Northland Power (TSX:NPI) Beneish M-Score: -2.96 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


TSX:NPI Northland Power Inc TSX:NPI
68 GF Score
Price C$22.08
GF Value C$24.14
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Northland Power Beneish M-Score?

Northland Power TSX:NPI -0.85% 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.96 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:NPI with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of C$24.14 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 390 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, Northland Power ranks better than 78.46% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.96 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northland Power's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:NPI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.32   Med: -2.72   Max: -1.83
Current: -2.96

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Northland Power was -1.83. The lowest was -3.32. And the median was -2.72.


Northland Power Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Northland Power's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Northland Power Beneish M-Score Chart

Northland Power Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.94 -2.52 -2.93 -2.43 -2.94

Northland Power Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -3.32 -3.00 -2.94 -2.96

Northland Power Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Northland Power's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northland Power Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Northland Power's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northland Power's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSX:NPI
68GF Score
Northland Power Inc TSX:NPI
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Northland Power Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Northland Power for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.686+0.528 * 0.9994+0.404 * 1.1518+0.892 * 1.135+0.115 * 0.8529
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9924+4.679 * -0.077077-0.327 * 0.9838
=-2.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$408 Mil.
Revenue was 774.581 + 722.841 + 554.477 + 509.132 = C$2,561 Mil.
Gross Profit was 577.371 + 722.841 + 554.477 + 509.132 = C$2,364 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,555 Mil.
Total Assets was C$13,480 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$8,063 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$719 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$124 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,344 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$6,009 Mil.
Net Income was 88.615 + 245.336 + -412.672 + -62.744 = C$-141 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -50.865 + 156.525 + -625.317 + -157.616 = C$-677 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 571.428 + 227.177 + 325.102 + 451.077 = C$1,575 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$524 Mil.
Revenue was 665.145 + 571.867 + 490.503 + 528.974 = C$2,256 Mil.
Gross Profit was 490.221 + 571.867 + 490.503 + 528.974 = C$2,082 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,565 Mil.
Total Assets was C$14,090 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$9,020 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$677 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$111 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,653 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$6,159 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(408.197 / 2561.031) / (524.25 / 2256.489)
=0.159388 / 0.23233
=0.686

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2081.565 / 2256.489) / (2363.821 / 2561.031)
=0.92248 / 0.922996
=0.9994

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1555.451 + 8062.618) / 13479.637) / (1 - (1565.367 + 9020.443) / 14090.227)
=0.286474 / 0.248713
=1.1518

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2561.031 / 2256.489
=1.135

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(677.435 / (677.435 + 9020.443)) / (719.245 / (719.245 + 8062.618))
=0.069854 / 0.081901
=0.8529

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(124.463 / 2561.031) / (110.508 / 2256.489)
=0.048599 / 0.048973
=0.9924

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6008.531 + 1343.715) / 13479.637) / ((6158.66 + 1652.871) / 14090.227)
=0.545434 / 0.554394
=0.9838

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-141.465 - -677.273 - 1574.784) / 13479.637
=-0.077077

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Northland Power has a M-score of -2.96 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.96 mean?
Northland Power (TSX:NPI) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.96 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Northland Power and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Northland Power ranks #84 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 21.5%.
Is Northland Power's Beneish M-Score too high?
Northland Power's current Beneish M-Score is -2.96. Based on the distribution chart, Northland Power ranks #84 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Northland Power has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Northland Power's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, Northland Power ranks #84 out of 390 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Northland Power in the top 22% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Northland Power and its competitors. Northland Power's current Beneish M-Score is -2.96. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Northland Power stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northland Power (TSX:NPI) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$24.14, compared to a current price of C$22.08 — trading 8.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.96. Northland Power's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Northland Power (TSX:NPI), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.96 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Northland Power (TSX:NPI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northland Power stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of C$22.08 is trading 8.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of C$24.14. GuruFocus considers Northland Power to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:NPI:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.96
  • GF Value™: C$24.14 vs. price of C$22.08 (8.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:NPI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Northland Power Business Description

Address 30 St. Clair Avenue West, 3rd Floor, Toronto, ON, CAN, M4V 3A1
Northland Power develops, constructs, and operates sustainable infrastructure assets across a range of clean and green technologies, such as wind (offshore and onshore), solar, and supplying energy through a regulated utility. Offshore wind is expected to remain the company's largest segment over the long term. Northland's growth opportunities are global and span North America, Europe, Latin America, and Asia.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:NPI

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$22.08
Price
C$24.14
GF Value