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Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Free Cash Flow per Share

: $44.10 (TTM As of Dec. 2023)
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Chipotle Mexican Grill's Free Cash Flow per Share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $3.39. Its Free Cash Flow per Share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $44.10.

During the past 12 months, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate of Chipotle Mexican Grill was 46.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 62.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 32.90% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 15.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the FCF Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Free Cash Flow per Share or its related term are showing as below:

CMG' s 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -32.5   Med: 24.5   Max: 206.8
Current: 62.8

During the past 13 years, Chipotle Mexican Grill's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 206.80% per year. The lowest was -32.50% per year. And the median was 24.50% per year.

CMG's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is ranked better than
93.3% of 224 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 6.15 vs CMG: 62.80

Chipotle Mexican Grill Free Cash Flow per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Free Cash Flow per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Free Cash Flow per Share
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.70 10.22 29.45 30.08 44.13

Chipotle Mexican Grill Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Free Cash Flow per Share Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.25 12.04 16.05 12.62 3.39

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow falls into.



Chipotle Mexican Grill Free Cash Flow per Share Calculation

Free Cashflow per Share is the amount of Free Cashflow per outstanding share of the company's stock.

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

Note: GuruFocus does not calculate Free Cash Flow Per Share when Capital Expenditure is 0.

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Free Cash Flow Per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow Per Share(A: Dec. 2023 )
=(Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(1783.477+-560.731)/27.710
=1222.746/27.710
=44.13

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Free Cash Flow Per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow Per Share(Q: Dec. 2023 )
=(Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(265.459+-171.93)/27.623
=93.529/27.623
=3.39

Free Cash Flow per Share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $44.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chipotle Mexican Grill  (NYSE:CMG) Free Cash Flow per Share Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Dec23, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Dec23)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=24.65257143/2286.96+0.2
=21.08 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Free Cash Flow per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chipotle Mexican Grill's Free Cash Flow per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
610 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1100, Newport Beach, CA, USA, 92660
Chipotle Mexican Grill is the largest fast-casual chain restaurant in the United States, with systemwide sales of $8.6 billion in 2022. The Mexican concept is predominately company-owned (it recently inked a development agreement with Alshaya Group in the Middle East), with a footprint of nearly 3,200 stores at the end of 2022, heavily indexed to the United States, although the firm maintains a small presence in Canada, the U.K., France, and Germany. Chipotle sells burritos, burrito bowls, tacos, quesadillas, and beverages, with a selling proposition built around competitive prices, high-quality food sourcing, speed of service, and convenience. The company generates its revenue entirely from restaurant sales and delivery fees.
Executives
Brian R Niccol director, officer: Chairman, CEO 1 GLEN BELL WAY, IRVINE CA 92618
Gregg L Engles director 1225 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Scott Boatwright officer: Chief Restaurant Officer 1401 WYNKOOP STREET, SUITE 500, DENVER CO 80202
Robin S Hickenlooper director 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Laurie Schalow officer: Chief Corp Affairs, Food Sft 610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1300, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Curtis E Garner officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O AEROHIVE NETWORKS, INC., 330 GIBRALTAR DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Christopher W Brandt officer: Chief Marketing Officer 2202 NORTH WESTSHORE BLVD, TAMPA FL 33607
Patricia Filikrushel director DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION, 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Laura Fuentes director 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Albert S Baldocchi director 1601 HIGH STREET, BOULDER CO 80304
Marissa Andrada officer: Chief D&I and People Officer C/O KATE SPADE & COMPANY 2 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Roger E Theodoredis officer: Chief Legal Officer & GC 1225 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.p. director 787 11TH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jack Hartung officer: CFO & Chief Development Ofcr 1543 WAZEE STREET, SUITE 200, DENVER CO 80202
Scott Harlan Maw director 1411 E. MISSION AVENUE, SPOKANE WA 99202