Altria Group (WBO:ALTR) Beneish M-Score: -2.37 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


WBO:ALTR Altria Group Inc WBO:ALTR
63 GF Score
Price €63.38
GF Value €48.05
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Altria Group Beneish M-Score?

Altria Group WBO:ALTR +1.34% 63 Beneish M-Score is -2.37 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates WBO:ALTR with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of €48.05 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 45 Tobacco Products companies, Altria Group ranks better than 51.11% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.37 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Altria Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:ALTR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.52   Med: -2.68   Max: 36.05
Current: -2.37

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Altria Group was 36.05. The lowest was -3.52. And the median was -2.68.


Altria Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Altria Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Altria Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Altria Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.12 34.07 -3.35 -3.18 -2.15

Altria Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.52 -2.80 -2.65 -2.15 -2.37

WBO:ALTR vs TPB, UVV, AIIR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, Altria Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Altria Group Beneish M-Score vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Altria Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Altria Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WBO:ALTR
63GF Score
Altria Group Inc WBO:ALTR
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Altria Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Altria Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1034+0.528 * 0.9749+0.404 * 1.0185+0.892 * 0.9329+0.115 * 1.2223
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9013+4.679 * -0.003492-0.327 * 0.985
=-2.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €246 Mil.
Revenue was 4115.67 + 4337.466 + 4473.852 + 4586.43 = €17,513 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3032.69 + 3100.874 + 3247.824 + 3337.95 = €12,719 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,500 Mil.
Total Assets was €29,915 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,496 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €216 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,121 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €7,272 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €20,812 Mil.
Net Income was 1888.295 + 953.918 + 2023.5 + 2061.726 = €6,927 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 139.265 + -968.436 + 103.092 + 140.454 = €-586 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2010.26 + 2793.434 + 2636.088 + 177.735 = €7,618 Mil.
Total Receivables was €239 Mil.
Revenue was 4180.075 + 4876.23 + 4814.944 + 4902.333 = €18,774 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3005.325 + 3441.82 + 3431.008 + 3414.075 = €13,292 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,624 Mil.
Total Assets was €33,078 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,487 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €271 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,523 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9,856 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €21,671 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(245.66 / 17513.418) / (238.65 / 18773.582)
=0.014027 / 0.012712
=1.1034

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13292.228 / 18773.582) / (12719.338 / 17513.418)
=0.708028 / 0.726262
=0.9749

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4499.73 + 1496.45) / 29915.16) / (1 - (5624 + 1487.4) / 33078)
=0.79956 / 0.785011
=1.0185

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=17513.418 / 18773.582
=0.9329

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(270.81 / (270.81 + 1487.4)) / (215.753 / (215.753 + 1496.45))
=0.154026 / 0.126009
=1.2223

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2121.463 / 17513.418) / (2523.093 / 18773.582)
=0.121134 / 0.134396
=0.9013

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((20811.9 + 7272.055) / 29915.16) / ((21670.9 + 9855.875) / 33078)
=0.938787 / 0.953104
=0.985

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6927.439 - -585.625 - 7617.517) / 29915.16
=-0.003492

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Altria Group has a M-score of -2.42 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.37 mean?
Altria Group (WBO:ALTR) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.37 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Altria Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Altria Group ranks #22 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 48.9%.
Is Altria Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Altria Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.37. Based on the distribution chart, Altria Group ranks #22 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Altria Group has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Altria Group's Beneish M-Score compare to TPB and UVV?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Altria Group ranks #22 out of 45 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Altria Group in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Tobacco Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Altria Group and its competitors. Altria Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.37. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Altria Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Altria Group (WBO:ALTR) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €48.05, compared to a current price of €63.38 — trading 31.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.37. Altria Group's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Altria Group (WBO:ALTR), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.37 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Altria Group (WBO:ALTR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Altria Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €63.38 is trading 31.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €48.05. GuruFocus considers Altria Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WBO:ALTR:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.37
  • GF Value™: €48.05 vs. price of €63.38 (31.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:ALTR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Altria Group Business Description

Address 6601 West Broad Street, Richmond, VA, USA, 23230
Altria comprises Philip Morris USA, U.S. Smokeless Tobacco, John Middleton, Horizon Innovations, and Helix Innovations. Through its tobacco subsidiaries, Altria maintains the leading position in cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the United States and the number-two spot in machine-made cigars. The company's Marlboro brand is the leading cigarette brand in the US with 40% share in 2024. Beyond its core business, it holds an 8% interest in the world's largest brewer, Anheuser-Busch InBev, and a 41% stake in cannabis manufacturer Cronos. In reduced-risk products, it acquired vaping company Njoy Holdings in 2023, operates a joint venture with Japan Tobacco in the heated tobacco category for the US, and sells the On brand in nicotine pouches.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WBO:ALTR

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€63.38
Price
€48.05
GF Value