Falabella (XSGO:FALABELLA) Beneish M-Score: -2.35 (As of Jul. 27, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSGO:FALABELLA Falabella SA XSGO:FALABELLA
80 GF Score
Price CLP5,835.00
GF Value CLP4,084.63
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Falabella Beneish M-Score?

Falabella XSGO:FALABELLA 80 Beneish M-Score is -2.35 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSGO:FALABELLA with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of CLP4,084.63 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,086 Retail - Cyclical companies, Falabella ranks worse than 66.11% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.35 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Falabella's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSGO:FALABELLA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.22   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.06
Current: -2.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Falabella was -2.06. The lowest was -3.22. And the median was -2.54.


Falabella Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Falabella's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Falabella Beneish M-Score Chart

Falabella Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 -2.39 -2.81 -2.54 -2.31

Falabella Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 -2.52 -2.40 -2.31 -2.35

XSGO:FALABELLA vs DDS, M: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Department Stores subindustry, Falabella's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Falabella Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Falabella's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Falabella's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XSGO:FALABELLA
80GF Score
Falabella SA XSGO:FALABELLA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Falabella Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Falabella for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0675+0.528 * 0.9712+0.404 * 1.0121+0.892 * 1.0893+0.115 * 0.9611
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9777+4.679 * -0.001527-0.327 * 0.9783
=-2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was CLP7,526,941 Mil.
Revenue was 3334955.756 + 3882308.724 + 3123804.657 + 3174752.207 = CLP13,515,821 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1399778.769 + 1605908.948 + 1290648.955 + 1318025.154 = CLP5,614,362 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CLP13,602,691 Mil.
Total Assets was CLP27,335,903 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CLP3,947,483 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CLP40,827 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CLP1,059,049 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CLP7,454,067 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CLP1,703,224 Mil.
Net Income was 234757.674 + 630303.479 + 160893.959 + 364272.828 = CLP1,390,228 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = CLP0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 507119.704 + 568825.142 + 195402.491 + 160625.975 = CLP1,431,973 Mil.
Total Receivables was CLP6,472,606 Mil.
Revenue was 3123387.89 + 3535748.177 + 2846001.979 + 2902541.088 = CLP12,407,679 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1272542.308 + 1420724.802 + 1149599.884 + 1162516.298 = CLP5,005,383 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CLP12,102,724 Mil.
Total Assets was CLP24,721,516 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CLP3,874,752 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CLP38,502 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CLP994,357 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CLP6,661,052 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CLP1,803,893 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(7526940.586 / 13515821.344) / (6472606.033 / 12407679.134)
=0.556898 / 0.521661
=1.0675

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5005383.292 / 12407679.134) / (5614361.826 / 13515821.344)
=0.40341 / 0.415392
=0.9712

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13602691.378 + 3947483.477) / 27335902.977) / (1 - (12102723.879 + 3874752.351) / 24721516.498)
=0.357981 / 0.353702
=1.0121

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13515821.344 / 12407679.134
=1.0893

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(38501.907 / (38501.907 + 3874752.351)) / (40826.687 / (40826.687 + 3947483.477))
=0.009839 / 0.010237
=0.9611

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1059049.314 / 13515821.344) / (994356.957 / 12407679.134)
=0.078356 / 0.08014
=0.9777

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1703224.175 + 7454067.332) / 27335902.977) / ((1803892.501 + 6661052.066) / 24721516.498)
=0.334991 / 0.342412
=0.9783

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1390227.94 - 0 - 1431973.312) / 27335902.977
=-0.001527

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Falabella has a M-score of -2.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.35 mean?
Falabella (XSGO:FALABELLA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.35 as of Jul. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Falabella and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Falabella ranks #718 out of 1086 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 66.1%.
Is Falabella's Beneish M-Score too high?
Falabella's current Beneish M-Score is -2.35. Based on the distribution chart, Falabella ranks #718 out of 1086 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Falabella has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Falabella's Beneish M-Score compare to DDS and M?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Falabella ranks #718 out of 1086 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Falabella in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Falabella and its competitors. Falabella's current Beneish M-Score is -2.35. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Falabella stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Falabella (XSGO:FALABELLA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CLP4,084.63, compared to a current price of CLP5,835.00 — trading 42.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.35. Falabella's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Falabella (XSGO:FALABELLA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.35 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Falabella (XSGO:FALABELLA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Falabella stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CLP5,835.00 is trading 42.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of CLP4,084.63. GuruFocus considers Falabella to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSGO:FALABELLA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.35
  • GF Value™: CLP4,084.63 vs. price of CLP5,835.00 (42.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSGO:FALABELLA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Falabella Business Description

Address Avenida Presidente Riesco 5685, 4th floor, Las Condes, Santiago, CHL
Falabella SA is involved in offering products and services in five business divisions: department stores, home improvement, supermarkets, financial services, and real estate. All business segments operate in South American countries. The largest division by revenue, financial services offers access to credit by combining traditional financial business with proximity to customers through retail formats. Home improvement has a diverse customer base: from individuals to construction-sector players and corporates. This segment's main categories are construction materials, home improvement products, home accessories and furniture. The department stores segment offers various brands such as private brands, second generation, exclusive brands, and international brands.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSGO:FALABELLA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CLP5,835.00
Price
CLP4,084.63
GF Value