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Forge Group (ASX:FGE) Peter Lynch Fair Value : A$18.25 (As of Jun. 24, 2024)


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What is Forge Group Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Forge Group's PEG is 1. Forge Group's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. Forge Group's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2013 was A$0.73. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is A$18.25.

As of today (2024-06-24), Forge Group's share price is A$0.92. Forge Group's Peter Lynch fair value is A$18.25. Therefore, Forge Group's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.05.


The historical rank and industry rank for Forge Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:



ASX:FGE's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is not ranked *
in the Construction industry.
Industry Median: 1.08
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value only.

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Forge Group Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Forge Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Forge Group Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Forge Group Annual Data
Trend Jun07 Jun08 Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - 11.70 14.25 18.25

Forge Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun07 Jun08 Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - 11.70 14.25 18.25

Competitive Comparison of Forge Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Forge Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Forge Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Forge Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forge Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Forge Group Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Forge Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *0.73
=18.25

For company reported annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. Forge Group's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2013 was A$0.73.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Forge Group  (ASX:FGE) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

Forge Group's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=0.92/18.25
=0.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Forge Group Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Forge Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Forge Group (ASX:FGE) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Forge Group Ltd provides construction, commercial building, engineering, maintenance and workshop fabrication services. Its operations are segmented into four areas - Minerals & Resources, Power, Construction and Asset Management. The Minerals & Resources segment provides a wide range of engineering, design and construction services for the mining and metals sector. The Power segment provides turnkey power generation solutions to the energy and utilities sectors. The Construction segment offers a suite of construction services that covers all disciplines including heavy civil, structural, mechanical, piping, tanks, electrical, instrumentation, and building. Further, the Asset Management segment offers various asset management services. The Company has operational footprints across Australia, North America, Africa and Asia.

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