Arctic Paper (WAR:ATC) Beneish M-Score: -1.90 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


WAR:ATC Arctic Paper SA WAR:ATC
58 GF Score
Price zł5.80
GF Value zł14.28
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Arctic Paper Beneish M-Score?

Arctic Paper WAR:ATC +0.17% 58 Beneish M-Score is -1.90 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates WAR:ATC with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of zł14.28 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Arctic Paper ranks worse than 85.35% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arctic Paper's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:ATC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.25   Med: -2.75   Max: -1.27
Current: -1.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arctic Paper was -1.27. The lowest was -3.25. And the median was -2.75.


Arctic Paper Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Arctic Paper's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arctic Paper Beneish M-Score Chart

Arctic Paper Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.29 -2.14 -2.94 -2.56 -2.09

Arctic Paper Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.48 -2.29 -2.09 -1.90

WAR:ATC vs SLVM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Arctic Paper's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arctic Paper Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Arctic Paper's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arctic Paper's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WAR:ATC
58GF Score
Arctic Paper SA WAR:ATC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Arctic Paper Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arctic Paper for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.925+0.528 * 2.5739+0.404 * 1.7661+0.892 * 0.9686+0.115 * 0.635
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9855+4.679 * -0.088233-0.327 * 1.0311
=-1.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł427 Mil.
Revenue was 813.991 + 745.145 + 796.224 + 833.455 = zł3,189 Mil.
Gross Profit was 68.145 + -74.679 + 108.781 + 82.774 = zł185 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł1,034 Mil.
Total Assets was zł2,684 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł1,511 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł200 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł450 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł693 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł172 Mil.
Net Income was -21.384 + -42.92 + 2.084 + -45.423 = zł-108 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -46.683 + 93.359 + 26.417 + 56.051 = zł129 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł477 Mil.
Revenue was 822.77 + 810.827 + 819.282 + 839.206 = zł3,292 Mil.
Gross Profit was 114.384 + 66.147 + 159.46 + 151.655 = zł492 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł1,299 Mil.
Total Assets was zł2,869 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł1,486 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł119 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł471 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł849 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł48 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(427.478 / 3188.815) / (477.128 / 3292.085)
=0.134055 / 0.144932
=0.925

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(491.646 / 3292.085) / (185.021 / 3188.815)
=0.149342 / 0.058022
=2.5739

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1033.57 + 1511.38) / 2683.642) / (1 - (1298.576 + 1486.258) / 2868.784)
=0.051681 / 0.029263
=1.7661

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3188.815 / 3292.085
=0.9686

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(119.08 / (119.08 + 1486.258)) / (199.913 / (199.913 + 1511.38))
=0.074178 / 0.11682
=0.635

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(449.903 / 3188.815) / (471.286 / 3292.085)
=0.141088 / 0.143157
=0.9855

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((172.436 + 692.625) / 2683.642) / ((47.838 + 848.996) / 2868.784)
=0.322346 / 0.312618
=1.0311

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-107.643 - 0 - 129.144) / 2683.642
=-0.088233

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arctic Paper has a M-score of -1.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.90 mean?
Arctic Paper (WAR:ATC) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.90 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Arctic Paper and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Arctic Paper ranks #233 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 85.3%.
Is Arctic Paper's Beneish M-Score too high?
Arctic Paper's current Beneish M-Score is -1.90. Based on the distribution chart, Arctic Paper ranks #233 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Arctic Paper has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arctic Paper's Beneish M-Score compare to SLVM?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Arctic Paper ranks #233 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Arctic Paper in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Arctic Paper and its competitors. Arctic Paper's current Beneish M-Score is -1.90. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arctic Paper stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arctic Paper (WAR:ATC) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is zł14.28, compared to a current price of zł5.80 — trading 59.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.90. Arctic Paper's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arctic Paper (WAR:ATC), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.90 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Arctic Paper (WAR:ATC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arctic Paper stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of zł5.80 is trading 59.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of zł14.28. GuruFocus considers Arctic Paper to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for WAR:ATC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.90
  • GF Value™: zł14.28 vs. price of zł5.80 (59.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WAR:ATC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Arctic Paper Business Description

Other Exchanges ARP:SwedenA0P:Germany
Address UL. Fabryczna 1, Kostrzyn nad Odra, Lubuskie, POL, 66470
Arctic Paper SA produces a volume of bulky book paper and produces high-quality graphic paper in Europe. The group produces numerous types of uncoated and coated wood-free paper as well as wood-containing uncoated paper for printing houses, paper distributors, book and magazine publishing houses, and the advertising industry. The company's segment includes Paper and Pulp. The firm derives maximum revenue from the Paper segment. The majority of revenue is generated from Uncoated segment. Geographically, the firm derives revenue from Germany, France, the UK, Scandinavia, Western Europe (other countries), Poland, Central and Eastern Europe (other than Poland), and Outside Europe.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WAR:ATC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

zł5.80
Price
zł14.28
GF Value