Kcell JSC (XKAZ:KCEL) Beneish M-Score: -2.82 (As of Jul. 30, 2026)

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XKAZ:KCEL Kcell JSC XKAZ:KCEL
57 GF Score
Price ₸3,235.98
GF Value ₸3,652.09
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Kcell JSC Beneish M-Score?

Kcell JSC XKAZ:KCEL +0.22% 57 Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates XKAZ:KCEL with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of ₸3,652.09 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 350 Telecommunication Services companies, Kcell JSC ranks better than 53.71% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kcell JSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XKAZ:KCEL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.04   Med: -2.97   Max: -1.59
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kcell JSC was -1.59. The lowest was -4.04. And the median was -2.97.


Kcell JSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kcell JSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kcell JSC Beneish M-Score Chart

Kcell JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.40 -2.43 -2.52 -3.24 -3.17

Kcell JSC Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.10 -3.03 -2.87 -3.17 -2.82

XKAZ:KCEL vs VZ, TMUS, T: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Kcell JSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kcell JSC Beneish M-Score vs Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Kcell JSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kcell JSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XKAZ:KCEL
57GF Score
Kcell JSC XKAZ:KCEL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kcell JSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kcell JSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2463+0.528 * 0.8398+0.404 * 0.8574+0.892 * 1.1072+0.115 * 1.0792
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.247+4.679 * -0.102465-0.327 * 1.023
=-2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₸36,411 Mil.
Revenue was 67028 + 67467 + 65329 + 63001 = ₸262,825 Mil.
Gross Profit was 14414 + 10899 + 21538 + 13886 = ₸60,737 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₸78,310 Mil.
Total Assets was ₸521,396 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₸316,849 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₸60,579 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₸7,458 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₸128,549 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₸148,465 Mil.
Net Income was 4294 + -756 + 9232 + 4431 = ₸17,201 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₸0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1935 + 16345 + 21190 + 31156 = ₸70,626 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₸26,387 Mil.
Revenue was 58952 + 59687 + 58898 + 59850 = ₸237,387 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9304 + 11946 + 13226 + 11596 = ₸46,072 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₸57,209 Mil.
Total Assets was ₸438,025 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₸257,124 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₸53,872 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₸5,402 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₸124,036 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₸103,447 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(36411 / 262825) / (26387 / 237387)
=0.138537 / 0.111156
=1.2463

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(46072 / 237387) / (60737 / 262825)
=0.19408 / 0.231093
=0.8398

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (78310 + 316849) / 521396) / (1 - (57209 + 257124) / 438025)
=0.242113 / 0.282386
=0.8574

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=262825 / 237387
=1.1072

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(53872 / (53872 + 257124)) / (60579 / (60579 + 316849))
=0.173224 / 0.160505
=1.0792

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7458 / 262825) / (5402 / 237387)
=0.028376 / 0.022756
=1.247

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((148465 + 128549) / 521396) / ((103447 + 124036) / 438025)
=0.531293 / 0.519338
=1.023

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(17201 - 0 - 70626) / 521396
=-0.102465

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kcell JSC has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 mean?
Kcell JSC (XKAZ:KCEL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 as of Jul. 30, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kcell JSC and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kcell JSC ranks #162 out of 350 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, placing it in the top 46.3%.
Is Kcell JSC's Beneish M-Score too high?
Kcell JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Based on the distribution chart, Kcell JSC ranks #162 out of 350 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Kcell JSC has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kcell JSC's Beneish M-Score compare to VZ and TMUS?
According to the Telecommunication Services industry distribution chart, Kcell JSC ranks #162 out of 350 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Kcell JSC in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Telecommunication Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Telecommunication Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kcell JSC and its competitors. Kcell JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kcell JSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kcell JSC (XKAZ:KCEL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₸3,652.09, compared to a current price of ₸3,235.98 — trading 11.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Kcell JSC's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kcell JSC (XKAZ:KCEL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kcell JSC (XKAZ:KCEL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kcell JSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₸3,235.98 is trading 11.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₸3,652.09. GuruFocus considers Kcell JSC to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XKAZ:KCEL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.82
  • GF Value™: ₸3,652.09 vs. price of ₸3,235.98 (11.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKAZ:KCEL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kcell JSC Business Description

Address Alimzhanova Street, 51, Almaty, KAZ, 050004
Kcell JSC is a Kazakhstan-based company. It is engaged in providing mobile telecommunications services to both individuals and organizations including voice, SMS, MMS and data transmission. It offers Internet access and value-added services, including mobile content. The company is involved in designing, constructing and operating a cellular telecommunications network in the Republic of Kazakhstan using GSM (Global System for Mobile Communications) standard. It operates its business through Kcell which targets the mass market, corporate subscribers, public organizations as well as high-net-worth individuals. The company generates revenue from the sale of voice and other services, data service, handsets, and value-added services.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKAZ:KCEL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₸3,235.98
Price
₸3,652.09
GF Value