Air Canada (XBUL:ADH2) Beneish M-Score: -2.72 (As of Jul. 23, 2026)

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XBUL:ADH2 Air Canada XBUL:ADH2
84 GF Score
Price лв10.99
GF Value лв11.77
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Air Canada Beneish M-Score?

Air Canada XBUL:ADH2 84 Beneish M-Score is -2.72 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus rates XBUL:ADH2 with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of лв11.77. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Air Canada ranks better than 62.11% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air Canada's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:ADH2' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.83   Med: -2.85   Max: 14.96
Current: -2.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Air Canada was 14.96. The lowest was -8.83. And the median was -2.85.


Air Canada Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Air Canada's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Air Canada Beneish M-Score Chart

Air Canada Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.13 -3.16 -2.94 -2.63 -2.80

Air Canada Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.67 -2.94 -2.80 -2.72

XBUL:ADH2 vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Air Canada's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air Canada Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air Canada's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air Canada's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XBUL:ADH2
84GF Score
Air Canada XBUL:ADH2
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Air Canada Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Air Canada for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3313+0.528 * 0.9986+0.404 * 0.8969+0.892 * 1.0468+0.115 * 1.0393
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0064+4.679 * -0.104306-0.327 * 1.0066
=-2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was лв1,854 Mil.
Revenue was 7241.825 + 7183.778 + 7168.492 + 7077.118 = лв28,671 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1561.03 + 1804.037 + 1777.845 + 1820.8 = лв6,964 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв11,732 Mil.
Total Assets was лв41,420 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв18,756 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв2,526 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв2,259 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв19,575 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв11,278 Mil.
Net Income was 60.088 + 368.527 + 327.759 + 233.726 = лв990 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 123.931 + 129.482 + 420.873 + -275.193 = лв399 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2250.787 + 526.644 + 1009.349 + 1124.649 = лв4,911 Mil.
Total Receivables was лв1,330 Mil.
Revenue was 6216.336 + 6514.644 + 7741.845 + 6916.4 = лв27,389 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1143.729 + 981.295 + 2698.108 + 1819.644 = лв6,643 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв10,796 Mil.
Total Assets was лв38,230 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв16,184 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв2,277 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв2,144 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв15,476 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв12,813 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1853.957 / 28671.213) / (1330.363 / 27389.225)
=0.064663 / 0.048572
=1.3313

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6642.776 / 27389.225) / (6963.712 / 28671.213)
=0.242532 / 0.242882
=0.9986

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (11732.132 + 18756.139) / 41420.484) / (1 - (10796.038 + 16184.486) / 38229.986)
=0.263933 / 0.294258
=0.8969

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=28671.213 / 27389.225
=1.0468

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2277.467 / (2277.467 + 16184.486)) / (2526.035 / (2526.035 + 18756.139))
=0.12336 / 0.118693
=1.0393

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2258.937 / 28671.213) / (2144.201 / 27389.225)
=0.078788 / 0.078286
=1.0064

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11277.718 + 19574.834) / 41420.484) / ((12813.117 + 15476.235) / 38229.986)
=0.744862 / 0.739978
=1.0066

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(990.1 - 399.093 - 4911.429) / 41420.484
=-0.104306

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Air Canada has a M-score of -2.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.72 mean?
Air Canada (XBUL:ADH2) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.72 as of Jul. 23, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Air Canada and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Air Canada ranks #366 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 37.9%.
Is Air Canada's Beneish M-Score too high?
Air Canada's current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. Based on the distribution chart, Air Canada ranks #366 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Air Canada has a GF Score™ of 84/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Air Canada's Beneish M-Score compare to DAL and UAL?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Air Canada ranks #366 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Air Canada in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Air Canada and its competitors. Air Canada's current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Air Canada stock overvalued right now?
Air Canada (XBUL:ADH2) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.72. The stock's GF Value™ is лв11.77, compared to a current price of лв10.99 — trading 6.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. Air Canada's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Air Canada (XBUL:ADH2), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.72 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Air Canada (XBUL:ADH2) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Air Canada stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of лв10.99 is trading 6.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of лв11.77.

Key valuation signals for XBUL:ADH2:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.72
  • GF Value™: лв11.77 vs. price of лв10.99 (6.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XBUL:ADH2 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Air Canada Business Description

Address 7373 Cote Vertu Boulevard West, Air Canada Centre, Saint-Laurent, Montreal, QC, CAN, H4S 1Z3
Air Canada is Canada's largest airline, serving nearly 50 million passengers each year, together with its low-cost subbrand, Rouge, and contracts for regional connection flights into its network. Air Canada is a sixth-freedom airline, which flies many passengers on long-haul trips to and from the US with a layover in Canada.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XBUL:ADH2

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

лв10.99
Price
лв11.77
GF Value