Ferrovial NV (XAMS:FER) Beneish M-Score: -2.77 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


XAMS:FER Ferrovial NV XAMS:FER
78 GF Score
Price €61.88
GF Value €45.14
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ferrovial NV Beneish M-Score?

Ferrovial NV XAMS:FER +0.72% 78 Beneish M-Score is -2.77 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates XAMS:FER with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of €45.14 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,704 Construction companies, Ferrovial NV ranks better than 71.36% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.77 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ferrovial NV's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XAMS:FER' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.43   Med: -2.62   Max: -2.12
Current: -2.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ferrovial NV was -2.12. The lowest was -3.43. And the median was -2.62.


Ferrovial NV Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ferrovial NV's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ferrovial NV Beneish M-Score Chart

Ferrovial NV Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -2.45 -2.66 -2.33 -2.77

Ferrovial NV Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.77 0.00

XAMS:FER vs PWR, FIX, EME: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Ferrovial NV's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ferrovial NV Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Ferrovial NV's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ferrovial NV's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XAMS:FER
78GF Score
Ferrovial NV XAMS:FER
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ferrovial NV Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ferrovial NV for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.942+0.528 * 0.9942+0.404 * 0.9787+0.892 * 1.0524+0.115 * 1.1152
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0145+4.679 * -0.058206-0.327 * 1.0244
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €2,173 Mil.
Revenue was €9,627 Mil.
Gross Profit was €8,503 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €7,310 Mil.
Total Assets was €27,420 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,308 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €490 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,638 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,464 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €9,575 Mil.
Net Income was €888 Mil.
Gross Profit was €558 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €1,926 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,192 Mil.
Revenue was €9,148 Mil.
Gross Profit was €8,033 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €7,672 Mil.
Total Assets was €28,999 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,010 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €441 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,471 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,301 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €10,257 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2173 / 9627) / (2192 / 9148)
=0.225719 / 0.239615
=0.942

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8033 / 9148) / (8503 / 9627)
=0.878115 / 0.883245
=0.9942

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7310 + 1308) / 27420) / (1 - (7672 + 1010) / 28999)
=0.685704 / 0.70061
=0.9787

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9627 / 9148
=1.0524

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(441 / (441 + 1010)) / (490 / (490 + 1308))
=0.303928 / 0.272525
=1.1152

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2638 / 9627) / (2471 / 9148)
=0.274021 / 0.270114
=1.0145

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9575 + 6464) / 27420) / ((10257 + 6301) / 28999)
=0.584938 / 0.570985
=1.0244

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(888 - 558 - 1926) / 27420
=-0.058206

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ferrovial NV has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.77 mean?
Ferrovial NV (XAMS:FER) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.77 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ferrovial NV and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ferrovial NV ranks #488 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 28.6%.
Is Ferrovial NV's Beneish M-Score too high?
Ferrovial NV's current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. Based on the distribution chart, Ferrovial NV ranks #488 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Ferrovial NV has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ferrovial NV's Beneish M-Score compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Ferrovial NV ranks #488 out of 1704 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Ferrovial NV in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ferrovial NV and its competitors. Ferrovial NV's current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ferrovial NV stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ferrovial NV (XAMS:FER) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €45.14, compared to a current price of €61.88 — trading 37.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. Ferrovial NV's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ferrovial NV (XAMS:FER), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.77 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ferrovial NV (XAMS:FER) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ferrovial NV stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €61.88 is trading 37.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of €45.14. GuruFocus considers Ferrovial NV to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XAMS:FER:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.77
  • GF Value™: €45.14 vs. price of €61.88 (37.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XAMS:FER stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ferrovial NV Business Description

Address Gustav Mahlerplein 61-63, Symphony Towers, 14th Floor, Amsterdam, NH, NLD, 1082 MS
Ferrovial is a global transportation infrastructure investor, developer, and operator, with a strong presence in North American toll roads. In recent years, it shifted its portfolio toward North America and India, and lowered its exposure to Europe (including selling its stake in Heathrow Airport). The jewels in its crown include its stake in the 99-year lease to operate the Highway 407 ETR toll road in Toronto and its concession to develop and operate New Terminal One at JFK until 2060.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XAMS:FER

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€61.88
Price
€45.14
GF Value