segment includes the operations of the Langeloth processing facility and the care and maintenance activities of the Endako and Thompson Creek Mines.
Executives
Wendy Wai Ting Kei Director
Claudia D'orazio Senior Officer
Yousef Rehman Senior Officer
Craig Stephen Macdougall Director
Darren Millman Senior Officer
Michael S. Parrett Director
Paul Botond Stilicho Tomory Director, Senior Officer
Dennis Kwong Senior Officer
Paul Nicholas Wright Director
Scott Graeme Perry Senior Officer
Sheryl Pressler Director
Richard Webster Connor Director
Jacques Perron Director
Bruce V. Walter Director
John William Pearson Senior Officer