Coka duvanska industrija a.d (XBEL:COKA) Beneish M-Score: -1.51 (As of Jun. 30, 2026)


XBEL:COKA Coka duvanska industrija a.d XBEL:COKA
66 GF Score
Price RSD8,900.00
GF Value RSD9,103.72
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Coka duvanska industrija a.d Beneish M-Score?

Coka duvanska industrija a.d XBEL:COKA 66 Beneish M-Score is -1.51 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates XBEL:COKA with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of RSD9,103.72 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 45 Tobacco Products companies, Coka duvanska industrija a.d ranks worse than 80% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.51 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Coka duvanska industrija a.d's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBEL:COKA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.13   Med: -1.91   Max: 0.11
Current: -1.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Coka duvanska industrija a.d was 0.11. The lowest was -4.13. And the median was -1.91.


Coka duvanska industrija a.d Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Coka duvanska industrija a.d's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Coka duvanska industrija a.d Beneish M-Score Chart

Coka duvanska industrija a.d Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.51 -4.13 -1.06 -0.37 -1.51

Coka duvanska industrija a.d Semi-Annual Data
Dec11 Jun12 Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.06 0.00 -0.37 0.00 -1.51

XBEL:COKA vs PM, MO, TPB: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, Coka duvanska industrija a.d's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Coka duvanska industrija a.d Beneish M-Score vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Coka duvanska industrija a.d's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coka duvanska industrija a.d's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XBEL:COKA
66GF Score
Coka duvanska industrija a.d XBEL:COKA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Coka duvanska industrija a.d Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Coka duvanska industrija a.d for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.8984+0.528 * 1.0177+0.404 * 0.9453+0.892 * 0.7186+0.115 * 1.2214
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.6246+4.679 * 0.207224-0.327 * 2.4843
=-1.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was RSD19.2 Mil.
Revenue was RSD272.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was RSD118.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was RSD566.3 Mil.
Total Assets was RSD630.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was RSD56.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was RSD6.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was RSD19.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was RSD225.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was RSD28.5 Mil.
Net Income was RSD1.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was RSD0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was RSD-129.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was RSD14.1 Mil.
Revenue was RSD379.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was RSD168.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was RSD429.0 Mil.
Total Assets was RSD493.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was RSD58.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was RSD7.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was RSD16.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was RSD79.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was RSD0.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(19.167 / 272.786) / (14.05 / 379.603)
=0.070264 / 0.037012
=1.8984

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(168.279 / 379.603) / (118.824 / 272.786)
=0.443303 / 0.435594
=1.0177

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (566.325 + 56.199) / 630.276) / (1 - (428.99 + 58.103) / 493.514)
=0.012299 / 0.013011
=0.9453

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=272.786 / 379.603
=0.7186

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7.946 / (7.946 + 58.103)) / (6.14 / (6.14 + 56.199))
=0.120305 / 0.098494
=1.2214

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(19.516 / 272.786) / (16.717 / 379.603)
=0.071543 / 0.044038
=1.6246

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((28.513 + 225.007) / 630.276) / ((0 + 79.905) / 493.514)
=0.402236 / 0.16191
=2.4843

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1.134 - 0 - -129.474) / 630.276
=0.207224

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Coka duvanska industrija a.d has a M-score of -1.51 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.51 mean?
Coka duvanska industrija a.d (XBEL:COKA) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.51 as of Jun. 30, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Coka duvanska industrija a.d and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Coka duvanska industrija a.d ranks #36 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 80%.
Is Coka duvanska industrija a.d's Beneish M-Score too high?
Coka duvanska industrija a.d's current Beneish M-Score is -1.51. Based on the distribution chart, Coka duvanska industrija a.d ranks #36 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Coka duvanska industrija a.d has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Coka duvanska industrija a.d's Beneish M-Score compare to PM and MO?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Coka duvanska industrija a.d ranks #36 out of 45 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Coka duvanska industrija a.d in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Tobacco Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Coka duvanska industrija a.d and its competitors. Coka duvanska industrija a.d's current Beneish M-Score is -1.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Coka duvanska industrija a.d stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Coka duvanska industrija a.d (XBEL:COKA) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is RSD9,103.72, compared to a current price of RSD8,900.00 — trading 2.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.51. Coka duvanska industrija a.d's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Coka duvanska industrija a.d (XBEL:COKA), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.51 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Coka duvanska industrija a.d (XBEL:COKA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Coka duvanska industrija a.d stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of RSD8,900.00 is trading 2.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of RSD9,103.72. GuruFocus considers Coka duvanska industrija a.d to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for XBEL:COKA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.51
  • GF Value™: RSD9,103.72 vs. price of RSD8,900.00 (2.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XBEL:COKA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Coka duvanska industrija a.d Business Description

Address Proleterska 6, Coka, SRB
Coka duvanska industrija a.d is a Serbia based company. It is engaged in the production and processing of raw tobacco. it is also engaged in the wholesale and retail trade of tobacco products.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XBEL:COKA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

RSD8,900.00
Price
RSD9,103.72
GF Value